Reds vs Cubs Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some midday MLB action as the Cincinnati Reds, trailing in their conference, trot over to the iconic Wrigley Field to face the Chicago Cubs in a showdown that promises more twists and turns than a Chicago-style hot dog. With the first pitch at 02:20 PM EST, both teams are looking to claw back from recent stumbles, under the watchful eyes of an overcast Chicago sky stirring up a breezy challenge. Betting enthusiasts are eyeing the over/under with keen interest, setting the stage for a strategic battle on the field. As these two National League contenders step up to the plate, let’s see if the Reds can cook up a victory or if the Cubs will capture them in their den!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 27, 2024 02:20PM EST

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Weather: Overcast with winds from the NE at 17.7 mph. Temperature is at 69.1° with 65% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	CHC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+127	-152	6.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+117	-140	6.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-10	+12	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

148W-168L

46.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

160W-155L

53.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/31/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Over	+2.5
05/31/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Over	+2.5
06/01/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Over	+5.5
06/01/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	7	Over	+5.5
06/02/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Over	+0.5
06/02/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Over	+0.5
06/06/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Over	+5.5
06/06/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+5.5
06/07/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-1.5
06/07/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-1.5
06/08/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Over	+0.5
06/08/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+0.5
06/09/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Under	-0.5
06/09/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-0.5
07/29/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Over	+1.5
07/29/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+1.5
07/30/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Over	+2.5
07/30/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+2.5
07/31/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	13	Over	+10.5
07/31/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+10.5
04/03/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+6.5
04/03/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+6.5
04/04/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	12	Over	+10.5
04/04/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Over	+10.5
09/01/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+1.5
09/01/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Over	+1.5
05/26/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	9	Over	+2.5
05/26/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	0	Over	+2.5
05/27/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+6.5
05/27/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+6.5
05/28/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+6.5
05/28/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+6.5
07/31/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+4.5
07/31/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+4.5
08/01/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	9	Over	+22.5
08/01/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	20	Over	+22.5
08/02/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+15.5
08/02/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	16	Over	+15.5
08/03/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+1.5
08/03/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+1.5
09/01/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-1.5
09/01/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-1.5
09/02/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-3.5
09/02/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-3.5
09/03/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	15	Over	+15.5
09/03/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+15.5

Reds Vs Over/Under

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Nick Martinez

ERA 3.24 | IP 133.3 | 10.0W-6.0L | KO 112.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-20-24	vsPIT	3-8W	6.0	2	0	9	Over
09-14-24	@MIN	11-1W	6.0	3	1	6	Over
09-09-24	@ATL	1-0W	7.0	2	0	5	Under
09-04-24	vsHOU	5-12W	5.7	6	4	7	Over
08-30-24	vsMIL	5-4L	5.3	7	4	3	Over
08-25-24	@PIT	3-4L	3.0	5	2	1	Over
08-21-24	@TOR	11-7W	4.3	6	6	3	Over
08-16-24	vsKC	7-1L	6.0	8	3	4	Over
08-10-24	@MIL	0-1L	7.0	1	0	7	Under
08-05-24	@MIA	10-3W	5.0	4	0	5	Over

Jameson Taillon

ERA 3.36 | IP 152.7 | 10.0W-8.0L | KO 120.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-20-24	vsWAS	1-3W	6.0	2	0	4	Under
09-14-24	@COL	5-6L	6.0	5	2	6	Over
09-08-24	vsNYY	1-2W	6.0	6	1	6	Under
09-02-24	vsPIT	5-3L	7.0	3	0	3	Over
08-26-24	@PIT	18-8W	6.7	8	4	3	Over
08-21-24	vsDET	8-2L	5.0	6	4	5	Over
08-14-24	@CLE	1-6L	6.0	5	4	6	Over
08-09-24	@CWS	7-6W	5.0	9	5	4	Over
08-03-24	vsSTL	5-4L	6.0	6	1	4	Over
07-29-24	@CIN	1-7L	4.3	6	6	4	Over

