Reds vs Yankees Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Yankee Stadium tonight as the Cincinnati Reds, looking to climb out of their rut, square off against the high-flying New York Yankees at 7:05 PM EST! With the Reds trailing in the National League and the Yankees just a whisker away from the top in the American League, this matchup promises some serious action. The stakes are sky-high with the betting lines buzzing—Yankees favored heavily but with an over/under that suggests some tight run margins. Fresh off a commanding win against Toronto, the Yankees are primed to keep their momentum, while the Reds are desperate to bounce back from a recent stumble against St. Louis. With the weather playing nice—partly cloudy skies and a gentle breeze—it’s the perfect setting for baseball. So, tonight, let’s see if the Reds can ‘steal’ the spotlight or if the Yankees will ‘pitch’ yet another winning story!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 02, 2024 07:05PM EST

Location: Yankee Stadium, New York

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the ENE at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 73.9° with 41% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	NYY ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+156	-190	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+170	-210	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+14	-20	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

130W-149L

37.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

166W-111L

63.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/19/23	New York Yankees NYY	6	Under	-0.5
05/19/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-0.5
05/20/23	New York Yankees NYY	7	Over	+2.5
05/20/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+2.5
05/21/23	New York Yankees NYY	4	Under	-3.5
05/21/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Under	-3.5

Reds Vs Over/Under

Yankees Vs Over/Under

Graham Ashcraft

ERA 5.453 | IP 67.7 | 4.0W-4.0L | KO 52.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-26-24	vsPIT	6-1L	5.3	9	6	3	Under
06-05-24	@COL	12-7W	3.7	6	4	2	Over
05-31-24	@CHC	5-4W	4.7	5	3	4	Over
05-24-24	vsLAD	6-9W	5.3	8	5	3	Over
05-18-24	@LAD	0-4L	5.0	3	3	5	Under
05-13-24	@ARI	5-6L	4.0	7	3	3	Over
05-08-24	vsARI	4-3L	5.0	6	3	2	Under
05-01-24	@SD	2-6L	6.0	5	2	4	Under
04-26-24	@TEX	1-2L	6.3	7	1	3	Under
04-20-24	vsLAA	5-7W	5.0	5	5	4	Over

Luis Gil

ERA 3.152 | IP 85.7 | 9.0W-3.0L | KO 99.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-26-24	@NYM	2-12L	4.3	4	5	2	Over
06-20-24	vsBAL	17-5L	1.3	8	7	1	Over
06-14-24	@BOS	8-1W	5.0	4	1	6	Over
06-09-24	vsLAD	4-6W	5.7	5	3	5	Over
06-04-24	vsMIN	1-5W	6.0	1	0	6	Under
05-29-24	@LAA	2-1W	8.0	2	1	9	Under
05-23-24	vsSEA	0-5W	6.3	1	0	8	Under
05-18-24	vsCWS	1-6W	6.0	5	1	14	Under
05-12-24	@TB	10-6W	6.0	3	0	3	Over
05-07-24	vsHOU	3-10W	6.0	1	1	5	Over

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/02	vs STL	0-2L	2	0	Under
07/01	vs STL	9-4W	13	0	Over
06/30	vs STL	0-1L	4	0	Under
06/29	vs STL	11-4W	16	1	Over
06/28	@ PIT	1-6L	4	0	Under
06/27	@ PIT	5-9L	9	0	Over
06/26	@ PIT	11-5W	12	1	Over
06/25	@ BOS	4-7L	10	0	Over
06/24	@ BOS	3-4L	11	2	Under
06/23	@ BOS	5-2W	6	3	Under
06/21	vs PIT	0-1L	2	0	Under
06/20	vs PIT	2-1W	9	1	Under
06/19	vs PIT	1-4L	7	0	Under
06/18	vs MIL	4-5L	8	2	Over
06/17	vs MIL	1-3L	5	0	Under

Yankees Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/02	vs TOR	8-1W	12	1	Over
07/01	vs TOR	3-9L	8	1	Over
06/30	vs TOR	16-5W	18	2	Over
06/29	vs TOR	2-9L	3	1	Over
06/28	vs NYM	2-12L	6	1	Over
06/27	vs NYM	7-9L	7	2	Over
06/25	@ ATL	1-3L	7	0	Under
06/24	@ ATL	8-3W	9	2	Over
06/23	@ ATL	1-8L	3	0	Over
06/22	@ BAL	5-17L	6	2	Over
06/21	@ BAL	6-7L	9	1	Over
06/20	@ BAL	4-2W	6	0	Under
06/18	vs BOS	3-9L	6	2	Over
06/17	vs BOS	4-8L	6	1	Over
06/16	vs BOS	8-1W	10	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	7.5	9.8	0.278	0.410	0.451	0.861	0.343	0.019
#2 Elly De La Cruz	9.7	12.6	0.252	0.468	0.389	0.857	0.344	0.045
#3 Jeimer Candelario	8.2	10.7	0.243	0.474	0.324	0.798	0.327	0.051
#4 Spencer Steer	7.8	10.4	0.241	0.411	0.381	0.793	0.321	0.033
#5 Jake Fraley	8.0	10.0	0.268	0.337	0.358	0.695	0.287	0.005
#6 Noelvi Marte	6.5	8.6	0.176	0.235	0.176	0.412	0.175	0.000
#7 Tyler Stephenson	6.2	8.2	0.229	0.390	0.346	0.737	0.302	0.029
#8 Will Benson	6.3	8.3	0.190	0.366	0.319	0.685	0.282	0.034
#9 Stuart Fairchild	4.7	6.1	0.236	0.350	0.338	0.688	0.284	0.025

New York Yankees	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Anthony Volpe	8.7	11.1	0.261	0.389	0.342	0.731	0.300	0.017
#2 Jose Rojas	8.2	8.2	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#2 Juan Soto	10.5	14.2	0.303	0.568	0.551	1.119	0.422	0.068
#3 Aaron Judge	10.5	14.3	0.319	0.711	0.538	1.249	0.473	0.103
#4 Alex Verdugo	7.8	10.3	0.244	0.393	0.334	0.727	0.299	0.029
#5 Gleyber Torres	8.5	11.2	0.226	0.352	0.339	0.691	0.285	0.027
#6 Ben Rice	6.8	8.7	0.273	0.333	0.455	0.788	0.315	0.000
#7 Austin Wells	7.6	10.1	0.214	0.343	0.357	0.700	0.287	0.021
#8 DJ LeMahieu	6.5	8.7	0.188	0.212	0.329	0.541	0.228	0.000
#9 Trent Grisham	5.9	8.2	0.154	0.359	0.333	0.692	0.283	0.064

Reds Notable Injuries

Nick Lodolo OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 8.2
TJ Friedl OUT (OF): Avg: 0.208 SLG:0.354 Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 2.4
Tyler Stephenson OUT (C): Avg: 0.229 SLG:0.39 Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: 1.6
Emilio Pagan OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/10/24. Impact: 1.1

Yankees Notable Injuries

Cody Poteet OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/14/24. Impact: 3.6
Giancarlo Stanton OUT (OF): Avg: 0.246 SLG:0.492 Last game: 06/24/24. Impact: 3.4
Anthony Rizzo OUT (1B): Avg: 0.223 SLG:0.341 Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: 1.9
Ian Hamilton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: 0.4