Red Sox vs Blue Jays Game Breakdown
Red Sox
78W-78L
September 23, 2024
07:07PM EST
Odds: 8.0 o/u
Blue Jays
73W-83L
Tonight’s MLB showdown at Rogers Centre is nothing short of a nail-biter as the Boston Red Sox, sitting squarely at .500, roll into Toronto to clash with the Blue Jays, who are looking to shake off a recent stumble. With the first pitch slated for 07:07 PM EST, the stakes are high and the stats are tight. Boston’s fresh off a dominant 8-1 victory and hungry for more, while Toronto’s licking their wounds after a close call with Tampa Bay. The betting lines are buzzing, the over/under tantalizingly set at 8.0, and with the chilly breeze swirling through an overcast, humid evening, the atmosphere is ripe for drama. So, as the Sox aim to knit a tighter race in the American League and the Jays hope to feather their nest with a win, tonight’s game promises to be a classic duel of stitches and feathers!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: September 23, 2024 07:07PM EST
Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto
Weather: Overcast with winds from the NNE at 5.8 mph. Temperature is at 68.2° with 88% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| BOS ML | TOR ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -103 | -117 | 8.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | -105 | -115 | 8.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | -2 | +2 | +0.5 | – |
Team Performance
51.2% Win Probability
48.8% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/17/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 7 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | ||||
| 06/18/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 4 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | ||||
| 06/19/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 7 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | ||||
| 06/24/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 6 | Over | +5.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 7 | ||||
| 06/25/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 9 | Over | +5.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 4 | ||||
| 08/26/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 4 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 1 | ||||
| 08/26/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 7 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 3 | ||||
| 08/27/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 6 | ||||
| 08/28/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 0 | Under | -5.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 3 | ||||
| 08/29/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 2 | Under | -6.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 0 | ||||
| 05/01/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 5 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 6 | ||||
| 05/02/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 6 | Over | +5.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 7 | ||||
| 05/03/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 8 | ||||
| 05/04/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 5 | Over | +8.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 11 | ||||
| 06/30/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 5 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 0 | ||||
| 07/01/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 7 | Over | +5.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 6 | ||||
| 07/02/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 5 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 4 | ||||
| 08/04/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 7 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 3 | ||||
| 08/05/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 5 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 4 | ||||
| 08/06/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 13 | Over | +6.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 1 | ||||
| 09/15/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 0 | Under | -5.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | ||||
| 09/16/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 3 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 4 | ||||
| 09/17/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 2 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 |
Red Sox Vs Over/Under
Blue Jays Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18-24 | @TB | 2-1W | 4.0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | Under |
| 09-04-24 | @NYM | 3-8L | 5.0 | 5 | 4 | 7 | Over |
| 08-30-24 | @DET | 7-5W | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | Over |
| 08-25-24 | vsARI | 7-5L | 6.0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | Over |
| 08-19-24 | @HOU | 4-5L | 6.0 | 8 | 3 | 8 | Over |
| 08-14-24 | vsTEX | 9-7L | 6.7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | Over |
| 08-09-24 | vsHOU | 8-4L | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | Over |
