Cubs vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some major league excitement as the Chicago Cubs, boasting an impressive 18-11 record, storm into the Big Apple to clash with the New York Mets at the iconic Citi Field tonight at 07:10 PM EST. The Cubs are looking to keep their top spot in the National League, while the Mets, sitting at a balanced 14-14, are hungry to climb up from 5.5 games back and even the score after yesterday’s defeat. With the betting lines buzzing and an over/under that hints at a tight contest, fans are in for a nail-biter. The air at Citi Field will be crisp and charged, with a slight chill and breezes from the east adding to the high-stakes atmosphere. After the Cubs’ recent triumph over the Mets, tensions and expectations are sky-high. So, as the Cubs try to ‘bear’ down and the Mets ‘swing’ into action, expect every pitch to be a step towards victory or defeat in this metropolitan showdown!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 30, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Overcast with winds from the ENE at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 57.9° with 78% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CHC ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+115	-138	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+102	-122	7.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-13	+16	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

114W-142L

49.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

147W-106L

50.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/29/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-0.5
04/29/24	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-0.5
05/23/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+4.5
05/23/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	7	Over	+4.5
05/24/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+1.5
05/24/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Over	+1.5
05/25/23	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+6.5
05/25/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Over	+6.5
08/07/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Over	+8.5
08/07/23	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+8.5
08/08/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Over	+0.5
08/08/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+0.5
08/09/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Over	+2.5
08/09/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+2.5

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Javier Assad

ERA 2.0 | IP 27.0 | 2.0W-0.0L | KO 26.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-25-24	vsHOU	1-3W	5.7	4	1	5	Under
04-20-24	vsMIA	3-2L	4.7	3	1	3	Under
04-14-24	@SEA	3-2W	5.7	4	2	6	Under
04-08-24	@SD	8-9L	5.0	3	2	7	Over
04-02-24	vsCOL	2-12W	6.0	4	0	5	Over
09-30-23	@MIL	10-6W	1.7	2	0	4	Over
09-28-23	@ATL	3-5L	2.0	1	1	3	Over
09-26-23	@ATL	6-7L	1.0	1	2	2	Over
09-23-23	vsCOL	3-6W	4.0	2	0	6	Over
09-19-23	vsPIT	1-14W	5.0	5	1	8	Over

Sean Manaea

ERA 3.329 | IP 24.3 | 1.0W-1.0L | KO 27.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-24-24	@SF	8-2W	4.7	4	0	6	Over
04-19-24	@LAD	9-4W	5.0	4	2	3	Over
04-13-24	vsKC	11-7L	3.7	9	8	4	Over
04-07-24	@CIN	3-1W	5.0	3	1	6	Under
04-01-24	vsDET	5-0L	6.0	1	0	8	Under
09-27-23	@SD	5-2L	6.0	7	2	8	Push
09-22-23	@LAD	5-1L	7.0	3	0	2	Under
09-17-23	@COL	11-10L	5.3	8	3	3	Over
09-12-23	@CLE	3-1L	5.7	2	3	5	Under
09-06-23	@CHC	2-8W	3.0	4	2	1	Over

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/01	vs NYM	3-1W	3	1	Under
04/30	vs BOS	4-5L	7	1	Over
04/29	vs BOS	0-17L	5	0	Over
04/28	vs BOS	7-1W	14	0	Over
04/27	@ HOU	3-1W	7	1	Under
04/26	@ HOU	4-3W	8	1	Push
04/25	@ HOU	7-2W	6	3	Over
04/23	@ MIA	3-6L	8	0	Over
04/22	@ MIA	5-3W	7	2	Over
04/22	@ MIA	2-3L	7	0	Under
04/21	@ MIA	8-3W	10	0	Over
04/19	vs ARI	5-3W	9	1	Over
04/18	vs ARI	11-11L	14	1	Over
04/17	vs ARI	3-2W	9	1	Under
04/16	vs SEA	3-2W	8	1	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/01	@ CHC	1-3L	4	1	Under
04/30	@ STL	4-2W	8	2	Under
04/29	@ STL	4-7L	7	1	Over
04/28	@ STL	2-4L	8	1	Under
04/26	vs SF	8-2W	10	3	Over
04/25	vs SF	1-5L	9	0	Under
04/24	vs SF	2-5L	4	1	Push
04/23	vs LAD	0-10L	7	0	Over
04/22	vs LAD	6-4W	8	1	Over
04/21	vs LAD	9-4W	14	2	Over
04/19	@ PIT	9-1W	10	2	Over
04/18	@ PIT	3-1W	4	0	Under
04/17	@ PIT	6-3W	8	0	Over
04/16	@ KC	2-1W	8	0	Under
04/15	@ KC	7-11L	9	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Nico Hoerner	7.7	9.9	0.262	0.346	38.3%	72.9%	0.0%
#2 Patrick Wisdom	7.7	11.4	0.2	0.5	30.0%	80.0%	0.0%
#3 Christopher Morel	8.0	10.7	0.212	0.375	31.7%	69.2%	3.8%
#4 Dansby Swanson	8.3	10.9	0.24	0.375	33.7%	71.2%	2.9%
#5 Ian Happ	6.7	9.1	0.212	0.313	38.4%	69.7%	1.0%
#6 Mike Tauchman	6.1	8.2	0.296	0.507	53.5%	104.2%	4.2%
#7 Nick Madrigal	5.4	7.3	0.212	0.273	27.3%	54.5%	0.0%
#8 Miguel Amaya	5.7	7.6	0.214	0.339	30.4%	64.3%	1.8%
#9 Alexander Canario	5.1	6.7	0.25	0.45	40.0%	85.0%	5.0%

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brandon Nimmo	8.2	11.2	0.206	0.353	45.1%	80.4%	2.9%
#2 Starling Marte	7.5	9.5	0.288	0.442	34.6%	78.8%	3.8%
#3 Francisco Lindor	8.6	11.3	0.195	0.363	31.9%	68.1%	4.4%
#4 Pete Alonso	8.0	10.7	0.241	0.491	38.0%	87.0%	7.4%
#5 J.D. Martinez	7.9	9.1	0.308	0.385	30.8%	69.2%	0.0%
#6 Jeff McNeil	6.4	8.2	0.245	0.34	36.2%	70.2%	1.1%
#7 Brett Baty	5.7	7.4	0.253	0.313	34.9%	66.3%	1.2%
#8 Harrison Bader	5.9	7.3	0.265	0.325	30.1%	62.7%	1.2%
#9 Omar Narvaez	4.5	5.9	0.176	0.235	23.5%	47.1%	0.0%