Red Sox vs Rays Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the heart of the American League action as the Boston Red Sox, standing square at .500, head down to the sunny, slightly breezy climes of Tropicana Field to clash with the Tampa Bay Rays, who are just a tad behind in the standings. It’s a mid-conference showdown kicking off at the dinner hour tonight, with both teams looking to tip the scales in their favor as the season winds down. The stakes are as balanced as the betting lines, with the over/under teasing at a tight 7.5. Fresh off their respective last dances where the Sox edged out the Rays, tonight promises another chapter of this nail-biter rivalry under a partly cloudy sky. So, as these two teams step up to the plate, let’s see if the Red Sox can continue to “sock” it to the Rays, or if Tampa Bay will “ray-se” the bar!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 19, 2024 06:50PM EST

Location: Tropicana Field, Tampa Bay

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the WNW at 11.4 mph. Temperature is at 91.0° with 58% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BOS ML	TB ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-108	-112	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-116	-104	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-8	+8	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

158W-161L

53.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

192W-126L

46.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/13/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Over	+0.5
05/13/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+0.5
05/14/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Over	+1.5
05/14/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Over	+1.5
05/15/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Under	-0.5
05/15/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Under	-0.5
05/16/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	7	Over	+4.5
05/16/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Over	+4.5
05/20/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-2.5
05/20/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	0	Under	-2.5
05/21/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-0.5
05/21/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Under	-0.5
05/22/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+5.5
05/22/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Over	+5.5
09/17/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+3.5
09/17/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	8	Over	+3.5
09/18/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-4.5
09/18/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	1	Under	-4.5
04/10/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-6.5
04/10/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	1	Under	-6.5
04/11/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Over	+1.5
04/11/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	7	Over	+1.5
04/12/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+8.5
04/12/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	9	Over	+8.5
04/13/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+4.5
04/13/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	9	Over	+4.5
06/05/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Under	-2.5
06/05/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-2.5
06/03/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Over	+5.5
06/03/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+5.5
06/03/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Under	-1.5
06/03/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-1.5
06/04/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	6	Over	+0.5
06/04/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Over	+0.5
09/04/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+2.5
09/04/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	3	Over	+2.5
09/05/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Over	+6.5
09/05/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	8	Over	+6.5
09/06/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-3.5
09/06/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	3	Under	-3.5
09/26/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	9	Over	+8.5
09/26/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+8.5
09/27/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Under	-2.5
09/27/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-2.5

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Rays Vs Over/Under

Luis Garcia

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-14-24	@NYY	7-1W	5.3	4	1	2	Push
09-09-24	vsBAL	3-12W	5.3	3	2	5	Over
09-02-24	@NYM	1-4L	5.0	7	4	4	Under
08-28-24	vsTOR	0-3W	8.0	2	0	9	Under
08-23-24	vsARI	12-2L	5.3	7	5	2	Over
08-17-24	@BAL	5-1W	6.0	2	1	6	Under
08-12-24	vsTEX	4-5W	6.0	4	1	5	Over
08-06-24	@KC	6-5W	4.7	5	3	6	Over
07-31-24	vsSEA	2-3W	6.3	7	2	7	Under
07-26-24	vsNYY	7-9W	5.0	5	3	4	Over

Zack Littell

ERA 3.671 | IP 144.7 | 7.0W-9.0L | KO 127.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-13-24	@CLE	3-1W	6.0	2	0	5	Under
09-08-24	@BAL	2-0W	5.0	3	0	4	Under
09-02-24	vsMIN	5-4L	4.0	7	4	2	Over
08-14-24	vsHOU	2-1L	5.0	1	1	3	Under
08-09-24	vsBAL	4-1L	5.0	8	3	5	Under
08-03-24	@HOU	6-1W	5.7	4	1	3	Under
07-27-24	vsCIN	0-4W	7.0	3	0	5	Under
07-22-24	@NYY	1-9L	5.7	9	5	6	Over
07-13-24	vsCLE	4-2L	6.0	6	2	3	Under
07-07-24	@TEX	2-13L	4.0	9	7	5	Over

