Cubs vs Pirates Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into a thrilling showdown as the Chicago Cubs, barely hanging on to their playoff dreams, clash with the scrappy Pittsburgh Pirates tonight at the iconic PNC Park. With the first pitch slated for 06:40 PM EST, this matchup is not just a battle for pride but a desperate fight to climb up the National League rankings. The stakes are as high as the humidity, with the Cubs looking to rebound from a tough loss and the Pirates sailing in on the winds of a recent victory. Odds makers are almost split down the middle, setting the scene for a nail-biter. So, as the Cubs try to claw their way up and the Pirates aim to plunder another win, tonight’s game promises to be an explosive mix of strategy, skill, and a little bit of baseball magic. After all, when Cubs and Pirates clash, it’s not just a game—it’s a treasure hunt where only the bravest will hoist the flag of victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 26, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Weather: Mist with winds from the WSW at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 81.0° with 58% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CHC ML	PIT ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-111	-109	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-102	-118	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+9	-9	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

134W-171L

50.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

141W-164L

49.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/10/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	7	Over	+0.5
05/10/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Over	+0.5
05/11/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	9	Over	+10.5
05/11/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	10	Over	+10.5
05/12/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+0.5
05/12/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Over	+0.5
05/16/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Over	+0.5
05/16/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Over	+0.5
05/17/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	9	Over	+3.5
05/17/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Over	+3.5
05/18/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Under	-7.5
05/18/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-7.5
05/19/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-3.5
05/19/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-3.5
06/13/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+5.5
06/13/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	11	Over	+5.5
06/14/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	6	Over	+7.5
06/14/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	10	Over	+7.5
06/15/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Over	+0.5
06/15/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	7	Over	+0.5
06/19/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	8	Under	-0.5
06/19/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Under	-0.5
06/20/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Under	-4.5
06/20/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Under	-4.5
06/21/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	8	Over	+2.5
06/21/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+2.5
08/24/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+0.5
08/24/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Over	+0.5
08/25/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-5.5
08/25/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-5.5
08/26/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	10	Over	+7.5
08/26/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	6	Over	+7.5
08/27/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	10	Over	+2.5
08/27/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Over	+2.5
09/19/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Over	+6.5
09/19/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	14	Over	+6.5
09/20/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	13	Over	+11.5
09/20/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	7	Over	+11.5
09/21/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+5.5
09/21/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+5.5

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Jameson Taillon

ERA 3.719 | IP 121.0 | 7.0W-8.0L | KO 98.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-21-24	vsDET	8-2L	5.0	6	4	5	Over
08-14-24	@CLE	1-6L	6.0	5	4	6	Under
08-09-24	@CWS	7-6W	5.0	9	5	4	Over
08-03-24	vsSTL	5-4L	6.0	6	1	4	Over
07-29-24	@CIN	1-7L	4.3	6	6	4	Under
07-23-24	vsMIL	1-0L	7.3	4	1	3	Under
07-09-24	@BAL	9-2W	6.0	4	2	7	Over
07-04-24	vsPHI	2-10W	7.0	4	2	7	Over
06-28-24	@MIL	2-4L	6.0	4	4	5	Under
06-22-24	vsNYM	1-8W	7.0	6	1	10	Over

Mitch Keller

ERA 3.716 | IP 145.3 | 11.0W-7.0L | KO 131.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-20-24	@TEX	4-0W	7.0	3	0	9	Under
08-14-24	@SD	2-8L	5.0	8	8	2	Over
08-09-24	@LAD	5-9L	4.0	7	7	5	Over
08-03-24	vsARI	2-4W	4.0	1	0	4	Under
07-28-24	@ARI	6-5W	7.0	2	2	6	Over
07-22-24	vsSTL	1-2W	7.0	6	1	3	Under
07-08-24	vsNYM	2-8W	8.0	7	2	6	Over
07-02-24	vsSTL	7-4L	5.0	9	6	5	Over
06-25-24	@CIN	9-5W	5.7	6	4	6	Over
06-19-24	vsCIN	0-1W	7.0	2	0	7	Under

