Cubs vs Phillies Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Citizens Bank Park as the Chicago Cubs, packing an 80-76 record, roll into Philly to clash with the 92-64 Phillies under the lights at 06:40 PM EST tonight. With the Cubs chasing the pack and the Phillies sitting pretty at the top of the National League, this game is set to be a cracker. The stakes are high, the bats are hot, and with the over/under teasing at 8.0, bettors are buzzing. Fresh off a solid shutout against Washington, the Cubs are pumped, while the Phillies are itching to bounce back from a narrow loss to the Mets. And let’s not forget the weather playing its part—light rain and a gentle breeze might just add that extra twist. So, as the Cubs try to claw their way up and the Phillies aim to fly high, tonight’s game promises to be nothing short of spectacular. Will the Cubs bear down, or will the Phillies take flight? Tune in to find out!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 23, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia

Weather: Light rain with winds from the E at 8.3 mph. Temperature is at 68.2° with 63% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CHC ML	PHI ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+145	-177	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+159	-194	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+14	-17	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

143W-174L

38.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

192W-122L

61.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/02/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+2.0
07/02/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Over	+2.0
07/03/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Push	-0.0
07/03/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Push	-0.0
07/04/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Over	+4.0
07/04/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	10	Over	+4.0
05/19/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	10	Over	+3.0
05/19/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Over	+3.0
05/20/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Over	+7.0
05/20/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	12	Over	+7.0
05/21/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-5.0
05/21/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-5.0
06/27/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-2.0
06/27/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-2.0
06/28/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+5.0
06/28/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+5.0
06/29/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-4.0
06/29/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-4.0

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Nate Pearson

ERA 4.714 | IP 63.0 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 71.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-20-24	vsWAS	1-3W	0.7	2	0	1	Under
09-18-24	vsOAK	5-3L	1.3	4	2	1	Push
09-14-24	@COL	5-6L	1.0	1	1	1	Over
09-13-24	@COL	5-9L	0.7	2	1	0	Over
09-10-24	@LAD	6-3W	1.0	1	0	0	Over
09-08-24	vsNYY	1-2W	2.0	0	0	2	Under
09-04-24	vsPIT	0-12W	1.0	0	0	0	Over
08-30-24	@WAS	7-6W	2.0	1	0	2	Over
08-27-24	@PIT	9-5W	2.0	1	1	3	Over
08-21-24	vsDET	8-2L	2.0	1	0	3	Over

Aaron Nola

ERA 3.584 | IP 188.3 | 12.0W-8.0L | KO 183.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-18-24	@MIL	1-2L	7.0	3	1	9	Under
09-13-24	vsNYM	11-3L	4.3	6	6	7	Over
09-07-24	@MIA	5-9L	4.7	9	5	5	Over
09-01-24	vsATL	2-3W	6.0	4	2	9	Under
08-27-24	vsHOU	0-5W	7.0	4	0	6	Under
08-21-24	@ATL	3-2W	5.3	8	2	5	Under
08-16-24	vsWAS	2-3W	6.7	7	0	4	Under
08-10-24	@ARI	1-11L	5.0	9	4	4	Over
08-05-24	@LAD	3-5L	6.0	8	4	4	Push
07-30-24	vsNYY	7-6L	5.7	7	2	4	Over

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/24	@ WAS	5-0W	7	3	Under
09/24	@ WAS	5-0W	7	3	Under
09/23	@ WAS	1-5L	2	1	Under
09/22	@ WAS	3-1W	6	1	Under
09/21	@ WAS	7-6W	12	1	Over
09/20	@ OAK	3-5L	6	0	Push
09/19	@ OAK	3-4L	11	2	Under
09/18	@ OAK	9-2W	18	1	Over
09/17	vs COL	6-2W	11	3	Push
09/16	vs COL	5-6L	11	2	Over
09/15	vs COL	5-9L	13	1	Over
09/13	vs LAD	8-10L	6	2	Over
09/12	vs LAD	6-3W	11	0	Over
09/11	vs LAD	10-4W	16	2	Over
09/10	@ NYY	2-1W	3	0	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/24	vs NYM	1-2L	5	0	Under
09/24	vs NYM	1-2L	5	0	Under
09/23	vs NYM	3-6L	4	2	Over
09/22	vs NYM	12-2W	17	2	Over
09/21	vs NYM	6-10L	8	1	Over
09/20	vs MIL	1-2L	4	1	Under
09/19	vs MIL	5-1W	10	2	Under
09/18	vs MIL	2-6L	11	1	Push
09/17	@ NYM	2-1W	6	0	Under
09/16	@ NYM	6-4W	8	2	Over
09/15	@ NYM	3-11L	4	1	Over
09/13	@ TB	3-2W	5	1	Under
09/12	@ TB	9-4W	13	3	Over
09/11	@ TB	2-1W	5	1	Under
09/10	vs MIA	1-10L	5	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Ian Happ	8.9	11.9	0.244	0.443	0.392	0.835	0.335	0.044
#2 Dansby Swanson	7.6	10.0	0.244	0.389	0.350	0.739	0.302	0.031
#3 Seiya Suzuki	7.4	9.7	0.277	0.477	0.407	0.884	0.354	0.042
#4 Cody Bellinger	8.1	10.6	0.268	0.431	0.362	0.793	0.324	0.036
#5 Isaac Paredes	6.6	8.9	0.234	0.393	0.408	0.801	0.322	0.036
#6 Michael Busch	6.3	8.4	0.257	0.462	0.385	0.847	0.341	0.046
#7 Nico Hoerner	5.9	7.5	0.268	0.355	0.370	0.725	0.298	0.009
#8 Pete Crow-Armstrong	6.4	8.2	0.237	0.377	0.311	0.689	0.285	0.023
#9 Miguel Amaya	4.8	6.3	0.237	0.379	0.319	0.697	0.288	0.028

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	9.8	13.3	0.249	0.484	0.444	0.927	0.364	0.065
#2 Trea Turner	9.3	11.9	0.297	0.456	0.363	0.820	0.336	0.037
#3 Bryce Harper	9.6	12.7	0.280	0.519	0.418	0.937	0.373	0.054
#4 Alec Bohm	7.2	9.5	0.286	0.456	0.370	0.826	0.338	0.028
#5 Nick Castellanos	7.7	10.1	0.250	0.420	0.333	0.753	0.310	0.037
#6 Bryson Stott	7.3	9.4	0.245	0.358	0.364	0.722	0.295	0.023
#7 J.T. Realmuto	7.3	9.4	0.261	0.420	0.342	0.763	0.314	0.035
#8 Brandon Marsh	6.5	8.5	0.251	0.425	0.381	0.806	0.325	0.040
#9 Cal Stevenson	4.9	6.7	0.250	0.375	0.375	0.750	0.306	0.000

Cubs Notable Injuries

Jordan Wicks OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/19/24. Impact: 2.8
Julian Merryweather OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: 0.2