Cubs vs Reds Game Breakdown

Chicago Cubs

Cubs

51W-57L

Chicago Cubs

July 30, 2024

07:10PM EST

Odds: 4.5 o/u

Reds

51W-55L

Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds

Get ready to dive into the heart of the National League action as the Chicago Cubs, with a record teetering just below the .500 mark, storm into the Great American Ball Park to face off against the equally eager Cincinnati Reds. It’s a mid-conference clash that promises sparks with both teams looking to claw their way up the standings, each sitting about a stone’s throw from the coveted top spot. The stakes are high and the bats are hot, especially after yesterday’s showdown where the Reds took the Cubs to school with a commanding 7-1 victory. With the first pitch set to soar at 07:10 PM EST under a clear sky and a gentle breeze, this matchup is not just about settling scores. The odds-makers are stirring the pot too, setting a tight line that’s got the crowd buzzing. So, as the sun sets over Cincinnati tonight, will the Cubs bear down, or will the Reds’ recent victory light a fire that’s too hot to handle?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 30, 2024 07:10PM EST
Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Weather: Sunny with winds from the WNW at 7.6 mph. Temperature is at 85.2° with 51% humidity.

Vegas Odds

CHC ML CIN ML Over/Under Line
Open -135 +113 9.0 -1.5/1.5
Recent -138 +115 9.0 -1.5/1.5
Difference -3 +2 0 –

Team Performance

chc Team Logo
LAST 10
4W-6L
AWAY
129W-166L

58.0% Win Probability

cin Team Logo
LAST 10
5W-5L
HOME
138W-154L

42.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Runs O/U O/U DIFF ATS
05/31/24 Cincinnati Reds CIN 5 Over +4.5
Chicago Cubs CHC 4
06/01/24 Cincinnati Reds CIN 5 Over +7.5
Chicago Cubs CHC 7
06/02/24 Cincinnati Reds CIN 5 Over +2.5
Chicago Cubs CHC 2
06/06/24 Chicago Cubs CHC 4 Over +7.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 8
06/07/24 Chicago Cubs CHC 2 Over +0.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 3
06/08/24 Chicago Cubs CHC 3 Over +2.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 4
06/09/24 Chicago Cubs CHC 4 Over +1.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 2
07/29/24 Chicago Cubs CHC 1 Over +3.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 7
04/03/23 Chicago Cubs CHC 6 Over +8.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 7
04/04/23 Chicago Cubs CHC 12 Over +12.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 5
09/01/23 Chicago Cubs CHC 6 Over +3.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 2
05/26/23 Cincinnati Reds CIN 9 Over +4.5
Chicago Cubs CHC 0
05/27/23 Cincinnati Reds CIN 8 Over +8.5
Chicago Cubs CHC 5
05/28/23 Cincinnati Reds CIN 8 Over +8.5
Chicago Cubs CHC 5
07/31/23 Cincinnati Reds CIN 6 Over +6.5
Chicago Cubs CHC 5
08/01/23 Cincinnati Reds CIN 9 Over +24.5
Chicago Cubs CHC 20
08/02/23 Cincinnati Reds CIN 6 Over +17.5
Chicago Cubs CHC 16
08/03/23 Cincinnati Reds CIN 3 Over +3.5
Chicago Cubs CHC 5
09/01/23 Chicago Cubs CHC 2 Over +0.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 3
09/02/23 Chicago Cubs CHC 1 Under -1.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 2
09/03/23 Chicago Cubs CHC 15 Over +17.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 7

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Reds Vs Over/Under

Justin Steele
Justin Steele
ERA 3.363 | IP 96.3 | 2.0W-4.0L | KO 91.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
07-24-24 vsMIL 3-2L 5.3 6 2 4 Under
07-19-24 vsARI 5-2L 4.7 9 5 6 Under
07-11-24 @BAL 8-0W 7.0 3 0 4 Under
07-05-24 vsLAA 1-5W 9.0 2 1 7 Under
06-29-24 @MIL 5-3W 6.0 7 3 5 Under
06-24-24 @SF 4-5L 7.3 6 2 9 Push
06-18-24 vsSF 2-5W 6.7 4 2 8 Under
06-13-24 @TB 2-3L 6.0 3 0 5 Under
06-07-24 @CIN 2-3L 7.0 5 3 7 Under
06-01-24 vsCIN 5-7W 5.0 7 5 5 Over
Nick Martinez
Nick Martinez
ERA 3.822 | IP 73.0 | 4.0W-5.0L | KO 57.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
07-26-24 @TB 3-2W 2.0 1 0 2 Under
07-12-24 vsMIA 4-7W 3.0 3 0 2 Over
07-09-24 vsCOL 6-12W 1.3 1 0 3 Over
07-07-24 vsDET 5-1L 2.0 3 1 2 Under
07-04-24 @NYY 8-4W 2.0 2 2 0 Over
07-02-24 @NYY 5-4W 1.3 1 0 0 Push
06-28-24 @STL 0-1L 2.0 2 0 0 Under
06-23-24 vsBOS 7-4L 1.0 1 0 3 Over
06-21-24 vsBOS 2-5W 1.0 1 0 1 Under
06-19-24 @PIT 0-1L 0.7 1 1 1 Under