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/27	vs MIA	2-7L	6	0	Over
08/26	vs MIA	14-2W	17	4	Over
08/25	vs MIA	6-3W	10	3	Over
08/24	@ DET	10-2W	13	1	Over
08/23	@ DET	2-8L	6	1	Over
08/22	@ DET	3-1W	5	1	Under
08/20	@ TOR	0-1L	4	0	Under
08/19	@ TOR	3-2W	5	1	Under
08/18	@ TOR	6-5W	7	4	Over
08/16	vs CLE	1-6L	5	0	Under
08/15	vs CLE	1-2L	5	0	Under
08/14	vs CLE	8-9L	9	2	Over
08/12	vs CWS	3-1W	9	0	Under
08/11	vs CWS	7-6W	16	4	Over
08/09	@ MIN	8-2W	8	2	Over

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/27	@ CIN	4-3W	10	1	Under
08/26	@ CIN	2-10L	3	1	Over
08/25	@ CIN	6-5W	8	0	Over
08/24	@ CIN	7-0W	7	1	Under
08/23	vs TEX	0-1L	8	0	Under
08/22	vs TEX	4-0W	7	0	Under
08/21	vs TEX	3-4L	7	1	Under
08/20	@ SEA	3-10L	5	1	Over
08/19	@ SEA	7-2W	9	3	Over
08/18	@ SEA	5-3W	8	1	Under
08/16	vs SD	2-8L	8	1	Over
08/15	vs SD	0-3L	9	0	Under
08/14	vs SD	1-2L	7	0	Under
08/13	vs LAD	5-6L	9	2	Over
08/12	vs LAD	1-4L	9	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Ian Happ	8.8	11.9	0.230	0.446	0.392	0.838	0.336	0.050
#2 Michael Busch	8.1	10.7	0.259	0.450	0.397	0.847	0.340	0.040
#3 Seiya Suzuki	8.9	11.7	0.266	0.481	0.383	0.865	0.349	0.045
#4 Cody Bellinger	8.3	10.7	0.271	0.424	0.363	0.787	0.322	0.033
#5 Isaac Paredes	7.9	10.5	0.229	0.407	0.391	0.799	0.322	0.041
#6 Nico Hoerner	7.5	9.6	0.251	0.341	0.354	0.695	0.288	0.011
#7 Dansby Swanson	6.9	9.0	0.229	0.357	0.333	0.691	0.285	0.024
#8 Pete Crow-Armstrong	7.1	9.0	0.212	0.354	0.277	0.631	0.263	0.019
#9 Miguel Amaya	5.2	6.7	0.233	0.357	0.314	0.671	0.278	0.027

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Isiah Kiner-Falefa	8.1	10.2	0.281	0.409	0.348	0.757	0.313	0.023
#2 Bryan Reynolds	9.4	12.2	0.279	0.448	0.375	0.823	0.335	0.036
#3 Oneil Cruz	10.1	13.2	0.263	0.469	0.353	0.822	0.335	0.042
#4 Rowdy Tellez	7.3	9.5	0.252	0.407	0.326	0.733	0.303	0.034
#5 Bryan De La Cruz	7.4	9.6	0.244	0.397	0.304	0.702	0.291	0.036
#6 Billy McKinney	7.2	8.7	0.231	0.231	0.231	0.462	0.196	0.000
#7 Yasmani Grandal	6.5	8.6	0.209	0.373	0.271	0.644	0.268	0.040
#8 Jose Rojas	6.7	6.7	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#8 Jared Triolo	5.4	7.1	0.197	0.285	0.322	0.607	0.253	0.020
#9 Ji Hwan Bae	6.3	8.1	0.186	0.214	0.271	0.486	0.207	0.000

Cubs Notable Injuries

No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.

Pirates Notable Injuries

Marco Gonzales OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 3.6
Andrew McCutchen OUT (OF): Avg: 0.236 SLG:0.405 Last game: 08/18/24. Impact: 4.0
Nick Gonzales OUT (2B): Avg: 0.258 SLG:0.381 Last game: 07/29/24. Impact: 1.7
Ke’Bryan Hayes OUT (3B): Avg: 0.228 SLG:0.283 Last game: 08/19/24. Impact: 1.3
Carmen Mlodzinski OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 1.4
Colin Holderman OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 0.1