Reds vs Brewers Game Breakdown
Reds
34W-36L
June 16, 2024
02:10PM EST
Odds: 9.0 o/u
Brewers
41W-29L
Get ready to slide into excitement as the Cincinnati Reds, with a record of 34 wins and 36 losses, hustle over to American Family Field to challenge the 41-win, 29-loss Milwaukee Brewers in a showdown that’s brewing with anticipation! The clock’s ticking down to a 02:10 PM EST start, and with the Brewers sitting comfortably at the top of the National League and the Reds trying to close a 7-game gap, every pitch counts today. Vegas has the over/under tantalizingly set at 9.0, hinting at some potential scoreboard fireworks. With the Brewers fresh off a victory and the Reds looking to turn the tables under partly cloudy skies and breezy conditions, today’s game is more than just a matchup; it’s a clash of midwestern titans. So, as the Brewers look to keep their taps flowing and the Reds aim to paint the town red, let’s see who truly brings the heat in this battle of the brews and bats!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: June 16, 2024 02:10PM EST
Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee
Weather: Partly Cloudy with winds from the SSE at 17.0 mph. Temperature is at 64.4° with 90% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| CIN ML | MIL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +107 | -128 | 9.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +117 | -140 | 9.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | +10 | -12 | +0.5 | – |
Team Performance
46.1% Win Probability
53.9% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/24 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 8 | Over | +9.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 10 | ||||
| 04/09/24 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 9 | Over | +5.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 5 | ||||
| 04/10/24 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 7 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 2 | ||||
| 06/14/24 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 6 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 5 | ||||
| 06/15/24 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 1 | Under | -5.0 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 3 | ||||
| 06/02/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 5 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 4 | ||||
| 06/03/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 10 | Over | +9.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 8 | ||||
| 06/04/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 5 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 1 | ||||
| 06/05/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 0 | Under | -7.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 2 | ||||
| 07/07/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 3 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 7 | ||||
| 07/08/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 8 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 5 | ||||
| 07/09/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 0 | Under | -8.0 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 1 | ||||
| 07/14/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 1 | Under | -8.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 0 | ||||
| 07/15/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 3 | Under | -6.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 0 | ||||
| 07/16/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 4 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 3 | ||||
| 07/24/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 2 | Under | -4.0 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 3 | ||||
| 07/25/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 4 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 3 | ||||
| 07/26/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 0 | Under | -6.0 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 3 |
Reds Vs Over/Under
Brewers Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09-24 | vsCHC | 4-2L | 1.3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | Under |
| 06-04-24 | @COL | 4-1W | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | Under |
| 05-29-24 | vsSTL | 5-3L | 6.0 | 6 | 3 | 5 | Under |
| 05-23-24 | vsSD | 6-4L | 6.0 | 9 | 4 | 3 | Over |
| 05-17-24 | @LAD | 3-7L | 5.0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | Over |
| 05-12-24 | @SF | 5-6L | 4.7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | Over |