Cubs Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
07/31 vs CIN 1-7L 3 1 Under
07/30 vs KC 7-3W 12 1 Over
07/29 vs KC 9-4W 9 2 Over
07/28 vs KC 0-6L 4 0 Under
07/26 @ MIL 2-3L 6 1 Under
07/25 @ MIL 0-1L 7 0 Under
07/24 @ MIL 3-1W 8 1 Under
07/23 @ ARI 2-1W 4 0 Under
07/22 @ ARI 0-3L 4 0 Under
07/21 @ ARI 2-5L 8 0 Under
07/15 vs STL 4-5L 12 1 Push
07/15 vs STL 3-11L 7 2 Over
07/14 vs STL 5-1W 13 0 Under
07/13 vs BAL 8-0W 13 1 Under
07/12 vs BAL 4-0W 11 1 Under

Reds Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
07/31 @ CHC 7-1W 9 3 Under
07/30 vs TB 1-1L 6 0 Under
07/29 vs TB 0-4L 4 0 Under
07/28 vs TB 3-2W 3 0 Under
07/26 vs ATL 9-4W 12 2 Over
07/24 vs ATL 4-1W 9 1 Under
07/23 vs WAS 2-5L 5 2 Under
07/22 vs WAS 4-5L 7 1 Push
07/21 vs WAS 5-7L 7 0 Over
07/15 @ MIA 10-6W 10 6 Over
07/14 @ MIA 7-4W 11 3 Over
07/13 @ COL 8-1W 14 3 Push
07/12 @ COL 5-6L 12 2 Over
07/11 @ COL 12-6W 13 4 Over
07/10 @ COL 6-0W 8 1 Under

Team’s Batting Order

Chicago Cubs DK FD AVG SLG OBP OPS wOBA HR/Rate
#1 Nico Hoerner
8.5 11.0 0.248 0.339 0.365 0.704 0.290 0.011
#2 Michael Busch
8.9 11.7 0.266 0.461 0.409 0.870 0.348 0.040
#3 Christopher Morel
9.2 12.3 0.196 0.355 0.349 0.704 0.288 0.045
#3 Seiya Suzuki
9.3 12.2 0.262 0.476 0.380 0.856 0.346 0.048
#4 Cody Bellinger
9.0 11.6 0.269 0.410 0.365 0.776 0.317 0.029
#5 Isaac Paredes
8.7 11.6 0.247 0.439 0.422 0.861 0.343 0.044
#6 Ian Happ
8.8 11.9 0.226 0.419 0.391 0.810 0.325 0.042
#7 Dansby Swanson
7.4 9.6 0.221 0.346 0.325 0.672 0.277 0.027
#8 Pete Crow-Armstrong
6.2 7.8 0.185 0.272 0.245 0.516 0.218 0.005
#9 Miguel Amaya
5.7 7.3 0.213 0.292 0.307 0.599 0.251 0.015
Cincinnati Reds DK FD AVG SLG OBP OPS wOBA HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India
7.8 10.3 0.262 0.397 0.429 0.826 0.331 0.024
#2 Elly De La Cruz
8.7 11.2 0.262 0.483 0.398 0.882 0.353 0.044
#3 Tyler Stephenson
8.0 10.6 0.226 0.416 0.343 0.759 0.311 0.040
#4 Spencer Steer
8.4 11.2 0.239 0.433 0.370 0.803 0.326 0.039
#5 Jeimer Candelario
8.3 10.9 0.231 0.445 0.313 0.758 0.312 0.048
#6 Stuart Fairchild
6.3 8.2 0.230 0.372 0.333 0.705 0.291 0.033
#7 Noelvi Marte
6.3 8.3 0.185 0.293 0.239 0.533 0.227 0.022
#8 Ty France
6.0 7.9 0.225 0.352 0.356 0.708 0.292 0.027
#9 Austin Slater
5.0 6.7 0.189 0.226 0.387 0.613 0.254 0.009

Cubs Notable Injuries

  • Cody Bellinger OUT (OF): Avg: 0.269 SLG:0.41 Last game: 07/12/24. Impact: 2.6
  • Hayden Wesneski OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/21/24. Impact: 2.6
  • Tomas Nido OUT (C): Avg: 0.19 SLG:0.294 Last game: 07/26/24. Impact: 0.8
  • Colten Brewer OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/08/24. Impact: 0.7
  • Luke Little OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 1.2

Reds Notable Injuries

  • Nick Martini OUT (OF): Avg: 0.212 SLG:0.37 Last game: 07/08/24. Impact: 2.3
  • Luke Maile OUT (C): Avg: 0.176 SLG:0.265 Last game: 07/06/24. Impact: 1.6
  • Brent Suter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/21/24. Impact: 1.2
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