Cubs vs Mariners Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 12th 2024

Hey there, sports junkies! Tonight, we’ve got a sizzling showdown at T-Mobile Park as the Chicago Cubs, with a respectable 7W-5L record, are set to claw their way into the den of the 5W-8L Seattle Mariners. Cubs are trailing by a whisker in the National League, 1.5 games back, while the Mariners are two lengths behind in the American League. The first pitch is set to fly at 09:40 PM EST, under a moody overcast sky with a touch of northern breeze. The betting sharks have the over/under pegged at 8.0, with the Cubs line at -102, and the Mariners at -118. The Mariners are riding high on the wave of their recent 6-1 victory against TOR, while the Cubs are licking their wounds after a 2-10 mauling by SD. With the mercury hovering around 48.0° and humidity at a sticky 89%, it’s going to be a damp, chilly night of baseball. So, buckle up, folks! It’s time to see if the Cubs can bear the stormy weather or if the Mariners will sail away with the victory.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 12, 2024 09:40PM EST

Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Weather: Overcast with winds from the N at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 48.0° with 89% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CHC ML	SEA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-102	-118	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+105	-125	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+207	-7	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

108W-138L

48.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

133W-109L

51.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/10/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-3.0
04/10/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-3.0
04/11/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	9	Over	+15.0
04/11/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	14	Over	+15.0
04/12/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Under	-1.0
04/12/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-1.0

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Jordan Wicks

ERA 4.413 | IP 34.7 | 4.0W-1.0L | KO 24.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-06-24	vsLAD	4-1L	4.7	6	2	7	Under
03-31-24	@TEX	9-5W	4.0	5	5	6	Over
09-30-23	@MIL	10-6W	1.7	6	6	1	Over
09-24-23	vsCOL	3-4W	6.0	4	3	3	Under
09-17-23	@ARI	2-6L	4.3	4	3	5	Push
09-11-23	@COL	5-4W	6.0	3	1	2	Over
09-06-23	vsSF	2-8W	6.7	9	2	1	Over
09-01-23	@CIN	6-2W	5.0	5	1	3	Push
08-26-23	@PIT	10-6W	5.0	2	1	9	Over

Bryce Miller

ERA 4.317 | IP 131.3 | 8.0W-7.0L | KO 119.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-06-24	@MIL	5-3W	7.0	3	0	7	Push
03-31-24	vsBOS	5-1L	5.0	6	4	6	Under
09-27-23	vsHOU	8-3L	4.0	6	4	4	Over
09-22-23	@TEX	5-8L	4.3	6	6	2	Over
09-16-23	vsLAD	6-2L	5.3	4	0	4	Push
09-10-23	@TB	3-6L	5.0	9	5	7	Over
09-05-23	@CIN	6-7L	5.0	7	1	2	Over
08-30-23	vsOAK	4-5W	6.0	7	3	5	Over
08-25-23	vsKC	5-7W	4.0	6	3	6	Over
08-18-23	@HOU	2-0W	6.3	2	0	2	Under

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/12	vs SD	2-10L	3	1	Over
04/11	vs SD	5-1W	9	2	Under
04/10	vs SD	8-9L	8	0	Over
04/09	@ LAD	8-1W	7	1	Over
04/08	@ LAD	1-4L	7	0	Under
04/07	@ LAD	9-7W	9	2	Over
04/05	@ COL	9-8W	10	1	Over
04/04	@ COL	12-2W	14	4	Over
04/03	@ COL	5-0W	9	0	Under
04/02	vs TEX	9-5W	12	1	Over
04/01	vs TEX	2-11L	5	1	Over
03/30	vs TEX	3-4L	6	0	Under
10/03	vs MIL	0-4L	5	0	Under
10/02	vs MIL	10-6W	13	3	Over
10/01	vs MIL	3-4L	6	2	Under

Mariners Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/12	vs TOR	6-1W	6	1	Under
04/11	vs TOR	3-5L	6	2	Push
04/10	vs TOR	2-5L	7	2	Under
04/09	vs MIL	4-12L	8	1	Over
04/08	vs MIL	5-3W	10	2	Push
04/07	vs MIL	5-6L	8	0	Over
04/05	@ CLE	0-8L	5	0	Push
04/04	@ CLE	2-5L	9	0	Under
04/03	@ CLE	5-4W	7	1	Over
04/02	@ BOS	1-5L	4	0	Under
04/01	@ BOS	4-3W	7	0	Under
03/31	@ BOS	1-0W	4	1	Under
03/30	@ BOS	4-6L	8	2	Over
10/03	@ TEX	1-0W	4	0	Under
10/02	@ TEX	1-6L	7	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ian Happ	8.2	10.9	0.25	0.43	42.8%	85.8%	3.6%
#2 Seiya Suzuki	7.2	9.4	0.285	0.479	40.4%	88.3%	3.7%
#3 Cody Bellinger	7.2	9.5	0.306	0.526	39.5%	92.1%	5.2%
#4 Christopher Morel	7.0	9.3	0.247	0.51	34.6%	85.7%	6.8%
#5 Dansby Swanson	7.0	9.2	0.244	0.416	37.0%	78.6%	3.9%
#6 Michael Busch	6.0	8.1	0.167	0.292	27.8%	56.9%	2.8%
#7 Nico Hoerner	5.7	7.3	0.286	0.387	38.7%	77.4%	1.5%
#8 Mike Tauchman	5.7	7.6	0.253	0.38	43.4%	81.3%	2.4%
#9 Yan Gomes	5.0	6.6	0.265	0.407	34.4%	75.1%	2.6%

Seattle Mariners	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 J.P. Crawford	8.6	11.5	0.266	0.44	45.3%	89.2%	3.6%
#2 Julio Rodriguez	8.2	10.7	0.275	0.486	36.5%	85.1%	4.9%
#3 Ty France	6.7	8.7	0.253	0.37	38.4%	75.3%	2.1%
#4 Mitch Haniger	6.3	8.4	0.209	0.365	28.9%	65.4%	2.8%
#5 Jorge Polanco	6.6	8.8	0.255	0.454	38.1%	83.4%	4.6%
#6 Mitch Garver	6.7	8.9	0.271	0.503	43.2%	93.5%	6.5%
#7 Cal Raleigh	6.1	8.1	0.232	0.456	34.0%	79.6%	5.9%
#8 Dylan Moore	5.6	7.4	0.207	0.428	34.5%	77.2%	4.8%
#9 Luis Urias	5.6	7.6	0.194	0.299	41.0%	70.8%	2.1%