Cubs vs Diamondbacks Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 17th 2024

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the Chicago Cubs, boasting a solid 10W-7L record, gear up to clash with the Arizona Diamondbacks, who are balancing the scales at 9W-9L, in the heart of the desert at Chase Field! The stakes are high with the Cubs just a whisker away from the top in the National League, and the Diamondbacks not far behind, making every pitch and swing count in this mid-afternoon showdown set for 03:40PM EST. With the betting lines buzzing and an over/under that promises a score-fest, today’s game is the perfect setup for some high-octane baseball action. The weather’s playing ball too—sunny skies with a gentle eastern breeze—ideal conditions for hitting it out of the park. After a neck-and-neck battle just yesterday, both teams are coming in hot, thirsty for a win. So, as the Cubs try to claw their way to victory, let’s see if the Diamondbacks can strike back and rattle their cages!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 17, 2024 03:40PM EST

Location: Chase Field, Arizona

Weather: Sunny with winds from the ESE at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 64.9° with 30% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CHC ML	ARI ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+102	-122	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+103	-123	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+1	-1	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

111W-140L

49.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

121W-130L

50.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/15/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-4.5
04/15/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	2	Under	-4.5
04/16/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	11	Over	+13.5
04/16/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	12	Over	+13.5
09/07/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	6	Under	-1.5
09/07/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-1.5
09/08/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	1	Under	-8.5
09/08/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	0	Under	-8.5
09/09/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Under	-4.5
09/09/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-4.5
09/10/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	2	Under	-2.5
09/10/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Under	-2.5
09/15/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Over	+0.5
09/15/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	6	Over	+0.5
09/16/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+3.5
09/16/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	7	Over	+3.5
09/17/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-1.5
09/17/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	6	Under	-1.5

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Diamondbacks Vs Over/Under

Kyle Hendricks

ERA 3.769 | IP 131.3 | 6.0W-8.0L | KO 88.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-12-24	@SEA	2-4L	4.0	5	4	6	Under
04-06-24	vsLAD	4-1L	4.7	6	2	7	Under
03-31-24	@TEX	9-5W	4.0	5	5	6	Over
09-30-23	@MIL	10-6W	1.7	6	6	1	Over
09-24-23	vsCOL	3-4W	6.0	4	3	3	Under
09-17-23	@ARI	2-6L	4.3	4	3	5	Under
09-11-23	@COL	5-4W	6.0	3	1	2	Push
09-06-23	vsSF	2-8W	6.7	9	2	1	Over
09-01-23	@CIN	6-2W	5.0	5	1	3	Under
08-26-23	@PIT	10-6W	5.0	2	1	9	Over
04-16-24	@ARI	11-12L	4.3	5	7	3	Over
04-10-24	@SD	2-10L	5.0	9	7	2	Over
04-05-24	vsLAD	7-9W	4.0	8	5	4	Over
03-30-24	@TEX	2-11L	3.7	9	5	2	Over
09-29-23	@MIL	3-4L	4.3	5	3	2	Under
09-21-23	vsPIT	8-6L	6.0	7	3	5	Over
09-16-23	@ARI	6-7L	5.3	7	3	3	Over
09-10-23	vsARI	2-5W	5.7	7	2	4	Under
09-05-23	vsSF	8-11W	5.3	7	5	5	Over
08-30-23	vsMIL	2-3W	6.0	4	1	6	Under

Tommy Henry

ERA 4.146 | IP 89.0 | 5.0W-4.0L | KO 64.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-12-24	vsSTL	9-6L	6.0	7	6	4	Over
04-06-24	@ATL	8-9L	5.7	8	5	7	Over
03-31-24	vsCOL	1-5W	5.0	5	1	6	Under
09-27-23	@CWS	3-0W	5.7	5	0	8	Under
09-22-23	@NYY	1-7L	4.3	8	6	8	Under
09-15-23	vsCHC	4-6W	5.3	4	0	6	Over
09-10-23	@CHC	2-5L	6.0	7	4	4	Under
09-05-23	vsCOL	3-2L	3.7	6	3	4	Under
08-30-23	@LAD	0-7L	4.0	8	6	4	Under
08-25-23	vsCIN	8-10W	5.3	3	2	5	Over
04-16-24	vsCHC	11-12W	4.3	9	5	3	Over
04-10-24	@COL	5-3W	5.0	4	3	6	Under
04-05-24	@ATL	5-6L	5.0	6	2	5	Over
03-30-24	vsCOL	9-4L	4.0	6	5	4	Over
07-28-23	vsSEA	5-2L	6.0	6	4	6	Under
07-21-23	@CIN	6-9L	4.3	4	4	2	Over
07-16-23	@TOR	5-7L	4.3	7	3	5	Over
07-05-23	vsNYM	2-1L	6.0	2	0	2	Under
06-30-23	@LAA	6-2W	5.7	4	1	8	Under
06-22-23	@WAS	5-3W	6.7	7	1	5	Under

