Cubs vs Mets Game Breakdown
Cubs
18W-11L
April 30, 2024
07:10PM EST
Odds: 4.5 o/u
Mets
14W-14L
Get ready to slide into some major league excitement as the Chicago Cubs, boasting an impressive 18-11 record, storm into the Big Apple to clash with the New York Mets at the iconic Citi Field tonight at 07:10 PM EST. The Cubs are looking to keep their top spot in the National League, while the Mets, sitting at a balanced 14-14, are hungry to climb up from 5.5 games back and even the score after yesterday’s defeat. With the betting lines buzzing and an over/under that hints at a tight contest, fans are in for a nail-biter. The air at Citi Field will be crisp and charged, with a slight chill and breezes from the east adding to the high-stakes atmosphere. After the Cubs’ recent triumph over the Mets, tensions and expectations are sky-high. So, as the Cubs try to ‘bear’ down and the Mets ‘swing’ into action, expect every pitch to be a step towards victory or defeat in this metropolitan showdown!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 30, 2024 07:10PM EST
Location: Citi Field, New York
Weather: Overcast with winds from the ENE at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 57.9° with 78% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| CHC ML | NYM ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +115 | -138 | 8.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +102 | -122 | 7.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | -13 | +16 | -1.0 | – |
Team Performance
49.5% Win Probability
50.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/29/24 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 3 | Under | -0.5 | |
| New York Mets NYM | 1 | ||||
| 05/23/23 | New York Mets NYM | 2 | Over | +4.5 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 7 | ||||
| 05/24/23 | New York Mets NYM | 2 | Over | +1.5 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 4 | ||||
| 05/25/23 | New York Mets NYM | 10 | Over | +6.5 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 1 | ||||
| 08/07/23 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 2 | Over | +8.5 | |
| New York Mets NYM | 11 | ||||
| 08/08/23 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 3 | Over | +0.5 | |
| New York Mets NYM | 2 | ||||
| 08/09/23 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 3 | Over | +2.5 | |
| New York Mets NYM | 4 |
Cubs Vs Over/Under
Mets Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-25-24 | vsHOU | 1-3W | 5.7 | 4 | 1 | 5 | Under |
| 04-20-24 | vsMIA | 3-2L | 4.7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | Under |
| 04-14-24 | @SEA | 3-2W | 5.7 | 4 | 2 | 6 | Under |
| 04-08-24 | @SD | 8-9L | 5.0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | Over |
| 04-02-24 | vsCOL | 2-12W | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | Over |
| 09-30-23 | @MIL | 10-6W | 1.7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | Over |
| 09-28-23 | @ATL | 3-5L | 2.0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | Over |
| 09-26-23 | @ATL | 6-7L | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | Over |
| 09-23-23 | vsCOL | 3-6W | 4.0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | Over |
| 09-19-23 | vsPIT | 1-14W | 5.0 | 5 | 1 | 8 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24-24 | @SF | 8-2W | 4.7 | 4 | 0 | 6 | Over |
| 04-19-24 | @LAD | 9-4W | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | Over |
| 04-13-24 | vsKC | 11-7L | 3.7 | 9 | 8 | 4 | Over |
| 04-07-24 | @CIN | 3-1W | 5.0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | Under |
| 04-01-24 | vsDET | 5-0L | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | Under |