| 08-03-24 | @TEX | 4-7L | 5.0 | 8 | 6 | 7 | Over |
| 07-28-24 | vsNYY | 8-2L | 6.0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | Over |
| 07-22-24 | @COL | 8-9L | 6.0 | 10 | 4 | 2 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17-24 | @TEX | 8-13L | 3.7 | 6 | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 09-10-24 | vsNYM | 2-6W | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 8 | Under |
| 09-03-24 | vsPHI | 10-9L | 5.3 | 10 | 4 | 7 | Over |
| 08-28-24 | @BOS | 0-3L | 6.7 | 5 | 1 | 9 | Under |
| 08-23-24 | vsLAA | 4-5W | 6.0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | Over |
| 08-17-24 | @CHC | 2-3L | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 5 | Under |
| 08-11-24 | vsOAK | 8-4L | 4.0 | 8 | 7 | 5 | Over |
| 08-06-24 | vsBAL | 2-5W | 7.0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | Under |
| 07-30-24 | @BAL | 2-6L | 4.0 | 9 | 5 | 3 | Under |
| 07-25-24 | vsTB | 13-0L | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 6 | Over |
Red Sox Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/24 | @ MIN | 8-1W | 11 | 3 | Over |
| 09/24 | @ MIN | 9-3W | 10 | 1 | Over |
| 09/24 | @ MIN | 9-3W | 10 | 1 | Over |
| 09/24 | @ MIN | 8-1W | 11 | 3 | Over |
| 09/22 | @ MIN | 2-4L | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 09/21 | vs TB | 0-2L | 1 | 0 | Under |
| 09/20 | vs TB | 2-1W | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 09/19 | vs TB | 3-8L | 3 | 2 | Over |
| 09/17 | vs NYY | 2-5L | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 09/16 | vs NYY | 7-1W | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 09/15 | vs NYY | 4-5L | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 09/14 | vs NYY | 1-2L | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 09/13 | @ BAL | 5-3W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 09/12 | @ BAL | 3-5L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 09/11 | @ BAL | 12-3W | 15 | 4 | Over |
Blue Jays Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/24 | vs TB | 3-4L | 11 | 0 | Under |
| 09/24 | vs TB | 3-4L | 11 | 0 | Under |
| 09/23 | vs TB | 2-3L | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 09/22 | vs TB | 0-1L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 09/21 | vs TEX | 4-0W | 7 | 2 | Under |
| 09/20 | vs TEX | 0-2L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 09/19 | vs TEX | 8-13L | 13 | 1 | Over |
| 09/17 | @ STL | 3-2W | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 09/16 | @ STL | 7-2W | 10 | 1 | Over |
| 09/15 | @ STL | 4-3W | 10 | 0 | Under |
| 09/13 | @ NYM | 2-6L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 09/12 | @ NYM | 6-2W | 12 | 0 | Under |
| 09/11 | @ NYM | 2-3L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 09/10 | vs ATL | 3-4L | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 09/09 | vs ATL | 9-5W | 17 | 2 | Over |
Team’s Batting Order
| Boston Red Sox | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Jarren Duran
|
9.6 | 12.4 | 0.282 | 0.492 | 0.377 | 0.869 | 0.352 | 0.032 |
| 6.5 | 8.5 | 0.277 | 0.446 | 0.344 | 0.790 | 0.325 | 0.036 | |
| 7.9 | 10.3 | 0.293 | 0.430 | 0.403 | 0.833 | 0.339 | 0.027 | |
| 8.4 | 11.3 | 0.244 | 0.524 | 0.390 | 0.914 | 0.365 | 0.078 | |
| 7.8 | 10.4 | 0.247 | 0.510 | 0.389 | 0.899 | 0.359 | 0.076 | |
|
#6
Trevor Story
|
6.4 | 8.1 | 0.259 | 0.383 | 0.346 | 0.728 | 0.300 | 0.025 |
|
#7
Wilyer Abreu
|
6.6 | 8.7 | 0.253 | 0.463 | 0.357 | 0.819 | 0.334 | 0.039 |
|
#8
Connor Wong
|
5.5 | 7.1 | 0.285 | 0.432 | 0.368 | 0.800 | 0.328 | 0.030 |
| 5.3 | 6.6 | 0.156 | 0.167 | 0.222 | 0.389 | 0.170 | 0.000 |
| Toronto Blue Jays | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.1 | 9.3 | 0.218 | 0.372 | 0.340 | 0.712 | 0.292 | 0.036 | |
|
#2
Nathan Lukes
|
7.4 | 9.4 | 0.308 | 0.415 | 0.415 | 0.831 | 0.334 | 0.000 |
|
#3
V. Guerrero
|
7.6 | 10.0 | 0.327 | 0.545 | 0.451 | 0.997 | 0.396 | 0.049 |
| 7.1 | 9.4 | 0.269 | 0.448 | 0.422 | 0.870 | 0.348 | 0.039 | |
| 6.8 | 8.9 | 0.247 | 0.353 | 0.359 | 0.713 | 0.292 | 0.016 | |
| 5.6 | 7.1 | 0.264 | 0.409 | 0.295 | 0.705 | 0.294 | 0.027 | |
| 5.8 | 7.7 | 0.202 | 0.368 | 0.269 | 0.637 | 0.266 | 0.036 | |
| 5.8 | 7.8 | 0.193 | 0.348 | 0.320 | 0.668 | 0.276 | 0.034 | |
|
#9
Leo Jimenez
|
4.9 | 6.5 | 0.224 | 0.352 | 0.388 | 0.739 | 0.305 | 0.024 |
Red Sox Notable Injuries
- Rafael Devers OUT (3B): Avg: 0.271 SLG:0.509 Last game: 09/22/24. Impact: 1.9
- David Hamilton OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.242 SLG:0.391 Last game: 08/30/24. Impact: 2.5
- Rob Refsnyder OUT (OF): Avg: 0.286 SLG:0.476 Last game: 09/21/24. Impact: 2.2
- Brennan Bernardino OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/12/24. Impact: 0.6
Blue Jays Notable Injuries
- Daulton Varsho OUT (OF): Avg: 0.211 SLG:0.403 Last game: 09/13/24. Impact: 2.1
- Will Wagner OUT (2B): Avg: 0.305 SLG:0.451 Last game: 09/15/24. Impact: 2.2
- Bo Bichette OUT (SS): Avg: 0.225 SLG:0.322 Last game: 09/19/24. Impact: 1.6
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