Cubs vs Diamondbacks Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 16th 2024

Get ready to slide into some prime-time baseball action as the Chicago Cubs, boasting a solid 10-6 record, gear up to claw their way through the Arizona Diamondbacks at the vibrant Chase Field tonight at 09:40 PM EST. With the Cubs just half a game shy of the top spot in the National League and the Diamondbacks trailing by two, every pitch counts in this high-stakes matchup. The stakes are as high as the over/under at 9.5, hinting at a potentially explosive scoreboard. Fresh off a tight victory against these very Diamondbacks, the Cubs are looking to duplicate their success, while Arizona is itching to flip the script under the partly cloudy skies of a cool, breezy evening in Phoenix. As the Diamondbacks aim to strike back and the Cubs look to steal the show, tonight’s game promises to be an exhilarating battle of wits and hits. So, fans, let’s see if the Cubs can bear down or if the Diamondbacks will rattle their cages!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 16, 2024 09:40PM EST

Location: Chase Field, Arizona

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the E at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 60.1° with 36% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CHC ML	ARI ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+106	-126	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+107	-128	10.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+1	-2	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

111W-139L

48.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

120W-130L

51.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/15/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-4.5
04/15/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	2	Under	-4.5
09/07/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	6	Under	-1.5
09/07/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-1.5
09/08/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	1	Under	-8.5
09/08/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	0	Under	-8.5
09/09/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Under	-4.5
09/09/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-4.5
09/10/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	2	Under	-2.5
09/10/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Under	-2.5
09/15/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Over	+0.5
09/15/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	6	Over	+0.5
09/16/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+3.5
09/16/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	7	Over	+3.5
09/17/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-1.5
09/17/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	6	Under	-1.5

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Diamondbacks Vs Over/Under

Kyle Hendricks

ERA 3.769 | IP 131.3 | 6.0W-8.0L | KO 88.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-10-24	@SD	2-10L	5.0	9	7	2	Over
04-05-24	vsLAD	7-9W	4.0	8	5	4	Over
03-30-24	@TEX	2-11L	3.7	9	5	2	Over
09-29-23	@MIL	3-4L	4.3	5	3	2	Under
09-21-23	vsPIT	8-6L	6.0	7	3	5	Over
09-16-23	@ARI	6-7L	5.3	7	3	3	Over
09-10-23	vsARI	2-5W	5.7	7	2	4	Under
09-05-23	vsSF	8-11W	5.3	7	5	5	Over
08-30-23	vsMIL	2-3W	6.0	4	1	6	Under
08-25-23	@PIT	1-2L	5.7	6	2	4	Under

Tommy Henry

ERA 4.146 | IP 89.0 | 5.0W-4.0L | KO 64.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-10-24	@COL	5-3W	5.0	4	3	6	Under
04-05-24	@ATL	5-6L	5.0	6	2	5	Over
03-30-24	vsCOL	9-4L	4.0	6	5	4	Over
07-28-23	vsSEA	5-2L	6.0	6	4	6	Under
07-21-23	@CIN	6-9L	4.3	4	4	2	Over
07-16-23	@TOR	5-7L	4.3	7	3	5	Over
07-05-23	vsNYM	2-1L	6.0	2	0	2	Under
06-30-23	@LAA	6-2W	5.7	4	1	8	Under
06-22-23	@WAS	5-3W	6.7	7	1	5	Under
06-17-23	vsCLE	3-6W	6.0	7	2	3	Under

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/17	vs ARI	3-2W	9	1	Under
04/16	vs SEA	3-2W	8	1	Under
04/15	vs SEA	4-1W	6	3	Under
04/14	vs SEA	2-4L	4	1	Under
04/12	vs SD	2-10L	3	1	Over
04/11	vs SD	5-1W	9	2	Under
04/10	vs SD	8-9L	8	0	Over
04/09	@ LAD	8-1W	7	1	Under
04/08	@ LAD	1-4L	7	0	Under
04/07	@ LAD	9-7W	9	2	Over
04/05	@ COL	9-8W	10	1	Over
04/04	@ COL	12-2W	14	4	Over
04/03	@ COL	5-0W	9	0	Under
04/02	vs TEX	9-5W	12	1	Over
04/01	vs TEX	2-11L	5	1	Over

Diamondbacks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/17	@ CHC	2-3L	3	0	Under
04/16	@ STL	5-0W	7	0	Under
04/15	@ STL	4-2W	6	1	Under
04/14	@ STL	6-9L	9	1	Over
04/12	vs COL	5-3W	10	1	Under
04/11	vs COL	3-2W	9	2	Under
04/10	vs COL	5-7L	7	0	Over
04/09	vs ATL	2-5L	5	0	Under
04/08	vs ATL	8-9L	12	1	Over
04/07	vs ATL	5-6L	9	1	Over
04/05	@ NYY	5-6L	9	2	Over
04/04	@ NYY	7-0W	12	1	Under
04/03	@ NYY	2-5L	4	0	Under
04/02	@ COL	5-1W	5	1	Under
04/01	@ COL	4-9L	8	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Nico Hoerner	9.9	12.7	0.286	0.387	38.7%	77.4%	1.5%
#2 Dansby Swanson	9.7	12.9	0.244	0.416	37.0%	78.6%	3.9%
#3 Cody Bellinger	9.7	12.8	0.306	0.526	39.5%	92.1%	5.2%
#4 Christopher Morel	9.6	12.8	0.247	0.51	34.6%	85.7%	6.8%
#5 Ian Happ	8.6	11.5	0.25	0.43	42.8%	85.8%	3.6%
#6 Garrett Cooper	8.5	11.1	0.249	0.419	32.8%	74.6%	4.1%
#7 Michael Busch	7.7	10.4	0.167	0.292	27.8%	56.9%	2.8%
#9 Miguel Amaya	6.3	8.5	0.214	0.359	38.9%	74.8%	3.8%

Arizona Diamondbacks	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ketel Marte	10.5	13.8	0.276	0.485	41.1%	89.6%	4.4%
#2 Corbin Carroll	12.2	15.8	0.288	0.511	41.3%	92.3%	4.4%
#3 Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	9.3	12.2	0.265	0.468	33.6%	80.4%	4.4%
#4 Christian Walker	8.9	11.9	0.257	0.495	37.4%	86.9%	5.7%
#5 Joc Pederson	8.3	11.2	0.232	0.415	41.2%	82.6%	4.2%
#7 Gabriel Moreno	7.5	9.7	0.284	0.408	37.8%	78.6%	2.1%
#8 Jake McCarthy	7.8	9.8	0.246	0.331	36.0%	69.1%	0.7%
#9 Blaze Alexander	nan	8.0	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%