Reds vs Cubs Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the Cincinnati Reds, dangling at 24W-32L, gear up to clash with the Chicago Cubs, who are slightly ahead with a 28W-29L record, at the iconic Wrigley Field today! With the first pitch at 02:20 PM EST, both teams are hungry to climb up from their spots in the National League rankings, with the Reds 9 games back and the Cubs 5.5. The betting folks are buzzing too, setting the over/under at a tight 8.0, favoring the Cubs at -152 against the Reds at 127. Both teams are shaking off recent stumbles, with the Cubs licking their wounds from a 4-6 defeat against Milwaukee and the Reds reeling from a 3-5 loss to St. Louis. With the sun shining down, a gentle southern breeze, and just the right touch of humidity, it’s a perfect day for baseball. So, as the Reds try to paint Wrigley red and the Cubs aim to claw their way to victory, it’s clear this isn’t just a game—it’s a canvas for rivalry and redemption!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 31, 2024 02:20PM EST

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Weather: Sunny with winds from the S at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 69.1° with 55% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	CHC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+127	-152	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+124	-148	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-3	+4	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

121W-142L

44.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

132W-130L

55.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/03/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+5.0
04/03/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+5.0
04/04/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	12	Over	+9.0
04/04/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Over	+9.0
09/01/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Push	-0.0
09/01/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Push	-0.0
05/26/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	9	Over	+1.0
05/26/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	0	Over	+1.0
05/27/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+5.0
05/27/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+5.0
05/28/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+5.0
05/28/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+5.0
07/31/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+3.0
07/31/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+3.0
08/01/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	9	Over	+21.0
08/01/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	20	Over	+21.0
08/02/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+14.0
08/02/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	16	Over	+14.0
08/03/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Push	-0.0
08/03/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Push	-0.0
09/01/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-3.0
09/01/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-3.0
09/02/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-5.0
09/02/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-5.0
09/03/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	15	Over	+14.0
09/03/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+14.0

Reds Vs Over/Under

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Graham Ashcraft

ERA 4.667 | IP 54.0 | 4.0W-3.0L | KO 43.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-24-24	vsLAD	6-9W	5.3	8	5	3	Over
05-18-24	@LAD	0-4L	5.0	3	3	5	Under
05-13-24	@ARI	5-6L	4.0	7	3	3	Over
05-08-24	vsARI	4-3L	5.0	6	3	2	Under
05-01-24	@SD	2-6L	6.0	5	2	4	Under
04-26-24	@TEX	1-2L	6.3	7	1	3	Under
04-20-24	vsLAA	5-7W	5.0	5	5	4	Over
04-14-24	@CWS	11-4W	5.7	5	2	8	Over
04-08-24	vsMIL	8-10W	5.7	9	6	6	Over
04-02-24	@PHI	4-9L	6.0	4	3	5	Over

Javier Assad

ERA 2.172 | IP 58.0 | 4.0W-1.0L | KO 54.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-26-24	@STL	3-4L	5.0	5	4	8	Under
05-21-24	vsATL	3-4W	4.7	4	3	4	Under
05-15-24	@ATL	7-1W	6.0	4	0	7	Under
05-10-24	@PIT	7-2W	4.3	4	2	4	Push
05-05-24	vsMIL	0-5W	6.0	4	0	4	Under
04-30-24	@NYM	2-4L	5.0	5	1	1	Under
04-25-24	vsHOU	1-3W	5.7	4	1	5	Under
04-20-24	vsMIA	3-2L	4.7	3	1	3	Under
04-14-24	@SEA	3-2W	5.7	4	2	6	Under
04-08-24	@SD	8-9L	5.0	3	2	7	Over

