Reds vs Yankees Game Breakdown

Strap in, sports fans! Tonight’s MLB showdown is set to light up Yankee Stadium as the Cincinnati Reds, trailing in their conference but fresh off a thrilling victory, roll into the Big Apple to challenge the mighty New York Yankees. With the first pitch at 07:05 PM EST, the stakes are high and the lines are drawn. The Yankees, keen to avenge their recent narrow defeat, will look to leverage their home advantage under the partly cloudy skies of a perfect 79-degree evening. As the over/under teeters at 8.5, tonight’s game promises not just a battle of bats and balls, but of pride and position. So, as the Yankees try to reign it in and the Reds look to paint the town, expect a masterpiece of a match where only one can brush their way to victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 03, 2024 07:05PM EST

Location: Yankee Stadium, New York

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the WSW at 10.5 mph. Temperature is at 79.0° with 34% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	NYY ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+156	-190	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+149	-181	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-7	+9	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

131W-149L

40.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

166W-112L

59.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/02/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Over	+0.5
07/02/24	New York Yankees NYY	4	Over	+0.5
05/19/23	New York Yankees NYY	6	Under	-0.5
05/19/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-0.5
05/20/23	New York Yankees NYY	7	Over	+2.5
05/20/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+2.5
05/21/23	New York Yankees NYY	4	Under	-3.5
05/21/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Under	-3.5

Reds Vs Over/Under

Yankees Vs Over/Under

Andrew Abbott

ERA 3.413 | IP 89.7 | 7.0W-6.0L | KO 72.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-27-24	@STL	11-4W	5.0	2	2	2	Over
06-21-24	vsBOS	2-5W	5.7	4	2	10	Under
06-15-24	@MIL	1-3L	5.0	4	3	3	Under
06-08-24	vsCHC	3-4W	5.0	5	1	5	Under
06-03-24	@COL	13-3W	6.0	7	3	6	Over
05-28-24	vsSTL	7-1L	6.0	7	6	3	Under
05-21-24	vsSD	0-2W	7.0	4	0	2	Under
05-15-24	@ARI	1-2L	7.0	4	1	4	Under
05-10-24	@SF	4-2W	5.0	6	2	2	Under
05-04-24	vsBAL	2-1L	5.0	7	2	8	Under

Carlos Rodon

ERA 4.228 | IP 93.7 | 9.0W-5.0L | KO 92.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-27-24	@TOR	2-9L	5.0	10	8	8	Over
06-21-24	vsATL	8-1L	3.7	11	8	3	Over
06-15-24	@BOS	4-8L	5.0	7	5	7	Over
06-10-24	@KC	4-2W	7.0	5	1	3	Under
06-05-24	vsMIN	5-9W	6.0	3	2	9	Over
05-30-24	@LAA	8-3W	6.0	3	3	5	Over
05-24-24	@SD	8-0W	6.0	3	0	2	Under
05-19-24	vsCWS	2-7W	6.0	4	2	6	Over
05-14-24	@MIN	5-1W	6.0	6	1	6	Under
05-08-24	vsHOU	4-9W	6.3	7	2	7	Over

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/04	vs NYY	5-4W	5	2	Over
07/02	vs STL	0-2L	2	0	Under
07/01	vs STL	9-4W	13	0	Over
06/30	vs STL	0-1L	4	0	Under
06/29	vs STL	11-4W	16	1	Over
06/28	@ PIT	1-6L	4	0	Under
06/27	@ PIT	5-9L	9	0	Over
06/26	@ PIT	11-5W	12	1	Over
06/25	@ BOS	4-7L	10	0	Over
06/24	@ BOS	3-4L	11	2	Under
06/23	@ BOS	5-2W	6	3	Under
06/21	vs PIT	0-1L	2	0	Under
06/20	vs PIT	2-1W	9	1	Under
06/19	vs PIT	1-4L	7	0	Under
06/18	vs MIL	4-5L	8	2	Over

Yankees Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/04	@ CIN	4-5L	6	1	Over
07/02	vs TOR	8-1W	12	1	Over
07/01	vs TOR	3-9L	8	1	Over
06/30	vs TOR	16-5W	18	2	Over
06/29	vs TOR	2-9L	3	1	Over
06/28	vs NYM	2-12L	6	1	Over
06/27	vs NYM	7-9L	7	2	Over
06/25	@ ATL	1-3L	7	0	Under
06/24	@ ATL	8-3W	9	2	Over
06/23	@ ATL	1-8L	3	0	Over
06/22	@ BAL	5-17L	6	2	Over
06/21	@ BAL	6-7L	9	1	Over
06/20	@ BAL	4-2W	6	0	Under
06/18	vs BOS	3-9L	6	2	Over
06/17	vs BOS	4-8L	6	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	8.1	10.7	0.275	0.405	0.454	0.859	0.342	0.019
#2 Elly De La Cruz	10.4	13.5	0.254	0.483	0.389	0.871	0.349	0.047
#3 Jeimer Candelario	7.9	10.3	0.243	0.471	0.322	0.793	0.326	0.051
#4 Spencer Steer	8.3	11.0	0.242	0.414	0.384	0.798	0.323	0.033
#5 Tyler Stephenson	7.1	9.4	0.226	0.385	0.346	0.731	0.300	0.029
#6 Noelvi Marte	7.0	9.3	0.150	0.200	0.200	0.400	0.172	0.000
#7 Stuart Fairchild	6.4	8.4	0.231	0.344	0.338	0.681	0.282	0.025
#8 Santiago Espinal	5.6	7.2	0.192	0.279	0.262	0.541	0.228	0.023
#9 Levi Jordan	4.9	6.9	0.100	0.200	0.100	0.300	0.127	0.000

New York Yankees	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Anthony Volpe	8.6	11.0	0.257	0.384	0.337	0.721	0.297	0.017
#2 Juan Soto	9.4	12.7	0.300	0.562	0.549	1.111	0.419	0.067
#3 Aaron Judge	10.6	14.3	0.325	0.721	0.541	1.262	0.478	0.105
#4 J.D. Davis	8.1	10.3	0.227	0.356	0.333	0.689	0.285	0.030
#5 Gleyber Torres	8.1	10.7	0.226	0.351	0.338	0.689	0.284	0.026
#6 Alex Verdugo	6.5	8.6	0.241	0.389	0.334	0.723	0.297	0.029
#7 DJ LeMahieu	6.1	8.1	0.180	0.202	0.315	0.517	0.219	0.000
#8 Jose Trevino	5.8	7.8	0.241	0.399	0.323	0.722	0.298	0.051
#9 Jahmai Jones	5.6	7.2	0.258	0.419	0.387	0.806	0.327	0.032
#9 Jose Rojas	6.8	6.8	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan

Reds Notable Injuries

Nick Lodolo OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 8.2
TJ Friedl OUT (OF): Avg: 0.208 SLG:0.354 Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 2.4
Emilio Pagan OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/10/24. Impact: 1.1

Yankees Notable Injuries

Cody Poteet OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/14/24. Impact: 3.6
Giancarlo Stanton OUT (OF): Avg: 0.246 SLG:0.492 Last game: 06/24/24. Impact: 3.4
Anthony Rizzo OUT (1B): Avg: 0.223 SLG:0.341 Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: 1.9
Ian Hamilton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: 0.4