| 05-07-24 | vsARI | 6-2L | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | Under |
| 04-21-24 | vsLAA | 0-3W | 0.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Under |
| 04-15-24 | @SEA | 3-9L | 2.0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | Over |
| 04-09-24 | vsMIL | 9-5L | 5.0 | 6 | 5 | 4 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10-24 | vsTOR | 1-3W | 7.0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | Under |
| 06-04-24 | @PHI | 1-2L | 4.0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | Under |
| 05-30-24 | vsCHC | 4-6W | 5.3 | 5 | 1 | 5 | Over |
| 05-25-24 | @BOS | 6-3W | 5.7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | Under |
| 05-19-24 | @HOU | 4-9L | 4.3 | 8 | 5 | 5 | Over |
| 05-13-24 | vsPIT | 8-6L | 6.0 | 6 | 3 | 5 | Over |
| 05-07-24 | @KC | 6-5W | 4.7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | Over |
| 05-01-24 | vsTB | 1-7W | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | Under |
| 04-26-24 | vsNYY | 6-7W | 6.0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | Over |
| 04-21-24 | @STL | 2-0W | 5.0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | Under |
Reds Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/17 | vs MIL | 1-3L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 06/16 | vs MIL | 6-5W | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 06/14 | @ CLE | 4-2W | 6 | 2 | Under |
| 06/13 | @ CLE | 3-5L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 06/11 | @ CHC | 2-4L | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 06/10 | @ CHC | 4-3W | 6 | 2 | Under |
| 06/09 | @ CHC | 3-2W | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 06/08 | @ CHC | 8-4W | 9 | 1 | Over |
| 06/07 | vs COL | 12-7W | 12 | 4 | Over |
| 06/06 | vs COL | 4-1W | 12 | 1 | Under |
| 06/05 | vs COL | 13-3W | 18 | 2 | Over |
| 06/04 | vs CHC | 5-2W | 10 | 1 | Under |
| 06/03 | vs CHC | 5-7L | 10 | 0 | Over |
| 06/02 | vs CHC | 5-4W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 05/31 | @ STL | 3-5L | 8 | 0 | Under |
Brewers Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/17 | @ CIN | 3-1W | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 06/16 | @ CIN | 5-6L | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 06/14 | @ TOR | 5-4W | 11 | 1 | Under |
| 06/13 | @ TOR | 0-3L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 06/12 | @ TOR | 3-1W | 6 | 2 | Under |
| 06/11 | vs DET | 2-10L | 7 | 0 | Over |
| 06/10 | vs DET | 5-4W | 10 | 0 | Under |
| 06/09 | vs DET | 10-0W | 16 | 0 | Over |
| 06/07 | vs PHI | 0-2L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 06/06 | vs PHI | 1-2L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 06/05 | vs PHI | 1-3L | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 06/04 | @ CWS | 6-3W | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 06/03 | @ CWS | 4-3W | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 06/02 | @ CWS | 12-5W | 23 | 0 | Over |
| 06/01 | @ CHC | 6-4W | 9 | 1 | Over |
Team’s Batting Order
| Cincinnati Reds | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
TJ Friedl
|
9.7 | 13.0 | 0.237 | 0.421 | 40.8% | 82.9% | 5.3% |
| 11.8 | 15.3 | 0.23 | 0.416 | 37.4% | 79.0% | 4.3% | |
| 8.9 | 11.6 | 0.251 | 0.494 | 34.0% | 83.4% | 5.1% | |
| 7.6 | 10.1 | 0.232 | 0.386 | 37.8% | 76.4% | 2.8% | |
|
#5
Jake Fraley
|
9.1 | 11.4 | 0.278 | 0.361 | 36.7% | 72.8% | 0.6% |
| 6.7 | 8.9 | 0.239 | 0.4 | 36.1% | 76.1% | 3.3% | |
|
#7
Nick Martini
|
6.8 | 9.3 | 0.205 | 0.357 | 27.7% | 63.4% | 3.6% |
| 6.4 | 8.4 | 0.242 | 0.335 | 42.3% | 75.8% | 1.9% | |
|
#9
Will Benson
|
7.8 | 10.3 | 0.206 | 0.407 | 34.2% | 74.9% | 4.0% |
| Milwaukee Brewers | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Brice Turang
|
8.7 | 11.1 | 0.286 | 0.392 | 39.6% | 78.9% | 1.3% |
| 8.7 | 11.5 | 0.306 | 0.47 | 40.9% | 87.9% | 3.2% | |
| 9.5 | 12.2 | 0.333 | 0.509 | 46.7% | 97.6% | 3.6% | |
|
#4
Willy Adames
|
7.4 | 9.9 | 0.243 | 0.431 | 37.8% | 80.9% | 4.1% |
|
#5
Rhys Hoskins
|
8.1 | 10.9 | 0.216 | 0.42 | 35.8% | 77.8% | 5.7% |
|
#6
Sal Frelick
|
7.4 | 9.5 | 0.252 | 0.324 | 37.1% | 69.5% | 1.0% |
|
#7
Joey Ortiz
|
7.0 | 9.3 | 0.281 | 0.472 | 44.9% | 92.1% | 3.4% |
| 5.9 | 7.7 | 0.227 | 0.361 | 30.4% | 66.5% | 3.6% | |
| 6.6 | 8.5 | 0.255 | 0.377 | 36.3% | 74.0% | 2.5% |
Reds Notable Injuries
- Emilio Pagan OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/10/24. Impact: 1.1
Brewers Notable Injuries
- Robert Gasser OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/03/24. Impact: 5.5
- Joe Ross OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/22/24. Impact: 4.7
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