Reds vs Cubs Game Breakdown

Get ready to paint the town red—or maybe Cubbie blue—as the Cincinnati Reds roll into the iconic Wrigley Field to clash with the Chicago Cubs this afternoon at 2:20 PM EST. With the Reds trailing 16 games in the National League and the Cubs just 10 behind, every pitch counts in this late-season showdown. The stakes are high with the betting lines drawn at Reds +108 and Cubs -130 under an over/under of 7.0. Fresh off a nail-biting 1-0 victory over the Reds just yesterday, the Cubs are looking to keep that winning momentum, while the Reds are thirsty for redemption. And with light rain in the forecast, adding a slippery twist to the game, fans are sure to witness some slick plays and maybe a few surprises. So, as the Reds try to catch up and the Cubs aim to claw their way up, it’s clear this game could turn into a real bear-brawl at the old ball game!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 28, 2024 02:20PM EST

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Weather: Light rain with winds from the NE at 14.8 mph. Temperature is at 66.9° with 84% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	CHC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+108	-130	7.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+106	-126	7.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-2	+4	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

148W-169L

48.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

161W-155L

51.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/31/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Over	+2.0
05/31/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Over	+2.0
06/01/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Over	+5.0
06/01/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	7	Over	+5.0
06/02/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Push	-0.0
06/02/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Push	-0.0
06/06/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Over	+5.0
06/06/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+5.0
06/07/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-2.0
06/07/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-2.0
06/08/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Push	-0.0
06/08/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Push	-0.0
06/09/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Under	-1.0
06/09/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-1.0
07/29/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Over	+1.0
07/29/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+1.0
07/30/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Over	+2.0
07/30/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+2.0
07/31/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	13	Over	+10.0
07/31/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+10.0
09/27/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	0	Under	-6.0
09/27/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-6.0
04/03/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+6.0
04/03/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+6.0
04/04/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	12	Over	+10.0
04/04/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Over	+10.0
09/01/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+1.0
09/01/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Over	+1.0
05/26/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	9	Over	+2.0
05/26/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	0	Over	+2.0
05/27/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+6.0
05/27/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+6.0
05/28/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+6.0
05/28/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+6.0
07/31/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+4.0
07/31/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+4.0
08/01/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	9	Over	+22.0
08/01/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	20	Over	+22.0
08/02/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+15.0
08/02/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	16	Over	+15.0
08/03/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+1.0
08/03/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+1.0
09/01/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-2.0
09/01/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-2.0
09/02/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-4.0
09/02/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-4.0
09/03/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	15	Over	+15.0
09/03/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+15.0

Reds Vs Over/Under

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Rhett Lowder

ERA 1.403 | IP 25.7 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 21.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-21-24	vsPIT	1-7W	5.0	5	0	4	Over
09-15-24	@MIN	2-9L	5.3	6	3	5	Over
09-10-24	@STL	3-0W	5.0	5	0	3	Under
09-05-24	vsHOU	0-1W	6.3	4	0	3	Under
08-30-24	vsMIL	14-0L	4.0	2	1	6	Over

Kyle Hendricks

ERA 6.276 | IP 123.3 | 4.0W-12.0L | KO 85.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-21-24	vsWAS	5-1L	5.3	9	4	2	Under
09-15-24	@COL	6-2W	6.0	2	1	7	Over
09-09-24	@LAD	10-4W	4.3	4	2	2	Over
09-03-24	vsPIT	5-0L	5.0	5	2	5	Under
08-28-24	@PIT	14-10W	1.7	8	6	2	Over
08-23-24	@MIA	6-3W	4.7	7	3	0	Over
08-16-24	vsTOR	5-6W	5.0	5	2	2	Over
08-05-24	vsMIN	3-0L	6.0	5	2	5	Under
07-31-24	@CIN	13-4W	5.0	4	3	4	Over
07-26-24	@KC	0-6L	5.0	8	6	4	Under

