Reds vs Twins Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the Cincinnati Reds, fresh off a sizzling victory, travel to the cooler climes of Target Field to heat things up against the Minnesota Twins tonight at 07:10 PM EST. With the Reds trying to claw their way up from the depths of the National League and the Twins looking to tighten their grip in the American League, stakes are as high as the over/under of 8.5. Last time these two clashed, the Reds walked away with the win, but with the Twins hungry for revenge in their own backyard, and the weather playing its moody overcast tunes, tonight’s game promises layers of drama. So, as the Twins try to ‘twin’ it back and the Reds aim to ‘paint the town red,’ make sure you’re tuned in for every pitch!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 14, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Target Field, Minnesota

Weather: Overcast with winds from the SSE at 7.2 mph. Temperature is at 73.9° with 69% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+130	-155	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+127	-152	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-3	+3	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

147W-165L

44.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

169W-140L

55.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/13/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+3.5
09/13/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+3.5
09/18/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Over	+1.5
09/18/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+1.5
09/19/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Under	-1.5
09/19/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	0	Under	-1.5
09/20/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Under	-0.5
09/20/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-0.5

Reds Vs Over/Under

Twins Vs Over/Under

Nick Martinez

ERA 3.486 | IP 121.3 | 8.0W-6.0L | KO 97.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-09-24	@ATL	1-0W	7.0	2	0	5	Under
09-04-24	vsHOU	5-12W	5.7	6	4	7	Over
08-30-24	vsMIL	5-4L	5.3	7	4	3	Over
08-25-24	@PIT	3-4L	3.0	5	2	1	Under
08-21-24	@TOR	11-7W	4.3	6	6	3	Over
08-16-24	vsKC	7-1L	6.0	8	3	4	Under
08-10-24	@MIL	0-1L	7.0	1	0	7	Under
08-05-24	@MIA	10-3W	5.0	4	0	5	Over
08-02-24	vsSF	3-0L	1.0	2	1	2	Under
07-30-24	vsCHC	3-6W	4.0	4	0	3	Over

S. Woods

ERA 3.96 | IP 125.0 | 5.0W-4.0L | KO 106.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-08-24	@KC	0-2L	4.3	3	2	2	Under
09-02-24	@TB	5-4W	3.7	6	3	2	Over
08-27-24	vsATL	8-6L	4.7	3	4	3	Over
08-21-24	@SD	11-4W	5.0	3	1	7	Over
08-16-24	@TEX	4-3W	5.0	3	2	1	Under
08-10-24	vsCLE	2-1L	7.0	4	2	7	Under
08-04-24	vsCWS	7-13W	4.0	6	3	6	Over
07-29-24	@NYM	2-15L	3.3	7	6	2	Over
07-23-24	vsPHI	3-0L	6.0	3	0	5	Under
07-13-24	@SF	4-2W	4.3	7	2	7	Under

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/15	vs MIN	8-4W	9	2	Over
09/14	vs STL	1-6L	4	0	Under
09/13	vs STL	1-2L	5	0	Under
09/12	vs STL	3-0W	7	0	Under
09/11	vs ATL	1-0W	8	0	Under
09/10	vs NYM	3-1W	7	0	Under
09/09	vs NYM	0-4L	6	0	Under
09/08	vs NYM	4-6L	3	2	Over
09/07	@ HOU	1-0W	6	1	Under
09/06	@ HOU	12-5W	14	1	Over
09/04	@ HOU	5-3W	13	0	Under
09/03	@ MIL	4-3W	10	1	Under
09/02	@ MIL	4-5L	8	1	Over
09/01	@ MIL	0-14L	5	0	Over
09/01	@ MIL	4-5L	9	2	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/15	@ CIN	4-8L	5	1	Over
09/13	@ LAA	6-4W	11	1	Over
09/12	@ LAA	10-5W	10	3	Over
09/11	@ LAA	2-6L	5	1	Under
09/10	vs KC	0-2L	5	0	Under
09/09	vs KC	2-4L	5	0	Under
09/08	vs KC	0-5L	4	0	Under
09/07	vs TB	4-3W	7	2	Under
09/06	vs TB	4-9L	11	2	Over
09/05	vs TB	1-2L	6	1	Under
09/04	vs TB	5-4W	10	2	Over
09/03	@ TOR	4-3W	6	1	Under
09/02	@ TOR	0-15L	4	0	Over
09/01	@ TOR	2-0W	4	0	Under
08/30	@ ATL	1-5L	7	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	8.0	10.6	0.245	0.388	0.412	0.800	0.322	0.029
#2 Elly De La Cruz	10.2	13.2	0.258	0.469	0.385	0.854	0.344	0.041
#3 Tyler Stephenson	7.8	10.3	0.249	0.446	0.363	0.809	0.329	0.044
#4 Spencer Steer	8.0	10.6	0.234	0.412	0.372	0.784	0.318	0.036
#5 TJ Friedl	7.3	9.8	0.218	0.385	0.339	0.724	0.298	0.047
#6 Ty France	7.0	9.1	0.245	0.382	0.359	0.741	0.304	0.028
#7 Santiago Espinal	6.0	7.7	0.262	0.385	0.334	0.719	0.297	0.028
#8 Jake Fraley	6.8	8.5	0.271	0.376	0.350	0.726	0.299	0.013
#9 Amed Rosario	6.0	7.5	0.286	0.391	0.326	0.717	0.298	0.009

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Edouard Julien	8.2	10.8	0.213	0.345	0.345	0.691	0.283	0.032
#2 Matt Wallner	8.9	12.0	0.259	0.568	0.449	1.016	0.400	0.070
#3 Royce Lewis	9.6	12.9	0.239	0.500	0.332	0.832	0.339	0.067
#4 Trevor Larnach	7.4	9.8	0.252	0.440	0.374	0.814	0.330	0.047
#5 Carlos Santana	7.6	10.1	0.240	0.427	0.376	0.803	0.325	0.045
#6 Byron Buxton	8.7	11.5	0.275	0.534	0.366	0.900	0.366	0.055
#7 Willi Castro	7.1	9.3	0.250	0.393	0.381	0.774	0.315	0.022
#8 Christian Vazquez	5.5	7.0	0.242	0.362	0.283	0.645	0.270	0.026
#9 Brooks Lee	5.2	6.8	0.231	0.328	0.299	0.627	0.261	0.022

Reds Notable Injuries

Hunter Greene OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/15/24. Impact: 11.0
Nick Lodolo OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/24/24. Impact: 4.8
Andrew Abbott OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 5.7
Jeimer Candelario OUT (1B): Avg: 0.227 SLG:0.433 Last game: 08/21/24. Impact: 2.2
Stuart Fairchild OUT (OF): Avg: 0.215 SLG:0.368 Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: 0.8
Sam Moll OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/09/24. Impact: 0.4