Cubs vs Red Sox Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 26th 2024
Cubs
16W-9L
April 26, 2024
07:10PM EST
Odds: 8.0 o/u
Red Sox
14W-12L
Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the Chicago Cubs, boasting a solid 16-9 record, storm into the historic Fenway Park to clash with the Boston Red Sox, who are hanging in there at 14-12. It’s a perfect evening for baseball in Boston with the sun shining, a brisk breeze from the east, and the crowd buzzing with anticipation for the 07:10 PM showdown. Both teams are hungry for a win to tighten their grips in their respective conference standings, making the even betting lines and an 8-run over/under promise a nail-biter. Fresh off a victory against Houston, the Cubs are fired up, while the Red Sox are itching to bounce back from their recent narrow defeat to Cleveland. So, as the Cubs try to plant their flag deep in Red territory, let’s see if the Sox can sock it to ’em in a battle that’s more than just about runs and hits!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 26, 2024 07:10PM EST
Location: Fenway Park, Boston
Weather: Sunny with winds from the ENE at 11.9 mph. Temperature is at 48.0° with 49% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| CHC ML | BOS ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -110 | -110 | 8.0 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Recent | -109 | -111 | 7.5 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Difference | +1 | -1 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
52.2% Win Probability
47.8% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/14/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 8 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 3 | ||||
| 07/15/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 4 | Over | +6.0 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 10 | ||||
| 07/16/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 11 | Over | +8.0 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 5 |
Cubs Vs Over/Under
Red Sox Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-20-24 | vsMIA | 3-5W | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 5 | Over |
| 04-13-24 | @SEA | 4-1W | 5.3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | Under |
| 04-07-24 | vsLAD | 1-8W | 4.0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | Over |
| 04-01-24 | vsCOL | 0-5W | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | Under |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-20-24 | @PIT | 4-2W | 6.0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | Under |
| 04-15-24 | vsCLE | 6-0L | 5.7 | 2 | 0 | 6 | Under |
| 04-10-24 | vsBAL | 7-5L | 5.0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | Over |
| 04-05-24 | @LAA | 8-6W | 4.7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | Over |
| 03-30-24 | @SEA | 3-4L | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | Under |
| 09-30-23 | @BAL | 2-5L | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | Under |
| 09-24-23 | vsCWS | 3-2L | 5.3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | Under |
| 09-18-23 | @TEX | 4-2W | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | Under |
| 09-12-23 | vsNYY | 4-1L | 4.7 | 3 | 1 | 7 | Under |
| 09-05-23 | @TB | 6-8L | 3.7 | 3 | 5 | 5 | Over |
Cubs Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/27 | @ HOU | 3-1W | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 04/26 | @ HOU | 4-3W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/25 | @ HOU | 7-2W | 6 | 3 | Over |
| 04/23 | @ MIA | 3-6L | 8 | 0 | Over |
| 04/22 | @ MIA | 2-3L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 04/22 | @ MIA | 5-3W | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 04/21 | @ MIA | 8-3W | 10 | 0 | Over |
| 04/19 | vs ARI | 5-3W | 9 | 1 | Over |
| 04/18 | vs ARI | 11-11L | 14 | 1 | Over |
| 04/17 | vs ARI | 3-2W | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 04/16 | vs SEA | 3-2W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/15 | vs SEA | 4-1W | 6 | 3 | Under |
| 04/14 | vs SEA | 2-4L | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 04/12 | vs SD | 2-10L | 3 | 1 | Over |
| 04/11 | vs SD | 5-1W | 9 | 2 | Under |
Red Sox Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/27 | vs CLE | 4-5L | 10 | 0 | Over |
| 04/26 | vs CLE | 8-0W | 16 | 3 | Over |
| 04/25 | vs CLE | 1-4L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 04/23 | vs PIT | 6-1W | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 04/22 | vs PIT | 4-2W | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 04/21 | vs PIT | 8-1W | 12 | 4 | Over |
| 04/20 | @ CLE | 4-5L | 6 | 0 | Over |
| 04/19 | @ CLE | 2-0W | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 04/18 | @ CLE | 7-10L | 11 | 3 | Over |
| 04/17 | @ CLE | 0-6L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 04/16 | @ LAA | 5-4W | 7 | 3 | Over |
| 04/15 | @ LAA | 7-2W | 11 | 1 | Over |
| 04/14 | @ LAA | 0-7L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 04/13 | @ BAL | 4-9L | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 04/12 | @ BAL | 5-7L | 8 | 1 | Over |
Team’s Batting Order
| Chicago Cubs | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Nico Hoerner
|
7.3 | 9.5 | 0.289 | 0.389 | 43.3% | 82.2% | 0.0% |
| 7.4 | 10.0 | 0.298 | 0.491 | 54.4% | 103.5% | 3.5% | |
|
#3
Ian Happ
|
7.6 | 10.3 | 0.226 | 0.345 | 41.7% | 76.2% | 1.2% |
| 6.8 | 9.1 | 0.266 | 0.532 | 38.0% | 91.1% | 7.6% | |
| 7.0 | 9.4 | 0.205 | 0.352 | 33.0% | 68.2% | 3.4% | |
| 6.5 | 8.6 | 0.236 | 0.393 | 34.8% | 74.2% | 3.4% | |
|
#7
Matt Mervis
|
7.4 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
|
#8
Yan Gomes
|
6.0 | 7.4 | 0.189 | 0.297 | 18.9% | 48.6% | 2.7% |
| 5.2 | 7.2 | 0.25 | 1.0 | 25.0% | 125.0% | 25.0% |
| Boston Red Sox | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.8 | 9.0 | 0.163 | 0.279 | 22.1% | 50.0% | 1.2% | |
|
#2
Jarren Duran
|
7.5 | 9.5 | 0.255 | 0.364 | 35.5% | 71.8% | 0.9% |
| 8.4 | 11.1 | 0.298 | 0.667 | 52.6% | 119.3% | 12.3% | |
| 7.3 | 9.7 | 0.263 | 0.491 | 45.6% | 94.7% | 5.3% | |
|
#5
Connor Wong
|
6.0 | 7.6 | 0.364 | 0.655 | 40.0% | 105.5% | 9.1% |
| 6.9 | 8.9 | 0.429 | 0.857 | 52.4% | 138.1% | 4.8% | |
|
#7
Bobby Dalbec
|
6.4 | 8.5 | 0.077 | 0.103 | 15.4% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
|
#8
Pablo Reyes
|
5.6 | 7.3 | 0.167 | 0.204 | 24.1% | 44.4% | 0.0% |
| 3.9 | 5.3 | 0.139 | 0.25 | 19.4% | 44.4% | 2.8% |
Cubs Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Red Sox Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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