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/29	vs CHC	0-1L	4	0	Under
09/27	vs CLE	2-5L	6	0	Push
09/26	vs CLE	1-6L	4	0	Push
09/24	@ PIT	0-2L	3	0	Under
09/24	@ PIT	0-2L	3	0	Under
09/23	@ PIT	7-1W	9	2	Over
09/22	@ PIT	8-3W	8	2	Over
09/21	@ ATL	3-15L	10	1	Over
09/20	@ ATL	1-7L	5	0	Over
09/19	@ ATL	6-5W	10	1	Over
09/17	vs MIN	2-9L	7	0	Over
09/16	vs MIN	11-1W	15	2	Over
09/15	vs MIN	8-4W	9	2	Over
09/14	vs STL	1-6L	4	0	Push
09/13	vs STL	1-2L	5	0	Under

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/29	@ CIN	1-0W	5	0	Under
09/27	vs PHI	6-9L	9	2	Over
09/26	vs PHI	10-4W	15	0	Over
09/25	vs PHI	2-6L	7	0	Over
09/24	@ WAS	5-0W	7	3	Under
09/24	@ WAS	5-0W	7	3	Under
09/23	@ WAS	1-5L	2	1	Under
09/22	@ WAS	3-1W	6	1	Under
09/21	@ WAS	7-6W	12	1	Over
09/20	@ OAK	3-5L	6	0	Over
09/19	@ OAK	3-4L	11	2	Push
09/18	@ OAK	9-2W	18	1	Over
09/17	vs COL	6-2W	11	3	Over
09/16	vs COL	5-6L	11	2	Over
09/15	vs COL	5-9L	13	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	7.7	10.2	0.250	0.393	0.420	0.813	0.326	0.028
#2 Elly De La Cruz	10.4	13.5	0.259	0.466	0.380	0.846	0.341	0.039
#3 Tyler Stephenson	7.5	10.0	0.250	0.440	0.367	0.808	0.328	0.042
#4 Spencer Steer	7.7	10.3	0.230	0.409	0.370	0.779	0.316	0.035
#5 TJ Friedl	7.5	10.0	0.221	0.379	0.355	0.734	0.301	0.045
#6 Ty France	6.8	8.8	0.239	0.372	0.347	0.719	0.296	0.027
#7 Jake Fraley	7.6	9.6	0.269	0.379	0.353	0.731	0.301	0.014
#8 Santiago Espinal	5.8	7.4	0.245	0.355	0.315	0.670	0.278	0.025
#9 Noelvi Marte	5.4	6.9	0.208	0.303	0.262	0.566	0.239	0.018

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Ian Happ	8.2	10.9	0.241	0.437	0.394	0.831	0.334	0.043
#2 Dansby Swanson	7.7	10.1	0.243	0.391	0.349	0.740	0.303	0.030
#3 Seiya Suzuki	7.7	10.1	0.279	0.480	0.409	0.889	0.356	0.042
#4 Cody Bellinger	7.3	9.6	0.267	0.429	0.359	0.788	0.322	0.035
#5 Isaac Paredes	6.5	8.7	0.238	0.394	0.409	0.803	0.323	0.035
#6 Michael Busch	5.9	7.8	0.255	0.456	0.383	0.839	0.338	0.045
#7 Nico Hoerner	5.6	7.2	0.275	0.375	0.373	0.748	0.307	0.012
#8 Pete Crow-Armstrong	5.4	6.9	0.236	0.371	0.310	0.681	0.282	0.022
#9 C. Bethancourt	4.8	6.4	0.215	0.378	0.259	0.637	0.267	0.037

Reds Notable Injuries

Julian Aguiar OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/21/24. Impact: 2.8
Sam Moll OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/09/24. Impact: 0.4

Cubs Notable Injuries

Jordan Wicks OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/19/24. Impact: 2.8
Jorge Lopez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/21/24. Impact: 1.7