Reds vs Guardians Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the heart of MLB action as the Cincinnati Reds gear up to challenge the Cleveland Guardians at the iconic Progressive Field tonight! With the first pitch scheduled for 06:40 PM EST, the stakes are sky-high. The Reds, trailing in their conference, are desperate to claw back some dignity, while the Guardians, sitting pretty at the top of theirs, aim to fortify their stronghold. Expect an electric atmosphere under an overcast sky, with a gentle breeze setting the stage for a showdown that’s anything but predictable. Betting lines are buzzing, with the Guardians favored to repeat their recent triumph over the Reds. Will the Guardians continue to secure their domain, or will the Reds ignite a surprise rebellion? Either way, it’s shaping up to be a battle where only the bravest will guard their ground and Reds might just paint the town!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 25, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland

Weather: Overcast with winds from the SSW at 8.7 mph. Temperature is at 73.0° with 79% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	CLE ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+122	-145	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+122	-145	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	0	0	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

148W-167L

45.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

175W-139L

55.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/11/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Push	-0.0
06/11/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Push	-0.0
06/12/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-2.0
06/12/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-2.0
09/24/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Under	-1.0
09/24/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Under	-1.0
08/15/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Under	-5.0
08/15/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	0	Under	-5.0
08/16/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Over	+1.0
08/16/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+1.0
09/26/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	11	Over	+10.0
09/26/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	7	Over	+10.0
09/27/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-1.0
09/27/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-1.0

Reds Vs Over/Under

Guardians Vs Over/Under

Jakob Junis

ERA 2.613 | IP 62.0 | 4.0W-0.0L | KO 48.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-18-24	vsATL	7-1L	6.0	2	1	6	Over
09-12-24	@STL	1-6L	5.0	3	1	3	Under
09-07-24	@NYM	0-4L	5.0	1	0	5	Under
09-01-24	vsMIL	3-4W	3.7	2	1	1	Under
08-27-24	vsOAK	5-4L	4.0	0	0	3	Over
08-22-24	@PIT	0-7L	2.3	5	2	3	Under
08-20-24	@TOR	3-10L	1.7	0	0	1	Over
08-17-24	vsKC	13-1L	1.0	0	0	1	Over
08-12-24	vsSTL	1-6W	2.3	0	0	3	Under
08-09-24	@MIL	3-8L	1.0	0	0	0	Over

Joey Cantillo

ERA 4.629 | IP 35.0 | 2.0W-3.0L | KO 37.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-19-24	vsMIN	2-3W	4.3	3	2	6	Under
09-14-24	vsTB	1-6W	5.0	3	0	6	Under
09-09-24	@CWS	5-3W	7.0	2	1	10	Over
08-26-24	vsKC	4-3L	1.7	0	0	1	Under
08-21-24	@NYY	1-8L	4.0	6	7	5	Over
08-09-24	@MIN	2-4L	5.7	5	3	2	Under
08-03-24	vsBAL	7-4L	4.0	6	3	4	Over
07-28-24	@PHI	4-3W	3.3	4	3	3	Under

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/26	vs CLE	1-6L	4	0	Under
09/24	@ PIT	0-2L	3	0	Under
09/24	@ PIT	0-2L	3	0	Under
09/23	@ PIT	7-1W	9	2	Over
09/22	@ PIT	8-3W	8	2	Over
09/21	@ ATL	3-15L	10	1	Over
09/20	@ ATL	1-7L	5	0	Over
09/19	@ ATL	6-5W	10	1	Over
09/17	vs MIN	2-9L	7	0	Over
09/16	vs MIN	11-1W	15	2	Over
09/15	vs MIN	8-4W	9	2	Over
09/14	vs STL	1-6L	4	0	Under
09/13	vs STL	1-2L	5	0	Under
09/12	vs STL	3-0W	7	0	Under
09/11	vs ATL	1-0W	8	0	Under

Guardians Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/26	@ CIN	6-1W	10	2	Under
09/24	vs STL	1-1L	2	0	Under
09/24	vs STL	1-1L	2	0	Under
09/23	vs STL	5-6L	10	2	Over
09/22	vs STL	5-1W	8	3	Under
09/21	@ MIN	3-2W	11	1	Under
09/20	@ MIN	5-4W	7	2	Over
09/19	@ MIN	1-4L	8	1	Under
09/18	@ MIN	4-3W	10	1	Under
09/17	@ TB	2-0W	7	0	Under
09/16	@ TB	6-1W	8	2	Under
09/15	@ TB	1-3L	4	0	Under
09/14	@ TB	2-5L	5	0	Under
09/13	vs CWS	6-4W	10	1	Over
09/12	vs CWS	5-0W	11	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	7.7	10.1	0.248	0.392	0.417	0.810	0.325	0.029
#2 Elly De La Cruz	9.2	11.9	0.257	0.465	0.380	0.846	0.341	0.040
#3 Spencer Steer	8.1	10.8	0.232	0.413	0.373	0.786	0.318	0.036
#4 Ty France	6.7	8.7	0.242	0.377	0.349	0.726	0.299	0.028
#5 Santiago Espinal	6.9	8.8	0.246	0.358	0.318	0.676	0.281	0.026
#6 Noelvi Marte	6.3	8.1	0.206	0.303	0.261	0.564	0.238	0.018
#7 Amed Rosario	6.6	8.2	0.280	0.383	0.319	0.702	0.293	0.009
#8 Blake Dunn	5.2	6.9	0.167	0.333	0.292	0.625	0.262	0.042
#9 Luke Maile	4.9	6.4	0.168	0.244	0.298	0.542	0.230	0.015

Cleveland Guardians	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Angel Martinez	7.3	9.3	0.220	0.327	0.320	0.647	0.268	0.020
#2 Kyle Manzardo	7.1	9.2	0.246	0.448	0.321	0.769	0.317	0.037
#3 Jose Ramirez	8.4	11.1	0.273	0.520	0.360	0.880	0.358	0.061
#4 Josh Naylor	7.3	9.8	0.240	0.455	0.356	0.811	0.329	0.056
#5 Lane Thomas	7.1	9.3	0.238	0.406	0.349	0.755	0.309	0.033
#6 Andres Gimenez	6.4	8.2	0.248	0.338	0.320	0.658	0.275	0.016
#7 Will Brennan	5.0	6.3	0.255	0.375	0.317	0.692	0.287	0.025
#8 Bo Naylor	4.8	6.3	0.205	0.360	0.292	0.652	0.270	0.038
#9 Brayan Rocchio	4.5	5.9	0.214	0.329	0.356	0.684	0.282	0.021

Reds Notable Injuries

Julian Aguiar OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/21/24. Impact: 2.8
Stuart Fairchild OUT (OF): Avg: 0.215 SLG:0.368 Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: 0.8
Sam Moll OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/09/24. Impact: 0.4

Guardians Notable Injuries

Alex Cobb OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/03/24. Impact: 4.8
Steven Kwan OUT (OF): Avg: 0.291 SLG:0.421 Last game: 09/14/24. Impact: 2.7