Red Sox vs Blue Jays Game Breakdown
Red Sox
80W-78L
September 25, 2024
07:07PM EST
Odds: 8.0 o/u
Blue Jays
73W-85L
It’s game time, folks! Tonight, the Boston Red Sox, who’ve been painting the town red with their 80 wins, are storming into the Rogers Centre to clash with the Toronto Blue Jays, who are trying to shake off the blues from their recent tumble in the standings. With the first pitch set to fly at 07:07 PM EST, the stakes are high and the lines are drawn—Boston at a tantalizing +119 and Toronto favored at -142. The Red Sox just edged out the Blue Jays in a nail-biter yesterday, and with the over/under teasing at a cool 8.0, tonight’s forecast in Toronto promises more than just partly cloudy skies and a breezy 71.6°—expect a whirlwind of fastballs and curveballs coming your way! So, as the Red Sox try to brush more wins onto their palette and the Blue Jays aim to feather their nest with a much-needed victory, let’s see who will paint the town and who will be left singing the blues!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: September 25, 2024 07:07PM EST
Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the S at 12.3 mph. Temperature is at 71.6° with 83% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| BOS ML | TOR ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +119 | -142 | 8.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +119 | -142 | 8.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
45.7% Win Probability
54.3% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/17/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 7 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | ||||
| 06/18/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 4 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | ||||
| 06/19/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 7 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | ||||
| 06/24/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 6 | Over | +5.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 7 | ||||
| 06/25/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 9 | Over | +5.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 4 | ||||
| 08/26/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 4 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 1 | ||||
| 08/26/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 7 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 3 | ||||
| 08/27/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 6 | ||||
| 08/28/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 0 | Under | -5.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 3 | ||||
| 08/29/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 2 | Under | -6.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 0 | ||||
| 09/23/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 4 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 1 | ||||
| 09/24/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 6 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 5 | ||||
| 05/01/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 5 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 6 | ||||
| 05/02/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 6 | Over | +5.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 7 | ||||
| 05/03/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 8 | ||||
| 05/04/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 5 | Over | +8.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 11 | ||||
| 06/30/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 5 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 0 | ||||
| 07/01/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 7 | Over | +5.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 6 | ||||
| 07/02/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 5 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 4 | ||||
| 08/04/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 7 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 3 | ||||
| 08/05/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 5 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 4 | ||||
| 08/06/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 13 | Over | +6.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 1 | ||||
| 09/15/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 0 | Under | -5.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | ||||
| 09/16/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 3 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 4 | ||||
| 09/17/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 2 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 |
Red Sox Vs Over/Under
Blue Jays Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20-24 | vsMIN | 4-2L | 5.0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | Under |
| 09-13-24 | @NYY | 4-5L | 5.0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | Over |
| 09-08-24 | vsCWS | 7-2L | 5.7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19-24 | @TEX | 4-0W | 5.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | Under |
| 09-13-24 | vsSTL | 3-4W | 7.0 | 9 | 2 | 3 | Under |
| 09-06-24 | @ATL | 1-3L | 6.0 | 6 | 3 | 5 | Under |
| 08-30-24 | @MIN | 0-2L | 5.7 | 4 | 2 | 4 | Under |
| 08-25-24 | vsLAA | 2-8W | 7.0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | Over |
| 08-19-24 | vsCIN | 6-3L | 5.0 | 5 | 4 | 5 | Over |
| 08-13-24 | @LAA | 6-1W | 7.0 | 6 | 0 | 5 | Under |
| 08-08-24 | vsBAL | 6-7W | 8.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | Over |
