Cubs vs Brewers Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB action as the Chicago Cubs, sitting at a precarious 38-44, gear up to clash with the Milwaukee Brewers, who are brewing up a storm atop the National League with a solid 48-33 record. The stage is set at American Family Field, with the first pitch hurling at us at 08:10 PM EST tonight. With the Cubs trying to claw their way up from 10.5 games back and the Brewers holding the fort at the top, the stakes are as high as the humidity, which is pushing 84% amid a breezy, light rain. The odds-makers have the line drawn with the Brewers favored at -135 and an over/under that teases at 8.5 runs. Both teams are stepping onto the diamond fresh off recent victories, sparking hopes for a fiercely competitive showdown. So, will the Cubs bear down, or will the Brewers serve up a storm? One thing’s for sure, this isn’t just any game—it’s a full-blown brew-haha!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 28, 2024 08:10PM EST

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee

Weather: Light rain with winds from the S at 3.8 mph. Temperature is at 70.0° with 84% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CHC ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+113	-135	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+116	-139	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+3	-4	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

122W-160L

46.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

163W-114L

53.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/03/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-4.5
05/03/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-4.5
05/04/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Over	+2.5
05/04/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+2.5
05/05/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	0	Under	-3.5
05/05/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Under	-3.5
05/27/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-2.5
05/27/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Under	-2.5
05/28/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+0.5
05/28/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Over	+0.5
05/29/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+7.5
05/29/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	10	Over	+7.5
05/30/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Over	+1.5
05/30/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+1.5
03/30/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	0	Under	-4.5
03/30/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Under	-4.5
10/01/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	0	Under	-4.5
10/01/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Under	-4.5
04/01/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-4.5
04/01/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-4.5
04/02/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	9	Over	+5.5
04/02/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+5.5
07/03/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+5.5
07/03/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	8	Over	+5.5
07/04/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	7	Over	+4.5
07/04/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+4.5
07/05/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Under	-1.5
07/05/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-1.5
07/06/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+2.5
07/06/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+2.5
08/28/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Under	-0.5
08/28/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-0.5
08/29/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	0	Under	-7.5
08/29/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-7.5
08/30/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-3.5
08/30/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-3.5
09/29/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-1.5
09/29/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Under	-1.5
09/30/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	10	Over	+7.5
09/30/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+7.5

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Jameson Taillon

ERA 2.898 | IP 68.3 | 4.0W-3.0L | KO 53.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-22-24	vsNYM	1-8W	7.0	6	1	10	Over
06-16-24	vsSTL	2-1L	6.0	7	2	3	Under
06-11-24	@TB	2-5L	6.0	4	0	5	Under
06-05-24	vsCWS	6-7W	5.0	10	5	6	Over
05-30-24	@MIL	4-6L	6.0	6	3	4	Over
05-25-24	@STL	6-7L	5.7	9	3	3	Over
05-19-24	vsPIT	3-2L	4.7	6	3	4	Under
05-14-24	@ATL	0-7L	4.0	7	7	2	Under
05-04-24	vsMIL	5-6W	6.0	2	0	7	Over
04-29-24	@NYM	3-1W	7.3	4	1	1	Under

Colin Rea

ERA 3.622 | IP 82.0 | 6.0W-2.0L | KO 54.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-21-24	@SD	5-9L	5.3	6	5	0	Over
06-16-24	vsCIN	4-5W	6.0	4	3	6	Over
06-10-24	vsTOR	1-3W	7.0	3	1	4	Under
06-04-24	@PHI	1-2L	4.0	4	0	2	Under
05-30-24	vsCHC	4-6W	5.3	5	1	5	Over
05-25-24	@BOS	6-3W	5.7	3	2	2	Over
05-19-24	@HOU	4-9L	4.3	8	5	5	Over
05-13-24	vsPIT	8-6L	6.0	6	3	5	Over
05-07-24	@KC	6-5W	4.7	7	4	2	Over
05-01-24	vsTB	1-7W	6.0	4	0	5	Under