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/27	vs CLE	2-5L	6	0	Over
09/26	vs CLE	1-6L	4	0	Over
09/24	@ PIT	0-2L	3	0	Under
09/24	@ PIT	0-2L	3	0	Under
09/23	@ PIT	7-1W	9	2	Over
09/22	@ PIT	8-3W	8	2	Over
09/21	@ ATL	3-15L	10	1	Over
09/20	@ ATL	1-7L	5	0	Over
09/19	@ ATL	6-5W	10	1	Over
09/17	vs MIN	2-9L	7	0	Over
09/16	vs MIN	11-1W	15	2	Over
09/15	vs MIN	8-4W	9	2	Over
09/14	vs STL	1-6L	4	0	Over
09/13	vs STL	1-2L	5	0	Under
09/12	vs STL	3-0W	7	0	Under

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/27	vs PHI	6-9L	9	2	Over
09/26	vs PHI	10-4W	15	0	Over
09/25	vs PHI	2-6L	7	0	Over
09/24	@ WAS	5-0W	7	3	Under
09/24	@ WAS	5-0W	7	3	Under
09/23	@ WAS	1-5L	2	1	Push
09/22	@ WAS	3-1W	6	1	Under
09/21	@ WAS	7-6W	12	1	Over
09/20	@ OAK	3-5L	6	0	Over
09/19	@ OAK	3-4L	11	2	Over
09/18	@ OAK	9-2W	18	1	Over
09/17	vs COL	6-2W	11	3	Over
09/16	vs COL	5-6L	11	2	Over
09/15	vs COL	5-9L	13	1	Over
09/13	vs LAD	8-10L	6	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	7.3	9.7	0.247	0.392	0.416	0.808	0.325	0.029
#2 Elly De La Cruz	9.9	12.8	0.259	0.465	0.381	0.847	0.341	0.040
#3 Tyler Stephenson	6.2	8.2	0.252	0.444	0.371	0.815	0.331	0.042
#4 Spencer Steer	6.8	9.1	0.230	0.410	0.371	0.781	0.316	0.036
#5 TJ Friedl	7.4	9.9	0.223	0.383	0.355	0.739	0.303	0.045
#6 Ty France	6.0	7.8	0.240	0.374	0.346	0.720	0.297	0.028
#7 Jake Fraley	7.0	8.8	0.271	0.382	0.356	0.738	0.303	0.015
#8 Santiago Espinal	5.1	6.5	0.247	0.358	0.318	0.676	0.281	0.026
#9 Noelvi Marte	5.2	6.6	0.208	0.303	0.262	0.566	0.239	0.018

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Ian Happ	7.7	10.3	0.241	0.438	0.394	0.832	0.334	0.043
#2 Dansby Swanson	6.9	9.1	0.245	0.393	0.351	0.744	0.304	0.030
#3 Isaac Paredes	6.9	9.2	0.239	0.396	0.411	0.807	0.324	0.036
#4 Cody Bellinger	7.6	10.0	0.269	0.431	0.361	0.792	0.323	0.035
#5 Michael Busch	6.4	8.5	0.256	0.459	0.385	0.844	0.340	0.045
#6 Nico Hoerner	6.3	8.0	0.273	0.372	0.372	0.743	0.306	0.012
#7 Pete Crow-Armstrong	5.6	7.2	0.235	0.370	0.309	0.680	0.282	0.022
#8 Miguel Amaya	4.6	6.1	0.237	0.375	0.320	0.695	0.288	0.028
#9 Kevin Alcantara	4.6	5.7	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.500	0.212	0.000

Reds Notable Injuries

Julian Aguiar OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/21/24. Impact: 2.8
Sam Moll OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/09/24. Impact: 0.4

Cubs Notable Injuries

Jordan Wicks OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/19/24. Impact: 2.8
Jorge Lopez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/21/24. Impact: 1.7