Cubs vs Reds Game Breakdown
Cubs
51W-56L
July 29, 2024
07:10PM EST
Odds: 9.0 o/u
Reds
50W-55L
Get ready to paint the town red and blue as the Chicago Cubs, boasting a 51-56 record, gear up to clash with the equally hungry Cincinnati Reds, who are sitting pretty at 50-55, at the iconic Great American Ball Park tonight at 07:10 PM EST. Both teams, trailing by 10 games in the National League race, are itching to claw their way up the standings, making every pitch, swing, and catch crucial. With the betting world slightly tilting towards the Cubs at -114 against the Reds’ -106 and an over/under that promises a sizzling 9 runs, expect sparks to fly. The Reds, fresh off a nail-biter against TB, and the Cubs, who recently trounced KC, will bring their A-game in weather that’s as perfect for baseball as you can get—partly cloudy, a gentle breeze, and the mercury hitting a comfy 81.3°. So, as the Cubs try to plant their flag and the Reds aim to paint the scoreboard, tonight’s game is all set to be a masterpiece in the making.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: July 29, 2024 07:10PM EST
Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Weather: Partly Cloudy with winds from the SW at 6.5 mph. Temperature is at 81.3° with 66% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| CHC ML | CIN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -114 | -106 | 9.0 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Recent | -110 | -110 | 9.5 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Difference | +4 | -4 | +0.5 | – |
Team Performance
52.4% Win Probability
47.6% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/31/24 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 5 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 4 | ||||
| 06/01/24 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 5 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 7 | ||||
| 06/02/24 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 5 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 2 | ||||
| 06/06/24 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 4 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 8 | ||||
| 06/07/24 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 2 | Under | -4.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 3 | ||||
| 06/08/24 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 3 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 4 | ||||
| 06/09/24 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 4 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 2 | ||||
| 04/03/23 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 6 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 7 | ||||
| 04/04/23 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 12 | Over | +8.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 5 | ||||
| 09/01/23 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 6 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 2 | ||||
| 05/26/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 9 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 0 | ||||
| 05/27/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 8 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 5 | ||||
| 05/28/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 8 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 5 | ||||
| 07/31/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 6 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 5 | ||||
| 08/01/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 9 | Over | +20.0 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 20 | ||||
| 08/02/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 6 | Over | +13.0 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 16 | ||||
| 08/03/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 3 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 5 | ||||
| 09/01/23 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 2 | Under | -4.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 3 | ||||
| 09/02/23 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 1 | Under | -6.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 2 | ||||
| 09/03/23 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 15 | Over | +13.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 7 |
Cubs Vs Over/Under
Reds Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23-24 | vsMIL | 1-0L | 7.3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | Under |
| 07-09-24 | @BAL | 9-2W | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | Over |
| 07-04-24 | vsPHI | 2-10W | 7.0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | Over |
| 06-28-24 | @MIL | 2-4L | 6.0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | Under |
| 06-22-24 | vsNYM | 1-8W | 7.0 | 6 | 1 | 10 | Under |
| 06-16-24 | vsSTL | 2-1L | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | Under |
| 06-11-24 | @TB | 2-5L | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | Under |
| 06-05-24 | vsCWS | 6-7W | 5.0 | 10 | 5 | 6 | Over |
