Cubs vs Red Sox Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 26th 2024

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the Chicago Cubs, boasting a solid 16-9 record, storm into the historic Fenway Park to clash with the Boston Red Sox, who are hanging in there at 14-12. It’s a perfect evening for baseball in Boston with the sun shining, a brisk breeze from the east, and the crowd buzzing with anticipation for the 07:10 PM showdown. Both teams are hungry for a win to tighten their grips in their respective conference standings, making the even betting lines and an 8-run over/under promise a nail-biter. Fresh off a victory against Houston, the Cubs are fired up, while the Red Sox are itching to bounce back from their recent narrow defeat to Cleveland. So, as the Cubs try to plant their flag deep in Red territory, let’s see if the Sox can sock it to ’em in a battle that’s more than just about runs and hits!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 26, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Weather: Sunny with winds from the ENE at 11.9 mph. Temperature is at 48.0° with 49% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CHC ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-110	-110	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-109	-111	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+1	-1	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

112W-140L

52.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

130W-118L

47.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/14/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+3.0
07/14/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Over	+3.0
07/15/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+6.0
07/15/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	10	Over	+6.0
07/16/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	11	Over	+8.0
07/16/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+8.0

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Shota Imanaga

ERA 0.844 | IP 21.3 | 3.0W-0.0L | KO 21.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-20-24	vsMIA	3-5W	6.0	5	3	5	Over
04-13-24	@SEA	4-1W	5.3	5	1	4	Under
04-07-24	vsLAD	1-8W	4.0	2	0	3	Over
04-01-24	vsCOL	0-5W	6.0	2	0	9	Under

Kutter Crawford

ERA 0.659 | IP 27.3 | 1.0W-0.0L | KO 30.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-20-24	@PIT	4-2W	6.0	7	1	6	Under
04-15-24	vsCLE	6-0L	5.7	2	0	6	Under
04-10-24	vsBAL	7-5L	5.0	2	0	6	Over
04-05-24	@LAA	8-6W	4.7	2	1	5	Over
03-30-24	@SEA	3-4L	6.0	3	1	7	Under
09-30-23	@BAL	2-5L	6.0	1	0	7	Under
09-24-23	vsCWS	3-2L	5.3	4	3	7	Under
09-18-23	@TEX	4-2W	6.0	4	2	7	Under
09-12-23	vsNYY	4-1L	4.7	3	1	7	Under
09-05-23	@TB	6-8L	3.7	3	5	5	Over

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/27	@ HOU	3-1W	7	1	Under
04/26	@ HOU	4-3W	8	1	Under
04/25	@ HOU	7-2W	6	3	Over
04/23	@ MIA	3-6L	8	0	Over
04/22	@ MIA	2-3L	7	0	Under
04/22	@ MIA	5-3W	7	2	Over
04/21	@ MIA	8-3W	10	0	Over
04/19	vs ARI	5-3W	9	1	Over
04/18	vs ARI	11-11L	14	1	Over
04/17	vs ARI	3-2W	9	1	Under
04/16	vs SEA	3-2W	8	1	Under
04/15	vs SEA	4-1W	6	3	Under
04/14	vs SEA	2-4L	4	1	Under
04/12	vs SD	2-10L	3	1	Over
04/11	vs SD	5-1W	9	2	Under

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/27	vs CLE	4-5L	10	0	Over
04/26	vs CLE	8-0W	16	3	Over
04/25	vs CLE	1-4L	6	1	Under
04/23	vs PIT	6-1W	8	0	Under
04/22	vs PIT	4-2W	7	1	Under
04/21	vs PIT	8-1W	12	4	Over
04/20	@ CLE	4-5L	6	0	Over
04/19	@ CLE	2-0W	5	1	Under
04/18	@ CLE	7-10L	11	3	Over
04/17	@ CLE	0-6L	3	0	Under
04/16	@ LAA	5-4W	7	3	Over
04/15	@ LAA	7-2W	11	1	Over
04/14	@ LAA	0-7L	3	0	Under
04/13	@ BAL	4-9L	8	1	Over
04/12	@ BAL	5-7L	8	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Nico Hoerner	7.3	9.5	0.289	0.389	43.3%	82.2%	0.0%
#2 Mike Tauchman	7.4	10.0	0.298	0.491	54.4%	103.5%	3.5%
#3 Ian Happ	7.6	10.3	0.226	0.345	41.7%	76.2%	1.2%
#4 Michael Busch	6.8	9.1	0.266	0.532	38.0%	91.1%	7.6%
#5 Christopher Morel	7.0	9.4	0.205	0.352	33.0%	68.2%	3.4%
#6 Dansby Swanson	6.5	8.6	0.236	0.393	34.8%	74.2%	3.4%
#7 Matt Mervis	7.4	7.4	0.0	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#8 Yan Gomes	6.0	7.4	0.189	0.297	18.9%	48.6%	2.7%
#9 Pete Crow-Armstrong	5.2	7.2	0.25	1.0	25.0%	125.0%	25.0%

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ceddanne Rafaela	6.8	9.0	0.163	0.279	22.1%	50.0%	1.2%
#2 Jarren Duran	7.5	9.5	0.255	0.364	35.5%	71.8%	0.9%
#3 Tyler O’Neill	8.4	11.1	0.298	0.667	52.6%	119.3%	12.3%
#4 Rafael Devers	7.3	9.7	0.263	0.491	45.6%	94.7%	5.3%
#5 Connor Wong	6.0	7.6	0.364	0.655	40.0%	105.5%	9.1%
#6 Rob Refsnyder	6.9	8.9	0.429	0.857	52.4%	138.1%	4.8%
#7 Bobby Dalbec	6.4	8.5	0.077	0.103	15.4%	25.6%	0.0%
#8 Pablo Reyes	5.6	7.3	0.167	0.204	24.1%	44.4%	0.0%
#9 Enmanuel Valdez	3.9	5.3	0.139	0.25	19.4%	44.4%	2.8%