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/31	@ STL	3-5L	8	0	Under
05/30	@ STL	1-7L	4	1	Under
05/29	@ STL	3-1W	5	1	Under
05/28	@ LAD	4-1W	8	0	Under
05/27	@ LAD	3-1W	9	2	Under
05/26	@ LAD	9-6W	6	3	Over
05/25	@ SD	4-6L	8	1	Over
05/24	@ SD	3-7L	6	1	Over
05/23	@ SD	2-0W	3	0	Under
05/21	vs LAD	2-3L	6	0	Under
05/20	vs LAD	0-4L	3	0	Under
05/19	vs LAD	3-7L	7	2	Over
05/18	vs LAD	7-2W	11	1	Push
05/17	vs ARI	1-2L	3	1	Under
05/16	vs ARI	6-2W	13	1	Under

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/01	vs MIL	4-6L	9	3	Over
05/31	vs MIL	6-10L	9	1	Over
05/30	vs MIL	6-3W	9	1	Push
05/29	vs MIL	1-5L	5	0	Under
05/28	vs STL	3-4L	8	2	Under
05/27	vs STL	6-7L	12	0	Over
05/25	@ ATL	0-3L	4	0	Under
05/24	@ ATL	1-9L	3	0	Over
05/23	@ ATL	4-3W	7	0	Under
05/21	@ PIT	2-3L	2	0	Under
05/20	@ PIT	1-0W	5	0	Under
05/19	@ PIT	3-9L	4	1	Over
05/18	@ PIT	4-5L	7	1	Push
05/17	vs ATL	7-1W	13	2	Under
05/16	vs ATL	0-7L	3	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 TJ Friedl	8.5	11.2	0.16	0.2	32.0%	52.0%	0.0%
#2 Elly De La Cruz	9.9	12.8	0.249	0.443	39.8%	84.1%	4.5%
#3 Jeimer Candelario	8.0	10.5	0.224	0.425	33.9%	76.4%	3.4%
#4 Spencer Steer	7.9	10.7	0.221	0.389	39.5%	78.4%	3.2%
#5 Jake Fraley	8.5	10.6	0.27	0.352	36.1%	71.3%	0.8%
#6 Tyler Stephenson	6.9	9.2	0.224	0.403	33.6%	73.9%	3.7%
#7 Nick Martini	6.0	8.2	0.194	0.35	26.2%	61.2%	3.9%
#8 Jonathan India	6.4	8.4	0.222	0.31	40.4%	71.3%	1.8%
#9 Will Benson	6.7	8.8	0.196	0.411	33.9%	75.0%	4.8%

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Mike Tauchman	7.9	10.4	0.263	0.394	42.9%	82.3%	2.3%
#2 Seiya Suzuki	8.7	11.5	0.258	0.414	35.2%	76.6%	3.9%
#3 Cody Bellinger	8.8	11.5	0.267	0.471	36.6%	83.7%	4.7%
#4 Christopher Morel	8.8	11.9	0.198	0.381	35.5%	73.6%	5.1%
#5 Ian Happ	8.0	10.7	0.216	0.363	36.8%	73.2%	2.6%
#6 Nico Hoerner	6.9	8.9	0.251	0.361	38.7%	74.9%	1.0%
#7 Michael Busch	7.9	10.5	0.241	0.446	38.6%	83.1%	4.8%
#8 Dansby Swanson	7.5	9.8	0.205	0.317	31.1%	62.7%	2.5%
#9 Yan Gomes	5.9	7.4	0.158	0.25	17.1%	42.1%	2.6%

Reds Notable Injuries

Christian Encarnacion-Strand OUT (1B): Avg: 0.19 SLG:0.293 Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 1.7
Emilio Pagan OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/21/24. Impact: 1.2
Justin Wilson OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/18/24. Impact: 0.7

Cubs Notable Injuries

Keegan Thompson OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/13/24. Impact: 1.5
Colten Brewer OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/14/24. Impact: 1.8
Yency Almonte OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 1.6
Daniel Palencia OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/08/24. Impact: 1.2
Adbert Alzolay OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/14/24. Impact: 0.4