Reds vs Pirates Game Breakdown

Get ready for a thrilling showdown at PNC Park as the Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates, both sporting identical 34-37 records, lock horns in a battle to climb up from their 8-game lag in the National League standings. The first pitch is slated for 06:40 PM EST under skies that promise a little drizzle and a lot of drama. With the betting world buzzing, the lines are drawn at Reds +166 and Pirates -202, reflecting a tight contest as the Pirates sail in with the wind of a recent victory while the Reds look to rebound from a narrow defeat. As the over/under teeters at 8, tonight’s game is not just about baseball—it’s about pride, potential, and a little bit of pirate booty versus red-hot ambition. So, will the Pirates plunder, or will the Reds paint the town red? Let’s find out!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 17, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Weather: Patchy rain nearby with winds from the SSW at 5.4 mph. Temperature is at 75.1° with 69% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	PIT ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+166	-202	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+155	-188	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-11	+14	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

127W-145L

39.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

125W-148L

60.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
03/30/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Over	+1.0
03/30/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+1.0
04/01/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Push	-0.0
04/01/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Push	-0.0
04/02/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-4.0
04/02/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-4.0
04/20/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-1.0
04/20/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-1.0
04/21/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-2.0
04/21/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-2.0
04/22/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Under	-5.0
04/22/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-5.0
04/23/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	0	Under	-6.0
04/23/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-6.0
08/11/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	9	Over	+3.0
08/11/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Over	+3.0
08/13/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+3.0
08/13/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Over	+3.0
08/13/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-2.0
08/13/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-2.0
09/22/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+4.0
09/22/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Over	+4.0
09/23/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	13	Over	+17.0
09/23/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	12	Over	+17.0
09/24/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-2.0
09/24/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-2.0

Reds Vs Over/Under

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Carson Spiers

ERA 2.328 | IP 19.3 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 15.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-09-24	vsCHC	4-2L	5.7	4	0	7	Under
05-26-24	vsLAD	1-4W	3.3	3	1	3	Under
05-22-24	vsSD	7-3L	3.3	2	0	1	Over
05-18-24	@LAD	0-4L	3.0	3	1	3	Under
04-09-24	vsMIL	9-5L	4.0	7	4	1	Over
09-29-23	@STL	19-2W	3.0	1	0	1	Over
09-17-23	@NYM	4-8L	3.0	7	5	3	Over
09-09-23	vsSTL	4-3L	3.0	5	4	1	Under
09-03-23	vsCHC	15-7L	4.0	5	3	7	Over

Paul Skenes

ERA 2.43 | IP 33.3 | 3.0W-0.0L | KO 46.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-11-24	@STL	2-1W	6.3	5	0	8	Under
06-05-24	vsLAD	6-10W	5.0	6	3	8	Over
05-29-24	@DET	10-2W	6.0	3	2	9	Over
05-23-24	vsSF	7-6L	6.0	6	1	3	Over
05-17-24	@CHC	9-3W	6.0	0	0	11	Over
05-11-24	vsCHC	9-10W	4.0	6	3	7	Over

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/18	vs MIL	4-5L	8	2	Over
06/17	vs MIL	1-3L	5	0	Under
06/16	vs MIL	6-5W	10	2	Over
06/14	@ CLE	4-2W	6	2	Under
06/13	@ CLE	3-5L	6	0	Under
06/11	@ CHC	2-4L	5	1	Under
06/10	@ CHC	4-3W	6	2	Under
06/09	@ CHC	3-2W	5	0	Under
06/08	@ CHC	8-4W	9	1	Over
06/07	vs COL	12-7W	12	4	Over
06/06	vs COL	4-1W	12	1	Under
06/05	vs COL	13-3W	18	2	Over
06/04	vs CHC	5-2W	10	1	Under
06/03	vs CHC	5-7L	10	0	Over
06/02	vs CHC	5-4W	8	1	Over

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/18	vs COL	8-2W	15	0	Over
06/17	vs COL	4-16L	11	2	Over
06/16	vs COL	5-2W	9	3	Under
06/15	vs STL	3-4L	7	0	Under
06/14	vs STL	2-4L	6	1	Under
06/13	vs STL	2-1W	3	0	Under
06/11	@ MIN	5-11L	10	0	Over
06/10	@ MIN	4-0W	10	1	Under
06/09	@ MIN	3-0W	4	2	Under
06/08	@ LAD	7-11L	14	2	Over
06/07	@ LAD	10-6W	9	0	Over
06/06	@ LAD	1-0W	4	1	Under
06/04	vs TOR	4-5L	11	0	Over
06/03	vs TOR	8-1W	11	2	Over
06/02	vs TOR	3-5L	6	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 TJ Friedl	6.6	8.8	0.222	0.395	38.3%	77.8%	4.9%
#2 Elly De La Cruz	7.2	9.4	0.235	0.438	38.5%	82.3%	4.6%
#3 Jeimer Candelario	6.6	8.7	0.252	0.492	34.0%	83.2%	5.0%
#4 Spencer Steer	6.4	8.5	0.236	0.4	38.0%	78.0%	3.2%
#5 Jake Fraley	6.6	8.3	0.278	0.358	36.4%	72.2%	0.6%
#6 Tyler Stephenson	5.4	7.2	0.238	0.398	36.5%	76.2%	3.3%
#7 Nick Martini	4.7	6.4	0.207	0.353	27.6%	62.9%	3.4%
#8 Jonathan India	5.6	7.4	0.239	0.33	42.2%	75.2%	1.8%
#9 Will Benson	5.2	6.8	0.204	0.403	33.8%	74.1%	4.0%

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Andrew McCutchen	8.7	11.4	0.243	0.405	38.7%	79.3%	4.5%
#2 Bryan Reynolds	8.3	10.7	0.267	0.434	37.2%	80.6%	3.1%
#3 Oneil Cruz	8.9	11.5	0.251	0.439	32.6%	76.6%	3.8%
#4 Nick Gonzales	7.6	10.0	0.311	0.508	36.9%	87.7%	4.1%
#5 Rowdy Tellez	6.9	8.9	0.23	0.304	31.7%	62.1%	1.2%
#6 Ke’Bryan Hayes	6.9	8.9	0.24	0.311	35.0%	66.1%	1.1%
#7 Jack Suwinski	6.6	8.8	0.18	0.317	31.1%	62.9%	3.6%
#8 Connor Joe	6.5	8.6	0.256	0.422	37.2%	79.4%	3.1%
#9 Yasmani Grandal	5.5	7.3	0.182	0.284	21.6%	50.0%	2.3%

Reds Notable Injuries

Emilio Pagan OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/10/24. Impact: 1.1

Pirates Notable Injuries

Martin Perez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/28/24. Impact: 3.8
Quinn Priester OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/04/24. Impact: 3.2
Joey Bart OUT (C): Avg: 0.267 SLG:0.517 Last game: 05/28/24. Impact: 2.3
Ji Hwan Bae OUT (OF): Avg: 0.208 SLG:0.208 Last game: 06/04/24. Impact: 1.9
Alika Williams OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.21 SLG:0.29 Last game: 05/31/24. Impact: 0.4
Hunter Stratton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/15/24. Impact: 0.8