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/29	vs SF	5-3W	10	2	Under
06/28	vs SF	3-4L	9	1	Under
06/27	vs SF	1-5L	4	0	Under
06/26	vs SF	4-5L	10	0	Over
06/25	@ NYM	2-5L	7	1	Under
06/24	@ NYM	8-1W	9	1	Over
06/23	@ NYM	1-11L	6	0	Over
06/21	@ SF	6-5W	11	2	Over
06/20	@ SF	5-2W	11	1	Under
06/19	@ SF	6-7L	10	2	Over
06/18	@ STL	1-2L	5	0	Under
06/17	@ STL	5-1W	9	1	Under
06/16	@ STL	0-3L	3	0	Under
06/15	vs TB	2-3L	3	0	Under
06/14	vs TB	4-3W	9	2	Under

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/28	@ TEX	6-5W	11	2	Over
06/27	@ TEX	3-1W	8	1	Under
06/26	@ TEX	6-3W	8	1	Over
06/25	vs SD	6-2W	14	0	Under
06/24	vs SD	4-6L	10	1	Over
06/23	vs SD	5-9L	11	0	Over
06/22	vs SD	6-7L	9	1	Over
06/21	vs LAA	2-0W	6	0	Under
06/20	vs LAA	6-3W	8	1	Over
06/19	vs LAA	3-5L	5	2	Under
06/18	@ CIN	5-4W	8	1	Over
06/17	@ CIN	3-1W	4	1	Under
06/16	@ CIN	5-6L	8	1	Over
06/14	@ TOR	5-4W	11	1	Over
06/13	@ TOR	0-3L	5	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Nico Hoerner	7.8	10.0	0.244	0.337	0.378	0.715	0.293	0.011
#2 Michael Busch	9.3	12.2	0.260	0.442	0.411	0.853	0.341	0.039
#3 Cody Bellinger	8.8	11.4	0.271	0.428	0.364	0.792	0.323	0.033
#4 Seiya Suzuki	7.6	9.9	0.266	0.459	0.381	0.839	0.340	0.041
#5 Ian Happ	7.7	10.3	0.224	0.404	0.393	0.798	0.321	0.037
#6 Christopher Morel	7.1	9.5	0.201	0.384	0.363	0.746	0.303	0.053
#7 Dansby Swanson	6.5	8.5	0.217	0.365	0.321	0.687	0.283	0.032
#8 Pete Crow-Armstrong	6.7	8.4	0.200	0.292	0.275	0.567	0.238	0.008
#9 Miguel Amaya	4.9	6.3	0.194	0.267	0.279	0.545	0.231	0.012

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Brice Turang	8.9	11.3	0.288	0.409	0.394	0.803	0.326	0.018
#2 William Contreras	8.1	10.7	0.295	0.445	0.392	0.837	0.340	0.028
#3 Christian Yelich	9.0	11.6	0.325	0.485	0.466	0.951	0.376	0.034
#4 Willy Adames	8.3	11.1	0.238	0.423	0.381	0.805	0.324	0.042
#5 Jake Bauers	7.1	9.6	0.219	0.408	0.355	0.763	0.311	0.041
#6 Rhys Hoskins	7.7	10.3	0.216	0.409	0.361	0.769	0.312	0.053
#7 Sal Frelick	6.8	8.6	0.269	0.343	0.380	0.722	0.296	0.008
#8 Joey Ortiz	6.5	8.5	0.275	0.455	0.450	0.905	0.357	0.033
#9 Jackson Chourio	5.6	7.3	0.236	0.373	0.302	0.676	0.280	0.036

Cubs Notable Injuries

Javier Assad OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 5.1
Ben Brown OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/10/24. Impact: 5.5
Jordan Wicks OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/16/24. Impact: 4.3
Mike Tauchman OUT (OF): Avg: 0.259 SLG:0.382 Last game: 06/19/24. Impact: 1.7
Mark Leiter Jr. OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 0.1

Brewers Notable Injuries

Robert Gasser OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/03/24. Impact: 5.5
Gary Sanchez OUT (C): Avg: 0.218 SLG:0.401 Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 1.2
Oliver Dunn OUT (3B): Avg: 0.221 SLG:0.316 Last game: 06/14/24. Impact: 1.0