Cubs vs Cardinals Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some prime MLB action as the Chicago Cubs, boasting a 45-49 record, gear up to clash with the St. Louis Cardinals, who stand at 48-43, in a riveting showdown at Busch Stadium tonight at 08:15 PM EST. With the Cubs trailing by 9 games and the Cardinals by 4.5 in the National League stakes, every pitch counts in this mid-season rumble. The stakes are high with the betting lines buzzing—the over/under teasing at 8.0, Cubs playing the underdog at +163, and the Cardinals holding the fort at -198. Fresh off a commanding 8-0 victory against Baltimore, the Cubs are looking to keep the momentum, while the Cardinals are itching to bounce back from a 5-8 slip against Kansas City. The weather gods are playing nice too, offering partly cloudy skies and a gentle breeze from the northwest, perfect for a game that’s anything but predictable. Tonight, we’ll find out if the Cubs can claw their way to victory or if the Cardinals will fly high on their home turf!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 12, 2024 08:15PM EST

Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NW at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 81.1° with 84% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CHC ML	STL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+163	-198	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+167	-204	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+4	-6	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

126W-162L

37.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

155W-130L

62.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/25/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+5.0
05/25/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	7	Over	+5.0
05/26/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-1.0
05/26/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	4	Under	-1.0
06/14/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	3	Under	-5.0
06/14/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	0	Under	-5.0
06/15/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Under	-2.0
06/15/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Under	-2.0
06/16/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Under	-5.0
06/16/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-5.0
05/08/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	3	Under	-4.0
05/08/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-4.0
05/09/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	6	Over	+2.0
05/09/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Over	+2.0
05/10/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	4	Over	+6.0
05/10/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	10	Over	+6.0
06/24/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	9	Over	+2.0
06/24/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Over	+2.0
06/25/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+4.0
06/25/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	7	Over	+4.0
07/20/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	7	Over	+1.0
07/20/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Over	+1.0
07/21/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	3	Under	-1.0
07/21/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Under	-1.0
07/22/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	6	Over	+6.0
07/22/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	8	Over	+6.0
07/23/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Over	+1.0
07/23/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	7	Over	+1.0
07/27/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	10	Over	+5.0
07/27/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	3	Over	+5.0
07/28/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-3.0
07/28/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Under	-3.0
07/29/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Under	-2.0
07/29/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Under	-2.0
07/30/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	0	Under	-5.0
07/30/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	3	Under	-5.0

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Cardinals Vs Over/Under

Kyle Hendricks

ERA 7.532 | IP 63.3 | 1.0W-7.0L | KO 47.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-06-24	vsLAA	7-0L	2.0	4	2	1	Under
06-30-24	@MIL	1-7L	3.7	7	7	3	Push
06-25-24	@SF	1-5L	7.0	5	2	4	Under
06-19-24	vsSF	5-6W	5.7	2	1	8	Over
06-14-24	vsSTL	3-0L	4.3	2	0	1	Under
06-06-24	@CIN	4-8L	1.3	1	0	0	Over
06-02-24	vsCIN	5-2L	3.0	3	0	3	Under
05-29-24	@MIL	6-10L	3.7	2	3	1	Over
05-23-24	vsATL	3-0L	2.0	4	2	1	Under
05-17-24	vsPIT	9-3L	4.7	11	8	4	Over

Sonny Gray

ERA 3.302 | IP 92.7 | 9.0W-5.0L | KO 115.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-05-24	@WAS	7-6W	5.0	8	5	6	Over
06-29-24	vsCIN	9-4L	4.3	7	6	6	Over
06-23-24	vsSF	3-5W	7.0	1	1	8	Push
06-17-24	@MIA	7-6W	7.7	5	2	4	Over
06-12-24	vsPIT	2-4W	7.0	4	1	9	Under
06-06-24	vsCOL	3-2L	4.7	2	3	5	Under
06-01-24	@PHI	1-6L	5.0	5	4	10	Under
05-26-24	vsCHC	3-4W	5.0	1	0	8	Under
05-20-24	vsBAL	3-6W	5.7	3	3	6	Over
05-14-24	@LAA	7-6W	6.0	8	5	9	Over

