Reds vs White Sox Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 12th 2024

Listen up, sports junkies! The Cincinnati Reds, balancing on a 6W-6L tightrope, are packing their gear and heading to the Windy City to lock horns with the Chicago White Sox, who’ve been stumbling with a 2W-10L record. Tonight’s face-off, set to go down at the iconic Guaranteed Rate Field, kicks off at 7:40 PM EST. The Reds are looking to close the 2.5-game gap in the National League conference, while the Sox are desperate to claw back from a 7-game deficit in the American League. The bookies have set the over/under at 9.0, favoring the Reds at -175, and giving the Sox a line of 144. Both teams are nursing fresh wounds – the Reds from a 2-7 bruising by the Brewers, and the Sox from a 6-7 heartbreaker against the Indians. Weather-wise, we’re looking at partly cloudy skies with brisk winds from the NW at 20.6 mph and a cool 53.1° temperature. But hey, this ain’t about the weather, it’s about the game, the glory, the guts! So, buckle up, because tonight, it’s not just about seeing red or being sox-ed, it’s about who can turn the tide and paint the town in their colors!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 12, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NW at 20.6 mph. Temperature is at 53.1° with 66% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	CWS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-175	+144	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-179	+147	9.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-4	+3	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

113W-128L

64.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

122W-125L

35.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/05/23	Chicago White Sox CWS	5	Push	-0.0
05/05/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Push	-0.0
05/06/23	Chicago White Sox CWS	3	Under	-1.0
05/06/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Under	-1.0
05/07/23	Chicago White Sox CWS	17	Over	+12.0
05/07/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+12.0

Reds Vs Over/Under

White Sox Vs Over/Under

Nick Martinez

ERA 3.426 | IP 110.3 | 6.0W-4.0L | KO 106.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-07-24	vsNYM	3-1L	5.0	7	3	4	Under
04-01-24	@PHI	6-3W	5.3	3	2	4	Under
09-27-23	@CLE	3-4L	2.3	8	3	1	Under
09-22-23	vsPIT	7-5L	4.3	4	2	7	Over
09-16-23	@NYM	3-2W	3.7	6	2	5	Under
09-08-23	vsSTL	9-4L	4.0	4	6	3	Over
09-02-23	vsCHC	1-2W	6.3	4	1	5	Under
08-28-23	@SF	1-4L	3.3	5	3	6	Under
08-23-23	@LAA	9-4W	4.0	5	3	5	Over
08-16-23	vsCLE	2-7W	5.0	6	2	5	Under
04-06-24	vsNYM	6-9W	5.0	8	5	6	Over
03-31-24	vsWAS	5-6W	5.0	6	3	3	Over
09-29-23	@CWS	3-2L	5.0	2	0	8	Under
09-23-23	@STL	5-2L	4.0	2	0	3	Under
09-17-23	@OAK	10-1L	3.0	1	0	5	Over
09-13-23	@LAD	6-1L	1.0	1	0	0	Under
09-09-23	@HOU	5-7W	0.7	4	1	0	Over
09-06-23	@PHI	5-1L	2.3	1	0	4	Under
09-03-23	@SF	0-4W	1.0	1	0	1	Under
09-01-23	@SF	3-7W	2.0	1	0	2	Over

Chris Flexen

ERA 6.86 | IP 102.3 | 2.0W-8.0L | KO 74.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-06-24	@KC	0-3L	6.3	6	3	4	Under
04-01-24	vsATL	9-0L	4.3	6	4	1	Under
09-28-23	@LAD	5-14W	6.0	6	3	3	Over
09-23-23	@CHC	3-6W	5.0	5	2	1	Under
09-17-23	@SF	11-10L	5.3	5	4	5	Over
09-12-23	@CHC	4-6W	5.3	9	3	5	Over
09-06-23	@ARI	5-12W	2.3	4	6	3	Over
09-01-23	@TOR	13-9L	5.7	7	4	0	Over
08-26-23	@BAL	4-5W	5.0	4	3	7	Under
08-20-23	@CWS	10-5W	6.0	7	2	5	Over

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/12	@ MIL	2-7L	4	1	Under
04/11	@ MIL	5-9L	10	0	Over
04/10	@ MIL	10-8W	10	3	Over
04/09	@ NYM	1-3L	3	0	Under
04/08	@ NYM	9-6W	8	1	Over
04/07	@ NYM	2-3L	7	1	Under
04/05	vs PHI	4-1W	6	0	Under
04/04	vs PHI	4-9L	8	0	Over
04/03	vs PHI	6-3W	8	1	Under
04/02	@ WAS	6-5W	14	2	Over
04/01	@ WAS	6-7L	10	2	Over
03/30	@ WAS	8-2W	10	2	Over
10/03	vs STL	3-4L	9	1	Under
10/02	vs STL	6-15L	14	2	Over
10/01	vs STL	19-2W	17	6	Over

White Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/12	vs CLE	6-7L	10	1	Over
04/11	vs CLE	7-5W	12	0	Over
04/10	vs CLE	0-4L	4	0	Under
04/09	vs KC	3-5L	12	0	Under
04/08	vs KC	0-3L	3	0	Under
04/07	vs KC	1-2L	4	1	Under
04/06	vs KC	1-10L	8	0	Over
04/04	@ ATL	3-2W	7	1	Under
04/03	@ ATL	0-9L	3	0	Under
04/02	@ DET	2-3L	5	2	Under
04/01	@ DET	6-7L	10	3	Over
03/30	@ DET	0-1L	3	0	Under
10/03	@ SD	1-2L	7	0	Under
10/02	@ SD	1-6L	6	1	Under
10/01	@ SD	2-3L	8	2	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	7.5	10.0	0.244	0.409	39.6%	80.4%	3.8%
#2 Will Benson	8.4	10.9	0.276	0.5	42.0%	92.0%	3.8%
#3 C. Encarnacion-Strand	7.4	9.7	0.27	0.477	35.6%	83.3%	5.9%
#4 Jeimer Candelario	7.2	9.6	0.251	0.473	38.3%	85.6%	4.4%
#5 Jake Fraley	6.9	9.1	0.257	0.445	38.5%	83.0%	4.5%
#6 Elly De La Cruz	7.4	9.6	0.234	0.409	32.5%	73.5%	3.4%
#7 Spencer Steer	6.9	9.1	0.273	0.467	41.0%	87.7%	4.0%
#8 Nick Martini	6.0	8.0	0.264	0.583	36.1%	94.4%	8.3%
#9 Tyler Stephenson	5.0	6.5	0.246	0.382	35.4%	73.7%	2.8%

Chicago White Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Robbie Grossman	8.8	11.9	0.241	0.398	41.0%	80.8%	2.9%
#2 Lenyn Sosa	6.6	8.4	0.201	0.348	23.2%	57.9%	3.7%
#3 Andrew Vaughn	7.8	10.2	0.262	0.434	34.5%	77.9%	3.7%
#4 Korey Lee	5.6	7.5	0.092	0.154	16.9%	32.3%	1.5%
#5 Andrew Benintendi	6.2	7.9	0.262	0.356	35.9%	71.5%	0.9%
#6 Kevin Pillar	7.1	9.4	0.228	0.416	25.9%	67.5%	4.6%
#7 Paul DeJong	6.2	8.1	0.204	0.351	27.4%	62.5%	3.8%
#8 Martin Maldonado	5.9	7.8	0.189	0.34	28.1%	62.1%	3.9%
#9 Nicky Lopez	4.4	5.8	0.235	0.312	38.0%	69.2%	0.5%