| 09-27-23 | @SD | 5-2L | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 8 | Push |
| 09-22-23 | @LAD | 5-1L | 7.0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | Under |
| 09-17-23 | @COL | 11-10L | 5.3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | Over |
| 09-12-23 | @CLE | 3-1L | 5.7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | Under |
| 09-06-23 | @CHC | 2-8W | 3.0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | Over |
Cubs Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01 | vs NYM | 3-1W | 3 | 1 | Under |
| 04/30 | vs BOS | 4-5L | 7 | 1 | Over |
| 04/29 | vs BOS | 0-17L | 5 | 0 | Over |
| 04/28 | vs BOS | 7-1W | 14 | 0 | Over |
| 04/27 | @ HOU | 3-1W | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 04/26 | @ HOU | 4-3W | 8 | 1 | Push |
| 04/25 | @ HOU | 7-2W | 6 | 3 | Over |
| 04/23 | @ MIA | 3-6L | 8 | 0 | Over |
| 04/22 | @ MIA | 5-3W | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 04/22 | @ MIA | 2-3L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 04/21 | @ MIA | 8-3W | 10 | 0 | Over |
| 04/19 | vs ARI | 5-3W | 9 | 1 | Over |
| 04/18 | vs ARI | 11-11L | 14 | 1 | Over |
| 04/17 | vs ARI | 3-2W | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 04/16 | vs SEA | 3-2W | 8 | 1 | Under |
Mets Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01 | @ CHC | 1-3L | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 04/30 | @ STL | 4-2W | 8 | 2 | Under |
| 04/29 | @ STL | 4-7L | 7 | 1 | Over |
| 04/28 | @ STL | 2-4L | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/26 | vs SF | 8-2W | 10 | 3 | Over |
| 04/25 | vs SF | 1-5L | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 04/24 | vs SF | 2-5L | 4 | 1 | Push |
| 04/23 | vs LAD | 0-10L | 7 | 0 | Over |
| 04/22 | vs LAD | 6-4W | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 04/21 | vs LAD | 9-4W | 14 | 2 | Over |
| 04/19 | @ PIT | 9-1W | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 04/18 | @ PIT | 3-1W | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 04/17 | @ PIT | 6-3W | 8 | 0 | Over |
| 04/16 | @ KC | 2-1W | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 04/15 | @ KC | 7-11L | 9 | 3 | Over |
Team’s Batting Order
| Chicago Cubs | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Nico Hoerner
|
7.7 | 9.9 | 0.262 | 0.346 | 38.3% | 72.9% | 0.0% |
| 7.7 | 11.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 30.0% | 80.0% | 0.0% | |
| 8.0 | 10.7 | 0.212 | 0.375 | 31.7% | 69.2% | 3.8% | |
| 8.3 | 10.9 | 0.24 | 0.375 | 33.7% | 71.2% | 2.9% | |
|
#5
Ian Happ
|
6.7 | 9.1 | 0.212 | 0.313 | 38.4% | 69.7% | 1.0% |
| 6.1 | 8.2 | 0.296 | 0.507 | 53.5% | 104.2% | 4.2% | |
| 5.4 | 7.3 | 0.212 | 0.273 | 27.3% | 54.5% | 0.0% | |
|
#8
Miguel Amaya
|
5.7 | 7.6 | 0.214 | 0.339 | 30.4% | 64.3% | 1.8% |
| 5.1 | 6.7 | 0.25 | 0.45 | 40.0% | 85.0% | 5.0% |
| New York Mets | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2 | 11.2 | 0.206 | 0.353 | 45.1% | 80.4% | 2.9% | |
| 7.5 | 9.5 | 0.288 | 0.442 | 34.6% | 78.8% | 3.8% | |
| 8.6 | 11.3 | 0.195 | 0.363 | 31.9% | 68.1% | 4.4% | |
|
#4
Pete Alonso
|
8.0 | 10.7 | 0.241 | 0.491 | 38.0% | 87.0% | 7.4% |
| 7.9 | 9.1 | 0.308 | 0.385 | 30.8% | 69.2% | 0.0% | |
|
#6
Jeff McNeil
|
6.4 | 8.2 | 0.245 | 0.34 | 36.2% | 70.2% | 1.1% |
|
#7
Brett Baty
|
5.7 | 7.4 | 0.253 | 0.313 | 34.9% | 66.3% | 1.2% |
| 5.9 | 7.3 | 0.265 | 0.325 | 30.1% | 62.7% | 1.2% | |
|
#9
Omar Narvaez
|
4.5 | 5.9 | 0.176 | 0.235 | 23.5% | 47.1% | 0.0% |
Cubs Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Mets Notable Injuries
- Starling Marte OUT (OF): Avg: 0.288 SLG:0.442 Last game: 04/28/24. Impact: 3.8
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