Red Sox vs Blue Jays Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the Boston Red Sox, standing strong with a decent season, trot into the Rogers Centre to challenge the Toronto Blue Jays tonight at 07:07 PM EST. It’s a clash of the titans with the Sox looking to build on their recent victory, while the Jays are itching to flip the script after their last encounter. With the betting lines buzzing and an over/under that promises a tight squeeze, fans are set for an electrifying showdown. And let’s not forget, Mother Nature’s playing ball too, serving up a classic overcast evening with a breeze that could sway more than just the flags. So, as the Sox and Jays go bat-to-bat, it’s clear this game could be a real feather ruffler in the American League nest!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 24, 2024 07:07PM EST

Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto

Weather: Overcast with winds from the SE at 9.2 mph. Temperature is at 65.1° with 100% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BOS ML	TOR ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+111	-133	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+104	-124	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-7	+9	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

159W-162L

49.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

174W-144L

51.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/17/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+2.5
06/17/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Over	+2.5
06/18/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Under	-0.5
06/18/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-0.5
06/19/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+2.5
06/19/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Over	+2.5
06/24/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+5.5
06/24/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+5.5
06/25/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	9	Over	+5.5
06/25/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+5.5
08/26/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Under	-2.5
08/26/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-2.5
08/26/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	7	Over	+2.5
08/26/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+2.5
08/27/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Over	+1.5
08/27/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Over	+1.5
08/28/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	0	Under	-4.5
08/28/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Under	-4.5
08/29/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-5.5
08/29/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-5.5
09/23/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Under	-2.5
09/23/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	1	Under	-2.5
05/01/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Over	+3.5
05/01/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Over	+3.5
05/02/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+5.5
05/02/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+5.5
05/03/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Over	+3.5
05/03/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+3.5
05/04/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Over	+8.5
05/04/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	11	Over	+8.5
06/30/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-2.5
06/30/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	0	Under	-2.5
07/01/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+5.5
07/01/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+5.5
07/02/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Over	+1.5
07/02/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Over	+1.5
08/04/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	7	Over	+2.5
08/04/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+2.5
08/05/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Over	+1.5
08/05/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+1.5
08/06/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	13	Over	+6.5
08/06/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Over	+6.5
09/15/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-4.5
09/15/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-4.5
09/16/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Under	-0.5
09/16/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Under	-0.5
09/17/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-2.5
09/17/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-2.5

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Brayan Bello

ERA 4.5 | IP 152.0 | 13.0W-8.0L | KO 146.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-19-24	@TB	0-2L	5.7	5	1	7	Under
09-14-24	@NYY	7-1W	5.3	4	1	2	Over
09-09-24	vsBAL	3-12W	5.3	3	2	5	Over
09-02-24	@NYM	1-4L	5.0	7	4	4	Under
08-28-24	vsTOR	0-3W	8.0	2	0	9	Under
08-23-24	vsARI	12-2L	5.3	7	5	2	Over
08-17-24	@BAL	5-1W	6.0	2	1	6	Under
08-12-24	vsTEX	4-5W	6.0	4	1	5	Over
08-06-24	@KC	6-5W	4.7	5	3	6	Over
07-31-24	vsSEA	2-3W	6.3	7	2	7	Under

Bowden Francis

ERA 3.466 | IP 98.7 | 8.0W-5.0L | KO 88.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-18-24	@TEX	0-2L	6.0	5	2	6	Under
09-11-24	vsNYM	6-2L	8.0	1	1	1	Over
09-04-24	vsPHI	4-2L	6.0	6	3	6	Under
08-29-24	@BOS	2-0W	7.0	1	0	5	Under
08-24-24	vsLAA	1-3W	8.0	1	1	12	Under
08-18-24	@CHC	1-0W	7.0	3	0	7	Under
08-12-24	@LAA	4-2W	7.0	1	1	8	Under
08-07-24	vsBAL	7-3L	5.0	3	2	7	Over
08-04-24	@NYY	3-4L	0.3	1	1	0	Under
07-29-24	@BAL	8-4W	5.7	6	3	2	Over