| 08-02-24 | @NYY | 8-5W | 4.7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | Over |
| 07-27-24 | vsTEX | 3-7W | 9.0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | Over |
Red Sox Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/26 | vs TOR | 6-5W | 11 | 0 | Over |
| 09/25 | vs TOR | 4-1W | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 09/24 | @ MIN | 9-3W | 10 | 1 | Over |
| 09/24 | @ MIN | 8-1W | 11 | 3 | Over |
| 09/24 | @ MIN | 9-3W | 10 | 1 | Over |
| 09/24 | @ MIN | 8-1W | 11 | 3 | Over |
| 09/22 | @ MIN | 2-4L | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 09/21 | vs TB | 0-2L | 1 | 0 | Under |
| 09/20 | vs TB | 2-1W | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 09/19 | vs TB | 3-8L | 3 | 2 | Over |
| 09/17 | vs NYY | 2-5L | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 09/16 | vs NYY | 7-1W | 9 | 0 | Push |
| 09/15 | vs NYY | 4-5L | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 09/14 | vs NYY | 1-2L | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 09/13 | @ BAL | 5-3W | 8 | 1 | Push |
Blue Jays Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/26 | @ BOS | 5-6L | 5 | 0 | Over |
| 09/25 | @ BOS | 1-4L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 09/24 | vs TB | 3-4L | 11 | 0 | Under |
| 09/24 | vs TB | 3-4L | 11 | 0 | Under |
| 09/23 | vs TB | 2-3L | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 09/22 | vs TB | 0-1L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 09/21 | vs TEX | 4-0W | 7 | 2 | Under |
| 09/20 | vs TEX | 0-2L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 09/19 | vs TEX | 8-13L | 13 | 1 | Over |
| 09/17 | @ STL | 3-2W | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 09/16 | @ STL | 7-2W | 10 | 1 | Over |
| 09/15 | @ STL | 4-3W | 10 | 0 | Under |
| 09/13 | @ NYM | 2-6L | 6 | 0 | Push |
| 09/12 | @ NYM | 6-2W | 12 | 0 | Push |
| 09/11 | @ NYM | 2-3L | 4 | 0 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Boston Red Sox | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Jarren Duran
|
9.7 | 12.5 | 0.283 | 0.494 | 0.375 | 0.869 | 0.352 | 0.032 |
| 7.9 | 10.2 | 0.275 | 0.440 | 0.340 | 0.780 | 0.321 | 0.035 | |
| 7.4 | 10.0 | 0.246 | 0.502 | 0.409 | 0.911 | 0.361 | 0.074 | |
|
#4
Luis Garcia
|
9.5 | 9.5 | nan | nan | nan | nan | nan | nan |
|
#4
Trevor Story
|
7.7 | 9.9 | 0.258 | 0.393 | 0.360 | 0.753 | 0.309 | 0.022 |
| 7.3 | 9.5 | 0.290 | 0.426 | 0.399 | 0.824 | 0.336 | 0.027 | |
|
#6
Connor Wong
|
6.9 | 8.9 | 0.283 | 0.429 | 0.370 | 0.799 | 0.327 | 0.030 |
|
#7
Wilyer Abreu
|
6.7 | 8.9 | 0.255 | 0.464 | 0.362 | 0.827 | 0.336 | 0.038 |
| 5.9 | 7.4 | 0.175 | 0.196 | 0.247 | 0.443 | 0.191 | 0.000 | |
| 6.3 | 8.2 | 0.246 | 0.392 | 0.288 | 0.680 | 0.284 | 0.028 |
| Toronto Blue Jays | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.8 | 10.2 | 0.218 | 0.371 | 0.338 | 0.709 | 0.291 | 0.036 | |
|
#2
Nathan Lukes
|
7.2 | 9.3 | 0.296 | 0.394 | 0.423 | 0.817 | 0.328 | 0.000 |
|
#3
V. Guerrero
|
8.6 | 11.3 | 0.324 | 0.542 | 0.449 | 0.990 | 0.394 | 0.048 |
| 7.7 | 10.2 | 0.266 | 0.440 | 0.418 | 0.858 | 0.344 | 0.038 | |
| 6.8 | 9.0 | 0.247 | 0.354 | 0.360 | 0.713 | 0.293 | 0.015 | |
| 6.2 | 8.3 | 0.202 | 0.364 | 0.278 | 0.641 | 0.267 | 0.035 | |
| 5.9 | 7.5 | 0.262 | 0.405 | 0.293 | 0.698 | 0.291 | 0.026 | |
| 6.7 | 8.9 | 0.191 | 0.344 | 0.319 | 0.663 | 0.274 | 0.033 | |
| 5.3 | 6.8 | 0.221 | 0.364 | 0.290 | 0.654 | 0.272 | 0.017 |
Red Sox Notable Injuries
- Rafael Devers OUT (3B): Avg: 0.271 SLG:0.509 Last game: 09/22/24. Impact: 1.9
- David Hamilton OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.242 SLG:0.391 Last game: 08/30/24. Impact: 2.5
- Rob Refsnyder OUT (OF): Avg: 0.286 SLG:0.476 Last game: 09/21/24. Impact: 2.2
- Kenley Jansen OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/24/24. Impact: 1.1
- Brennan Bernardino OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/12/24. Impact: 0.6
Blue Jays Notable Injuries
- Daulton Varsho OUT (OF): Avg: 0.211 SLG:0.403 Last game: 09/13/24. Impact: 2.1
- Will Wagner OUT (2B): Avg: 0.305 SLG:0.451 Last game: 09/15/24. Impact: 2.2
- Bo Bichette OUT (SS): Avg: 0.225 SLG:0.322 Last game: 09/19/24. Impact: 1.6
Royals vs Braves Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:43 am by thefield
Padres vs Diamondbacks Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:43 am by thefield
Athletics vs Mariners Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:43 am by thefield
Astros vs Guardians Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:43 am by thefield
Dodgers vs Rockies Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:43 am by thefield
Mets vs Brewers Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:43 am by thefield
Orioles vs Twins Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:43 am by thefield
White Sox vs Tigers Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:42 am by thefield
Marlins vs Blue Jays Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:42 am by thefield
Rangers vs Angels Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:42 am by thefield
Rays vs Red Sox Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:42 am by thefield
Phillies vs Nationals Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:42 am by thefield
Pirates vs Yankees Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:42 am by thefield
Cardinals vs Giants Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:41 am by thefield
Athletics vs Mariners Game Breakdown
September 28, 2024 at 11:21 am by thefield
Rangers vs Angels Game Breakdown
September 28, 2024 at 11:21 am by thefield