Cubs vs Padres Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 10th 2024

Well, well, well, if it isn’t our beloved Cubbies, sporting a 7W-4L record, sauntering into sunny Petco Park to lock horns with the 6W-8L Padres. The stage is set for a 06:40PM EST showdown, with the Cubs trailing by a mere 1.5 games in the National League conference, while the Padres are lagging 4.0 games behind. The betting lines are buzzing, folks, with an over/under of 8.0, and the Cubs and Padres lines at 121 and -144 respectively. Now, the Padres are still licking their wounds from a 1-5 loss against Chicago just the other day, while the Cubs are riding high on the wave of that 5-1 victory. The weather gods are playing nice too, promising a sunny evening with a gentle northern breeze at 2.2 mph and a comfortable 61.0° temperature, balanced by a 52% humidity. So, buckle up for this baseball bonanza, because it’s not just the Windy City that can blow away the competition. When the Cubs and Padres clash, it’s not just a game, it’s a bear wrestling a friar under the California sun!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 10, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 61.0° with 52% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CHC ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+121	-144	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+123	-147	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+2	-3	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

108W-137L

44.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

133W-115L

55.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/08/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	8	Over	+9.0
04/08/24	San Diego Padres SD	9	Over	+9.0
04/09/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Under	-2.0
04/09/24	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-2.0
04/25/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-2.0
04/25/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Under	-2.0
04/26/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Push	-0.0
04/26/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Push	-0.0
04/27/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-1.0
04/27/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Under	-1.0
06/02/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-5.0
06/02/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-5.0
06/03/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	0	Under	-2.0
06/03/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Under	-2.0
06/04/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	7	Push	-0.0
06/04/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Push	-0.0
06/05/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	0	Under	-3.0
06/05/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Under	-3.0

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

Kyle Hendricks

ERA 3.769 | IP 131.3 | 6.0W-8.0L | KO 88.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-05-24	vsLAD	7-9W	4.0	8	5	4	Over
03-30-24	@TEX	2-11L	3.7	9	5	2	Over
09-29-23	@MIL	3-4L	4.3	5	3	2	Under
09-21-23	vsPIT	8-6L	6.0	7	3	5	Over
09-16-23	@ARI	6-7L	5.3	7	3	3	Over
09-10-23	vsARI	2-5W	5.7	7	2	4	Under
09-05-23	vsSF	8-11W	5.3	7	5	5	Over
08-30-23	vsMIL	2-3W	6.0	4	1	6	Under
08-25-23	@PIT	1-2L	5.7	6	2	4	Under
08-20-23	vsKC	3-4W	6.3	5	1	3	Under

Joe Musgrove

ERA 3.252 | IP 91.3 | 9.0W-3.0L | KO 90.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-05-24	@SF	2-3L	6.0	4	2	7	Under
03-30-24	vsSF	9-6L	4.7	2	3	6	Over
09-29-23	@SD	3-2W	5.0	4	1	7	Under
09-23-23	@BOS	1-0L	7.0	6	0	11	Under
09-17-23	@MIN	4-0L	6.0	4	3	5	Under
09-12-23	@KC	2-6W	5.3	4	1	8	Push
09-05-23	@KC	6-7W	5.3	8	5	7	Over
08-30-23	@BAL	10-5L	6.0	6	5	7	Over
08-25-23	@OAK	12-4L	4.3	9	9	6	Over
08-20-23	@COL	10-5L	4.7	8	5	6	Over
04-09-24	vsCHC	5-1L	4.0	5	4	5	Under
04-03-24	vsSTL	2-3W	6.0	5	1	7	Under
03-29-24	vsSF	8-3L	5.7	8	4	3	Over
07-28-23	vsTEX	1-7W	6.0	4	0	5	Push
07-23-23	@DET	1-3L	6.0	7	3	6	Under
07-18-23	@TOR	9-1W	6.0	5	1	7	Over
07-04-23	vsLAA	5-8W	7.0	3	1	11	Over
06-29-23	@PIT	4-5L	6.0	7	2	6	Over
06-23-23	vsWAS	3-13W	7.0	6	1	7	Over
06-18-23	vsTB	4-5W	6.0	6	2	1	Over

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/11	vs SD	5-1W	9	2	Under
04/10	vs SD	8-9L	8	0	Over
04/09	@ LAD	8-1W	7	1	Over
04/08	@ LAD	1-4L	7	0	Under
04/07	@ LAD	9-7W	9	2	Over
04/05	@ COL	9-8W	10	1	Over
04/04	@ COL	12-2W	14	4	Over
04/03	@ COL	5-0W	9	0	Under
04/02	vs TEX	9-5W	12	1	Over
04/01	vs TEX	2-11L	5	1	Over
03/30	vs TEX	3-4L	6	0	Under
10/03	vs MIL	0-4L	5	0	Under
10/02	vs MIL	10-6W	13	3	Over
10/01	vs MIL	3-4L	6	2	Under
09/30	vs ATL	3-5L	6	0	Push

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/11	@ CHC	1-5L	4	1	Under
04/10	@ CHC	9-8W	8	3	Over
04/09	vs SF	2-3L	11	0	Under
04/08	vs SF	4-0W	5	1	Under
04/07	vs SF	2-3L	6	0	Under
04/05	@ STL	3-2W	7	1	Under
04/04	@ STL	2-5L	9	0	Under
04/03	@ STL	2-6L	5	2	Push
04/02	@ SF	13-4W	16	2	Over
04/01	@ SF	6-9L	7	2	Over
03/31	@ SF	3-8L	9	3	Over
03/30	@ SF	6-4W	9	0	Over
10/03	vs CWS	2-1W	7	0	Under
10/02	vs CWS	6-1W	12	0	Under
10/01	vs CWS	3-2W	6	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ian Happ	7.1	9.4	0.25	0.43	42.8%	85.8%	3.6%
#2 Seiya Suzuki	7.7	10.1	0.285	0.479	40.4%	88.3%	3.7%
#3 Cody Bellinger	6.6	8.7	0.306	0.526	39.5%	92.1%	5.2%
#4 Christopher Morel	7.4	9.9	0.247	0.51	34.6%	85.7%	6.8%
#5 Dansby Swanson	7.6	10.1	0.244	0.416	37.0%	78.6%	3.9%
#6 Michael Busch	5.4	7.2	0.167	0.292	27.8%	56.9%	2.8%
#7 Nico Hoerner	6.3	8.0	0.286	0.387	38.7%	77.4%	1.5%
#8 Mike Tauchman	4.8	6.4	0.253	0.38	43.4%	81.3%	2.4%
#9 Miguel Amaya	5.6	7.5	0.214	0.359	38.9%	74.8%	3.8%
#9 Yan Gomes	5.2	6.8	0.265	0.407	34.4%	75.1%	2.6%

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Xander Bogaerts	8.8	11.3	0.285	0.441	39.2%	83.3%	3.2%
#2 Fernando Tatis Jr.	9.4	12.3	0.257	0.448	35.6%	80.4%	4.4%
#3 Jake Cronenworth	8.0	10.5	0.229	0.379	35.2%	73.1%	2.2%
#4 Manny Machado	7.9	10.4	0.256	0.451	35.3%	80.3%	5.2%
#5 Ha-Seong Kim	7.3	9.5	0.258	0.399	40.4%	80.3%	3.2%
#6 Jurickson Profar	7.2	9.4	0.244	0.371	36.7%	73.8%	2.0%
#7 Luis Campusano	6.6	8.6	0.313	0.485	37.4%	85.9%	4.3%