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/25	vs TOR	4-1W	5	0	Under
09/24	@ MIN	9-3W	10	1	Over
09/24	@ MIN	8-1W	11	3	Over
09/24	@ MIN	8-1W	11	3	Over
09/24	@ MIN	9-3W	10	1	Over
09/22	@ MIN	2-4L	9	0	Under
09/21	vs TB	0-2L	1	0	Under
09/20	vs TB	2-1W	6	1	Under
09/19	vs TB	3-8L	3	2	Over
09/17	vs NYY	2-5L	8	1	Under
09/16	vs NYY	7-1W	9	0	Over
09/15	vs NYY	4-5L	9	2	Over
09/14	vs NYY	1-2L	4	1	Under
09/13	@ BAL	5-3W	8	1	Over
09/12	@ BAL	3-5L	7	0	Over

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/25	@ BOS	1-4L	6	0	Under
09/24	vs TB	3-4L	11	0	Under
09/24	vs TB	3-4L	11	0	Under
09/23	vs TB	2-3L	9	0	Under
09/22	vs TB	0-1L	5	0	Under
09/21	vs TEX	4-0W	7	2	Under
09/20	vs TEX	0-2L	5	0	Under
09/19	vs TEX	8-13L	13	1	Over
09/17	@ STL	3-2W	6	1	Under
09/16	@ STL	7-2W	10	1	Over
09/15	@ STL	4-3W	10	0	Under
09/13	@ NYM	2-6L	6	0	Over
09/12	@ NYM	6-2W	12	0	Over
09/11	@ NYM	2-3L	4	0	Under
09/10	vs ATL	3-4L	8	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	7.4	9.6	0.283	0.496	0.377	0.873	0.354	0.032
#2 Romy Gonzalez	6.4	8.3	0.277	0.446	0.344	0.790	0.325	0.036
#3 Triston Casas	8.8	11.8	0.245	0.505	0.400	0.905	0.360	0.075
#4 Tyler O’Neill	8.5	11.4	0.242	0.520	0.390	0.910	0.363	0.077
#5 Masataka Yoshida	7.1	9.3	0.293	0.430	0.403	0.833	0.339	0.027
#6 Trevor Story	6.8	8.7	0.250	0.369	0.357	0.726	0.298	0.024
#7 Wilyer Abreu	5.6	7.4	0.256	0.467	0.362	0.828	0.337	0.038
#8 Connor Wong	5.1	6.6	0.284	0.430	0.371	0.801	0.328	0.030
#9 Vaughn Grissom	4.5	5.7	0.151	0.161	0.215	0.376	0.165	0.000

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	8.2	10.8	0.218	0.371	0.339	0.710	0.291	0.036
#2 Nathan Lukes	7.6	9.7	0.304	0.406	0.406	0.812	0.328	0.000
#3 V. Guerrero	9.2	12.0	0.324	0.542	0.448	0.990	0.394	0.048
#4 Spencer Horwitz	8.1	10.7	0.269	0.446	0.420	0.865	0.347	0.038
#5 Alejandro Kirk	7.2	9.5	0.247	0.352	0.358	0.710	0.291	0.015
#6 Addison Barger	7.1	9.5	0.201	0.366	0.273	0.639	0.267	0.036
#7 Ernie Clement	5.5	7.0	0.264	0.409	0.296	0.704	0.294	0.026
#8 Jonatan Clase	5.7	7.1	0.241	0.296	0.296	0.593	0.250	0.000
#9 Leo Jimenez	5.1	6.7	0.226	0.351	0.387	0.738	0.304	0.024

Red Sox Notable Injuries

Rafael Devers OUT (3B): Avg: 0.271 SLG:0.509 Last game: 09/22/24. Impact: 1.9
David Hamilton OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.242 SLG:0.391 Last game: 08/30/24. Impact: 2.5
Rob Refsnyder OUT (OF): Avg: 0.286 SLG:0.476 Last game: 09/21/24. Impact: 2.2
Kenley Jansen OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/24/24. Impact: 1.1
Brennan Bernardino OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/12/24. Impact: 0.6

Blue Jays Notable Injuries

Daulton Varsho OUT (OF): Avg: 0.211 SLG:0.403 Last game: 09/13/24. Impact: 2.1
Will Wagner OUT (2B): Avg: 0.305 SLG:0.451 Last game: 09/15/24. Impact: 2.2
Bo Bichette OUT (SS): Avg: 0.225 SLG:0.322 Last game: 09/19/24. Impact: 1.6