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/18	vs ARI	11-11L	14	1	Over
04/17	vs ARI	3-2W	9	1	Under
04/16	vs SEA	3-2W	8	1	Under
04/15	vs SEA	4-1W	6	3	Under
04/14	vs SEA	2-4L	4	1	Under
04/12	vs SD	2-10L	3	1	Over
04/11	vs SD	5-1W	9	2	Under
04/10	vs SD	8-9L	8	0	Over
04/09	@ LAD	8-1W	7	1	Push
04/08	@ LAD	1-4L	7	0	Under
04/07	@ LAD	9-7W	9	2	Over
04/05	@ COL	9-8W	10	1	Over
04/04	@ COL	12-2W	14	4	Over
04/03	@ COL	5-0W	9	0	Under
04/02	vs TEX	9-5W	12	1	Over

Diamondbacks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/18	@ CHC	11-11L	12	3	Over
04/17	@ CHC	2-3L	3	0	Under
04/16	@ STL	5-0W	7	0	Under
04/15	@ STL	4-2W	6	1	Under
04/14	@ STL	6-9L	9	1	Over
04/12	vs COL	5-3W	10	1	Under
04/11	vs COL	3-2W	9	2	Under
04/10	vs COL	5-7L	7	0	Over
04/09	vs ATL	2-5L	5	0	Under
04/08	vs ATL	8-9L	12	1	Over
04/07	vs ATL	5-6L	9	1	Over
04/05	@ NYY	5-6L	9	2	Over
04/04	@ NYY	7-0W	12	1	Under
04/03	@ NYY	2-5L	4	0	Under
04/02	@ COL	5-1W	5	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Nico Hoerner	9.3	11.9	0.286	0.387	38.7%	77.4%	1.5%
#2 Dansby Swanson	9.4	12.4	0.244	0.416	37.0%	78.6%	3.9%
#3 Cody Bellinger	9.6	12.6	0.306	0.526	39.5%	92.1%	5.2%
#4 Christopher Morel	8.9	11.9	0.247	0.51	34.6%	85.7%	6.8%
#5 Ian Happ	8.4	11.2	0.25	0.43	42.8%	85.8%	3.6%
#6 Garrett Cooper	8.3	10.9	0.249	0.419	32.8%	74.6%	4.1%
#7 Michael Busch	7.5	10.1	0.167	0.292	27.8%	56.9%	2.8%
#8 Mike Tauchman	6.1	8.2	0.253	0.38	43.4%	81.3%	2.4%
#9 Miguel Amaya	5.9	7.9	0.214	0.359	38.9%	74.8%	3.8%
#9 Yan Gomes	6.0	7.9	0.265	0.407	34.4%	75.1%	2.6%

Arizona Diamondbacks	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ketel Marte	9.9	13.0	0.276	0.485	41.1%	89.6%	4.4%
#2 Corbin Carroll	11.8	15.3	0.288	0.511	41.3%	92.3%	4.4%
#3 Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	9.0	11.7	0.265	0.468	33.6%	80.4%	4.4%
#4 Christian Walker	8.6	11.4	0.257	0.495	37.4%	86.9%	5.7%
#5 Joc Pederson	7.7	10.4	0.232	0.415	41.2%	82.6%	4.2%
#6 Eugenio Suarez	7.3	9.8	0.234	0.393	37.5%	76.8%	3.7%
#7 Randal Grichuk	7.5	9.7	0.267	0.456	34.8%	80.4%	3.7%
#7 Gabriel Moreno	7.7	9.9	0.284	0.408	37.8%	78.6%	2.1%
#8 Jake McCarthy	7.8	9.8	0.246	0.331	36.0%	69.1%	0.7%
#9 Blaze Alexander	7.6	7.6	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#9 Kevin Newman	5.8	7.5	0.252	0.36	34.7%	70.7%	1.4%