| 05-30-24 | @MIL | 4-6L | 6.0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | Over |
| 05-25-24 | @STL | 6-7L | 5.7 | 9 | 3 | 3 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12-24 | vsMIA | 4-7W | 5.0 | 6 | 3 | 9 | Over |
| 07-05-24 | vsDET | 5-4L | 4.7 | 8 | 4 | 3 | Under |
| 06-29-24 | @STL | 9-4W | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | Over |
| 06-24-24 | vsPIT | 5-11W | 6.0 | 7 | 3 | 5 | Over |
| 06-17-24 | @PIT | 1-4L | 6.0 | 7 | 4 | 5 | Under |
| 06-09-24 | vsCHC | 4-2L | 5.7 | 4 | 0 | 7 | Under |
| 05-26-24 | vsLAD | 1-4W | 3.3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | Under |
| 05-22-24 | vsSD | 7-3L | 3.3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | Over |
| 05-18-24 | @LAD | 0-4L | 3.0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | Under |
| 04-09-24 | vsMIL | 9-5L | 4.0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | Over |
Cubs Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/30 | vs KC | 7-3W | 12 | 1 | Over |
| 07/29 | vs KC | 9-4W | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 07/28 | vs KC | 0-6L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 07/26 | @ MIL | 2-3L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 07/25 | @ MIL | 0-1L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 07/24 | @ MIL | 3-1W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 07/23 | @ ARI | 2-1W | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 07/22 | @ ARI | 0-3L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 07/21 | @ ARI | 2-5L | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 07/15 | vs STL | 4-5L | 12 | 1 | Under |
| 07/15 | vs STL | 3-11L | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 07/14 | vs STL | 5-1W | 13 | 0 | Under |
| 07/13 | vs BAL | 8-0W | 13 | 1 | Under |
| 07/12 | vs BAL | 4-0W | 11 | 1 | Under |
| 07/11 | vs BAL | 9-2W | 14 | 2 | Over |
Reds Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/30 | vs TB | 1-1L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 07/29 | vs TB | 0-4L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 07/28 | vs TB | 3-2W | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 07/26 | vs ATL | 9-4W | 12 | 2 | Over |
| 07/24 | vs ATL | 4-1W | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 07/23 | vs WAS | 2-5L | 5 | 2 | Under |
| 07/22 | vs WAS | 4-5L | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 07/21 | vs WAS | 5-7L | 7 | 0 | Over |
| 07/15 | @ MIA | 10-6W | 10 | 6 | Over |
| 07/14 | @ MIA | 7-4W | 11 | 3 | Over |
| 07/13 | @ COL | 8-1W | 14 | 3 | Under |
| 07/12 | @ COL | 5-6L | 12 | 2 | Over |
| 07/11 | @ COL | 12-6W | 13 | 4 | Over |
| 07/10 | @ COL | 6-0W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 07/09 | @ DET | 1-5L | 4 | 0 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Chicago Cubs | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Nico Hoerner
|
8.4 | 10.9 | 0.248 | 0.340 | 0.367 | 0.706 | 0.291 | 0.011 |
| 8.3 | 11.0 | 0.266 | 0.453 | 0.406 | 0.859 | 0.345 | 0.037 | |
|
#3
Seiya Suzuki
|
9.1 | 11.9 | 0.265 | 0.482 | 0.385 | 0.867 | 0.350 | 0.049 |
|
#4
Ian Happ
|
8.8 | 11.9 | 0.226 | 0.421 | 0.393 | 0.814 | 0.327 | 0.042 |
| 8.1 | 10.5 | 0.222 | 0.348 | 0.324 | 0.673 | 0.278 | 0.027 | |
| 7.2 | 9.4 | 0.247 | 0.356 | 0.397 | 0.753 | 0.305 | 0.020 | |
| 5.4 | 6.8 | 0.198 | 0.233 | 0.279 | 0.512 | 0.217 | 0.000 | |
|
#8
Miguel Amaya
|
6.0 | 7.7 | 0.216 | 0.296 | 0.312 | 0.608 | 0.254 | 0.015 |
| 6.4 | 8.0 | 0.188 | 0.276 | 0.249 | 0.525 | 0.222 | 0.006 |
| Cincinnati Reds | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 11.2 | 0.261 | 0.398 | 0.427 | 0.825 | 0.331 | 0.024 | |
| 11.0 | 14.1 | 0.262 | 0.483 | 0.398 | 0.882 | 0.353 | 0.044 | |
| 8.7 | 11.6 | 0.239 | 0.432 | 0.371 | 0.804 | 0.326 | 0.040 | |
|
#4
TJ Friedl
|
8.5 | 11.4 | 0.200 | 0.333 | 0.343 | 0.676 | 0.281 | 0.038 |
| 7.9 | 10.4 | 0.231 | 0.439 | 0.313 | 0.752 | 0.310 | 0.046 | |
| 6.7 | 8.9 | 0.225 | 0.417 | 0.339 | 0.756 | 0.309 | 0.041 | |
|
#7
Jake Fraley
|
7.6 | 9.5 | 0.275 | 0.365 | 0.351 | 0.716 | 0.295 | 0.009 |
|
#8
Noelvi Marte
|
6.1 | 8.0 | 0.182 | 0.284 | 0.239 | 0.523 | 0.223 | 0.023 |
|
#9
Will Benson
|
6.1 | 8.1 | 0.194 | 0.388 | 0.315 | 0.703 | 0.289 | 0.040 |
Cubs Notable Injuries
- Cody Bellinger OUT (OF): Avg: 0.269 SLG:0.41 Last game: 07/12/24. Impact: 2.6
- Hayden Wesneski OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/21/24. Impact: 2.6
- Tomas Nido OUT (C): Avg: 0.19 SLG:0.294 Last game: 07/26/24. Impact: 0.8
- Colten Brewer OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/08/24. Impact: 0.7
- Luke Little OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 1.2
Reds Notable Injuries
- Carson Spiers OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 5.4
- Nick Martini OUT (OF): Avg: 0.212 SLG:0.37 Last game: 07/08/24. Impact: 2.3
- Luke Maile OUT (C): Avg: 0.176 SLG:0.265 Last game: 07/06/24. Impact: 1.6
- Brent Suter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/21/24. Impact: 1.2
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