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/20	vs TB	2-1W	6	1	Under
09/19	vs TB	3-8L	3	2	Over
09/17	vs NYY	2-5L	8	1	Under
09/16	vs NYY	7-1W	9	0	Push
09/15	vs NYY	4-5L	9	2	Over
09/14	vs NYY	1-2L	4	1	Under
09/13	@ BAL	5-3W	8	1	Push
09/12	@ BAL	3-5L	7	0	Push
09/11	@ BAL	12-3W	15	4	Over
09/10	@ CWS	2-7L	8	2	Over
09/09	@ CWS	7-5W	10	2	Over
09/08	@ CWS	3-1W	5	1	Under
09/06	vs NYM	3-8L	9	0	Over
09/05	vs NYM	2-7L	6	0	Over
09/04	vs NYM	1-4L	6	0	Under

Rays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/20	@ BOS	1-2L	8	0	Under
09/19	@ BOS	8-3W	12	4	Over
09/17	vs CLE	0-2L	4	0	Under
09/16	vs CLE	1-6L	6	0	Under
09/15	vs CLE	3-1W	8	2	Under
09/14	vs CLE	5-2W	10	1	Under
09/13	vs PHI	2-3L	5	1	Under
09/12	vs PHI	4-9L	13	0	Over
09/11	vs PHI	1-2L	8	1	Under
09/10	vs BAL	2-0W	8	1	Under
09/09	vs BAL	7-1W	12	2	Push
09/08	vs BAL	0-2L	3	0	Under
09/07	@ MIN	3-4L	8	0	Under
09/06	@ MIN	9-4W	9	1	Over
09/05	@ MIN	2-1W	6	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	9.5	12.3	0.283	0.498	0.371	0.869	0.353	0.034
#2 Rafael Devers	9.6	12.8	0.272	0.514	0.405	0.918	0.367	0.053
#3 Tyler O’Neill	8.7	11.6	0.249	0.535	0.396	0.931	0.371	0.080
#4 Masataka Yoshida	7.9	10.3	0.292	0.436	0.399	0.836	0.340	0.028
#5 Luis Garcia	8.9	8.9	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#5 Connor Wong	7.3	9.3	0.285	0.437	0.366	0.803	0.329	0.031
#6 Wilyer Abreu	6.9	9.1	0.260	0.477	0.364	0.841	0.342	0.041
#7 Triston Casas	6.8	9.0	0.244	0.438	0.375	0.812	0.328	0.051
#8 Trevor Story	6.3	8.0	0.258	0.394	0.333	0.727	0.301	0.030
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	6.1	7.9	0.247	0.395	0.288	0.683	0.285	0.029

Tampa Bay Rays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Yandy Diaz	8.0	10.2	0.284	0.420	0.375	0.796	0.325	0.026
#2 Brandon Lowe	8.5	11.2	0.243	0.472	0.354	0.826	0.335	0.052
#3 Junior Caminero	8.0	10.3	0.248	0.411	0.341	0.752	0.308	0.031
#4 Jonathan Aranda	6.5	8.6	0.232	0.389	0.337	0.726	0.299	0.032
#5 Christopher Morel	6.6	8.7	0.194	0.341	0.331	0.671	0.276	0.038
#6 Josh Lowe	8.5	10.8	0.248	0.411	0.335	0.746	0.306	0.031
#7 Jose Caballero	6.5	8.3	0.227	0.354	0.311	0.665	0.277	0.022
#8 Logan Driscoll	5.3	7.1	0.200	0.320	0.200	0.520	0.220	0.040
#9 Jose Siri	5.1	6.7	0.191	0.372	0.291	0.662	0.275	0.045

Red Sox Notable Injuries

David Hamilton OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.242 SLG:0.391 Last game: 08/30/24. Impact: 2.5
Rob Refsnyder OUT (OF): Avg: 0.287 SLG:0.478 Last game: 09/14/24. Impact: 2.4
Brennan Bernardino OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/12/24. Impact: 0.6
Lucas Sims OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: 0.2

Rays Notable Injuries

Jeffrey Springs OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/05/24. Impact: 7.6
Pete Fairbanks OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 1.0