Cubs vs Phillies Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some major league excitement as the Chicago Cubs, boasting a solid 80-77 record, gear up to clash with the high-flying Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park tonight at 06:40 PM EST! The stakes are sky-high in the National League as the Cubs look to claw back from a 9.5-game deficit, while the Phillies aim to defend their top spot. With the betting lines tipping slightly in favor of the Cubs at -125 and an over/under that promises some serious action at 8.5, tonight’s game is anything but predictable. Fresh off a face-off where the Phillies took a 6-2 victory, and under the partly cloudy skies of Philadelphia, fans are buzzing for what promises to be an electrifying rematch. So, as the Cubs try to out-bat the Liberty Bell ringers, let’s see if they can bear down or if the Phillies will fly high in their own nest!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 24, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the E at 7.6 mph. Temperature is at 64.0° with 73% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CHC ML	PHI ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-125	+105	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-133	+111	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-8	+6	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

143W-175L

57.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

193W-122L

42.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/02/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+1.5
07/02/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Over	+1.5
07/03/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-0.5
07/03/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-0.5
07/04/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Over	+3.5
07/04/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	10	Over	+3.5
09/23/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-0.5
09/23/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Under	-0.5
05/19/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	10	Over	+2.5
05/19/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Over	+2.5
05/20/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Over	+6.5
05/20/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	12	Over	+6.5
05/21/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-5.5
05/21/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-5.5
06/27/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-2.5
06/27/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-2.5
06/28/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+4.5
06/28/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+4.5
06/29/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-4.5
06/29/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-4.5

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Justin Steele

ERA 3.237 | IP 130.7 | 5.0W-5.0L | KO 132.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-18-24	vsOAK	5-3L	2.7	2	0	1	Push
08-27-24	@PIT	9-5W	5.0	6	2	6	Over
08-22-24	vsDET	2-10W	7.0	4	2	10	Over
08-17-24	vsTOR	2-3W	2.0	0	0	3	Under
08-10-24	@CWS	3-1W	6.0	6	1	8	Under
08-04-24	vsSTL	2-6W	6.7	3	2	6	Push
07-30-24	@CIN	3-6L	5.0	6	5	7	Over
07-24-24	vsMIL	3-2L	5.3	6	2	4	Under
07-19-24	vsARI	5-2L	4.7	9	5	6	Under
07-11-24	@BAL	8-0W	7.0	3	0	4	Push

Tanner Banks

ERA 3.913 | IP 69.0 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 75.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-19-24	@NYM	6-10L	3.3	6	8	2	Over
09-14-24	vsNYM	4-6W	3.0	3	0	0	Over
09-07-24	@MIA	5-9L	2.0	3	3	2	Over
09-03-24	@TOR	10-9W	3.0	4	2	0	Over
08-28-24	vsHOU	10-0L	6.0	13	6	0	Over
08-23-24	@KC	4-7L	3.0	8	6	2	Over
08-18-24	vsWAS	6-4L	4.7	4	3	3	Over
08-13-24	vsMIA	5-0L	4.0	4	3	5	Under
06-21-24	vsARI	5-4L	4.0	5	4	3	Over
06-15-24	@BAL	2-6L	5.7	6	3	4	Push
09-21-24	@NYM	3-6L	1.0	1	1	1	Over
09-19-24	@NYM	6-10L	1.0	1	0	1	Over
09-16-24	@MIL	2-6L	1.0	1	1	0	Push
09-10-24	vsTB	4-9W	1.0	1	0	0	Over
09-08-24	@MIA	1-10L	1.0	0	0	2	Over
09-07-24	@MIA	5-9L	1.0	2	1	2	Over
09-03-24	@TOR	10-9W	1.3	2	0	3	Over
08-30-24	vsATL	7-2L	1.0	0	0	2	Over
08-27-24	vsHOU	0-5W	1.0	0	0	0	Under
08-23-24	@KC	4-7L	1.0	0	0	0	Over

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/25	vs PHI	2-6L	7	0	Push
09/24	@ WAS	5-0W	7	3	Under
09/24	@ WAS	5-0W	7	3	Under
09/23	@ WAS	1-5L	2	1	Under
09/22	@ WAS	3-1W	6	1	Under
09/21	@ WAS	7-6W	12	1	Over
09/20	@ OAK	3-5L	6	0	Push
09/19	@ OAK	3-4L	11	2	Under
09/18	@ OAK	9-2W	18	1	Over
09/17	vs COL	6-2W	11	3	Push
09/16	vs COL	5-6L	11	2	Over
09/15	vs COL	5-9L	13	1	Over
09/13	vs LAD	8-10L	6	2	Over
09/12	vs LAD	6-3W	11	0	Over
09/11	vs LAD	10-4W	16	2	Over

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/25	@ CHC	6-2W	11	2	Push
09/24	vs NYM	1-2L	5	0	Under
09/24	vs NYM	1-2L	5	0	Under
09/23	vs NYM	3-6L	4	2	Over
09/22	vs NYM	12-2W	17	2	Over
09/21	vs NYM	6-10L	8	1	Over
09/20	vs MIL	1-2L	4	1	Under
09/19	vs MIL	5-1W	10	2	Under
09/18	vs MIL	2-6L	11	1	Push
09/17	@ NYM	2-1W	6	0	Under
09/16	@ NYM	6-4W	8	2	Over
09/15	@ NYM	3-11L	4	1	Over
09/13	@ TB	3-2W	5	1	Under
09/12	@ TB	9-4W	13	3	Over
09/11	@ TB	2-1W	5	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Ian Happ	10.3	13.7	0.244	0.443	0.392	0.835	0.335	0.044
#2 Dansby Swanson	11.0	14.4	0.244	0.389	0.350	0.739	0.302	0.031
#3 Seiya Suzuki	10.4	13.5	0.276	0.477	0.406	0.883	0.354	0.042
#4 Cody Bellinger	9.4	12.3	0.265	0.427	0.359	0.786	0.321	0.036
#5 Isaac Paredes	9.0	12.0	0.236	0.396	0.411	0.808	0.324	0.036
#6 Michael Busch	7.6	10.1	0.256	0.459	0.383	0.842	0.340	0.045
#7 Nico Hoerner	7.8	9.9	0.268	0.356	0.369	0.725	0.299	0.009
#8 Pete Crow-Armstrong	6.8	8.7	0.235	0.374	0.312	0.686	0.284	0.023
#9 Miguel Amaya	6.4	8.4	0.237	0.379	0.319	0.697	0.288	0.028

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	8.5	11.5	0.250	0.488	0.443	0.932	0.365	0.067
#2 Trea Turner	8.7	11.2	0.296	0.456	0.361	0.817	0.336	0.037
#3 Bryce Harper	8.0	10.6	0.282	0.521	0.421	0.942	0.375	0.054
#4 Alec Bohm	7.8	10.2	0.284	0.454	0.370	0.823	0.337	0.028
#5 Nick Castellanos	7.7	10.1	0.253	0.421	0.337	0.758	0.312	0.037
#6 J.T. Realmuto	7.2	9.3	0.264	0.429	0.344	0.773	0.318	0.037
#7 Edmundo Sosa	6.2	8.1	0.264	0.435	0.347	0.782	0.321	0.029
#8 Austin Hays	6.2	8.0	0.259	0.395	0.336	0.732	0.304	0.018
#9 Johan Rojas	5.0	6.3	0.243	0.323	0.293	0.617	0.258	0.009

Cubs Notable Injuries

Jordan Wicks OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/19/24. Impact: 2.8
Jorge Lopez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/21/24. Impact: 1.7
Julian Merryweather OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: 0.2