Red Sox vs Blue Jays Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at Rogers Centre tonight as the Boston Red Sox and the Toronto Blue Jays square off in a mid-season clash that’s got everyone talking! With both teams neck and neck in the American League standings, and just a hair’s breadth apart in their race to climb the ranks, this 07:07PM showdown promises fireworks. The Red Sox, fresh from trouncing the Yankees, and the Blue Jays, hot off a nail-biter win against Cleveland, are bringing the heat and the hype to Toronto. The stakes? Just a breezy evening with a perfect pitch of 64 degrees, a gentle eastern breeze, and a betting line that’s as tantalizing as a plate of poutine. Who will step up and who will stumble? As the runs pile up and the crowd goes wild, remember, in this game, it’s all about whether the Sox can outfox the Jays!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 17, 2024 07:07PM EST

Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto

Weather: Sunny with winds from the E at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 64.4° with 83% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BOS ML	TOR ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+100	-120	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+111	-133	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+11	-13	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

136W-140L

47.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

154W-122L

52.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/01/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Over	+3.0
05/01/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Over	+3.0
05/02/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+5.0
05/02/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+5.0
05/03/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Over	+3.0
05/03/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+3.0
05/04/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Over	+8.0
05/04/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	11	Over	+8.0
06/30/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-3.0
06/30/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	0	Under	-3.0
07/01/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+5.0
07/01/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+5.0
07/02/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Over	+1.0
07/02/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Over	+1.0
08/04/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	7	Over	+2.0
08/04/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+2.0
08/05/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Over	+1.0
08/05/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+1.0
08/06/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	13	Over	+6.0
08/06/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Over	+6.0
09/15/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-5.0
09/15/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-5.0
09/16/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Under	-1.0
09/16/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Under	-1.0
09/17/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-3.0
09/17/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-3.0

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Nick Pivetta

ERA 3.885 | IP 46.3 | 3.0W-4.0L | KO 55.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-12-24	vsPHI	6-8W	4.0	6	4	4	Over
06-05-24	vsATL	0-9W	7.0	1	0	9	Over
05-30-24	vsDET	5-0L	5.3	3	2	9	Under
05-25-24	vsMIL	6-3L	3.3	7	5	3	Over
05-19-24	@STL	11-3W	6.0	1	1	8	Over
05-14-24	vsTB	4-5W	5.7	4	2	8	Over
05-08-24	@ATL	0-5L	4.0	7	5	1	Under
04-03-24	@OAK	1-0W	5.0	5	0	3	Under
03-29-24	@SEA	0-1L	6.0	3	1	10	Under
09-29-23	@BAL	3-0W	7.0	2	0	10	Under

Yusei Kikuchi

ERA 3.259 | IP 77.3 | 4.0W-5.0L | KO 76.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-11-24	@MIL	3-0W	5.0	3	0	5	Under
06-06-24	vsBAL	5-6W	6.0	4	1	6	Over
06-01-24	vsPIT	8-1L	5.3	9	6	4	Over
05-26-24	@DET	11-14L	3.0	8	5	0	Over
05-21-24	vsCWS	5-0L	6.0	5	3	6	Under
05-15-24	@BAL	2-3L	4.3	6	1	9	Under
05-10-24	vsMIN	3-2L	8.0	4	2	3	Under
05-03-24	@WAS	3-9L	6.0	6	1	7	Over
04-27-24	vsLAD	4-2L	6.0	9	4	3	Under
04-22-24	@KC	5-3W	6.0	5	2	4	Push

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/18	@ NYY	9-3W	14	0	Over
06/17	@ NYY	8-4W	12	0	Over
06/16	@ NYY	1-8L	5	0	Over
06/15	@ PHI	9-3W	14	1	Over
06/14	@ PHI	8-6W	13	1	Over
06/13	@ PHI	1-4L	4	0	Under
06/11	vs CWS	6-4W	8	1	Over
06/10	vs CWS	1-6L	5	1	Under
06/09	vs CWS	2-7L	6	0	Over
06/08	vs CWS	14-2W	24	3	Over
06/07	@ ATL	9-0W	13	3	Over
06/06	@ ATL	3-8L	5	1	Over
06/04	@ DET	4-8L	8	1	Over
06/03	@ DET	6-3W	10	2	Over
06/02	@ DET	7-3W	12	2	Over

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/18	@ CLE	7-6W	11	2	Over
06/17	@ CLE	5-0W	7	0	Under
06/16	@ CLE	1-3L	3	0	Under
06/14	vs MIL	4-5L	7	1	Over
06/13	vs MIL	3-0W	9	0	Under
06/12	vs MIL	1-3L	4	1	Under
06/11	vs OAK	6-4W	7	0	Over
06/10	vs OAK	7-0W	10	1	Under
06/09	vs OAK	1-2L	5	0	Under
06/08	@ BAL	6-5W	7	1	Over
06/07	@ BAL	3-2W	9	0	Under
06/06	@ BAL	1-10L	5	1	Over
06/05	@ BAL	2-7L	8	1	Over
06/04	@ PIT	5-4W	11	0	Over
06/03	@ PIT	1-8L	6	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	7.5	9.6	0.278	0.468	39.0%	85.8%	1.7%
#2 Rob Refsnyder	8.3	10.7	0.326	0.473	46.5%	93.8%	1.6%
#3 Tyler O’Neill	8.9	11.9	0.253	0.5	40.2%	90.2%	6.9%
#4 Rafael Devers	7.5	10.0	0.283	0.547	43.9%	98.7%	5.8%
#5 Connor Wong	7.3	9.3	0.333	0.459	44.8%	90.7%	2.7%
#6 Masataka Yoshida	6.3	8.3	0.258	0.371	38.1%	75.3%	2.1%
#7 Jamie Westbrook	5.9	8.0	0.222	0.444	38.9%	83.3%	5.6%
#8 Bobby Dalbec	6.7	8.9	0.132	0.197	25.0%	44.7%	1.3%
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	5.9	7.7	0.238	0.383	27.8%	66.1%	2.8%

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Spencer Horwitz	7.0	8.9	0.333	0.37	48.1%	85.2%	0.0%
#2 Davis Schneider	7.9	10.7	0.221	0.412	37.7%	78.9%	4.0%
#3 V. Guerrero	8.0	10.3	0.284	0.406	42.8%	83.4%	2.6%
#4 Daulton Varsho	7.2	9.7	0.22	0.457	33.6%	79.4%	4.9%
#5 Danny Jansen	7.7	10.3	0.25	0.449	39.7%	84.6%	3.7%
#6 George Springer	7.0	9.1	0.196	0.289	33.2%	62.1%	2.1%
#7 Addison Barger	5.9	7.5	0.16	0.16	20.0%	36.0%	0.0%
#8 Isiah Kiner-Falefa	5.5	6.9	0.269	0.377	33.5%	71.2%	1.9%
#9 Kevin Kiermaier	5.8	7.5	0.195	0.317	26.0%	57.7%	1.6%

Red Sox Notable Injuries

Wilyer Abreu OUT (OF): Avg: 0.272 SLG:0.485 Last game: 06/04/24. Impact: 2.7
Romy Gonzalez OUT (SS): Avg: 0.257 SLG:0.343 Last game: 06/01/24. Impact: 1.5
Chris Martin OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/01/24. Impact: 1.3
Vaughn Grissom OUT (2B): Avg: 0.148 SLG:0.16 Last game: 06/03/24. Impact: 1.1

Blue Jays Notable Injuries

Alek Manoah OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/31/24. Impact: 5.4
Jordan Romano OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/31/24. Impact: 0.5