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/13	vs BAL	8-0W	13	1	Push
07/12	vs BAL	4-0W	11	1	Under
07/11	vs BAL	9-2W	14	2	Over
07/09	@ LAA	5-0W	7	1	Under
07/08	@ LAA	0-7L	4	0	Under
07/07	@ LAA	5-1W	9	1	Under
07/06	@ PHI	10-2W	12	2	Over
07/05	@ PHI	3-5L	9	0	Push
07/04	@ PHI	4-6L	5	1	Over
07/02	vs MIL	1-7L	2	1	Push
07/01	vs MIL	5-3W	8	2	Push
06/30	vs MIL	2-4L	5	1	Under
06/29	vs SF	5-3W	10	2	Push
06/28	vs SF	3-4L	9	1	Under
06/27	vs SF	1-5L	4	0	Under

Cardinals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/12	@ KC	5-8L	10	1	Over
07/12	@ KC	4-6L	6	3	Over
07/10	vs WAS	6-0W	11	2	Under
07/09	vs WAS	8-3W	13	1	Over
07/08	vs WAS	6-14L	11	0	Over
07/07	vs WAS	7-6W	14	1	Over
07/06	vs PIT	3-2W	10	0	Under
07/05	vs PIT	4-5L	8	1	Over
07/04	vs PIT	7-4W	13	2	Over
07/02	@ CIN	2-0W	7	0	Under
07/01	@ CIN	4-9L	8	1	Over
06/30	@ CIN	1-0W	4	0	Under
06/29	@ CIN	4-11L	7	1	Over
06/28	@ ATL	2-6L	4	0	Push
06/28	@ ATL	4-1W	8	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Nico Hoerner	6.5	8.4	0.248	0.342	0.376	0.718	0.295	0.013
#2 Michael Busch	7.9	10.5	0.278	0.484	0.429	0.912	0.363	0.044
#3 Seiya Suzuki	6.8	8.9	0.264	0.475	0.374	0.849	0.344	0.045
#4 Ian Happ	7.8	10.5	0.238	0.447	0.412	0.859	0.342	0.045
#5 Christopher Morel	6.6	8.8	0.198	0.370	0.355	0.725	0.296	0.049
#6 Dansby Swanson	6.2	8.2	0.209	0.353	0.312	0.664	0.275	0.031
#7 Miles Mastrobuoni	5.2	6.6	0.190	0.222	0.302	0.524	0.222	0.000
#8 Pete Crow-Armstrong	5.9	7.4	0.194	0.285	0.257	0.542	0.229	0.007
#9 Miguel Amaya	4.3	5.6	0.190	0.263	0.274	0.536	0.227	0.011

St. Louis Cardinals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Masyn Winn	8.2	10.4	0.283	0.401	0.362	0.763	0.313	0.013
#2 Alec Burleson	8.3	10.8	0.282	0.472	0.339	0.811	0.334	0.050
#3 Willson Contreras	8.3	11.1	0.263	0.503	0.473	0.976	0.381	0.054
#4 Paul Goldschmidt	8.2	10.7	0.229	0.374	0.318	0.693	0.286	0.036
#5 Brendan Donovan	7.9	10.3	0.267	0.405	0.375	0.780	0.319	0.023
#6 Nolan Arenado	7.8	10.0	0.260	0.375	0.341	0.716	0.296	0.024
#7 Lars Nootbaar	7.4	9.7	0.235	0.418	0.379	0.797	0.321	0.039
#8 Nolan Gorman	7.0	9.4	0.209	0.421	0.313	0.734	0.301	0.057
#9 Michael Siani	5.2	6.6	0.230	0.309	0.277	0.586	0.246	0.010

Cubs Notable Injuries

Javier Assad OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 5.1
Jordan Wicks OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/16/24. Impact: 4.3
Cody Bellinger OUT (OF): Avg: 0.269 SLG:0.41 Last game: 07/12/24. Impact: 2.6
Mike Tauchman OUT (OF): Avg: 0.259 SLG:0.382 Last game: 06/19/24. Impact: 1.7
Keegan Thompson OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: 1.7
Colten Brewer OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/08/24. Impact: 0.7