Reds vs Pirates Game Breakdown
Reds
35W-38L
June 19, 2024
12:35PM EST
Odds: 7.5 o/u
Pirates
35W-38L
Get ready to slide into some midday MLB action as the Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates lock horns at the scenic PNC Park. Both teams are neck and neck this season, each boasting a 35-38 record and sitting 8 games behind in the National League race, making today’s showdown a critical pivot point in their seasons. The stakes are as sunny as the weather, with clear skies and a gentle breeze setting the stage for this 12:35PM EST start. The odds-makers have the Pirates slightly favored, but with an over/under of 7.5, today’s game promises to be anything but predictable. Fresh off their respective last encounters, where the Reds edged out a tight 2-1 victory against these very Pirates, tensions and expectations are running high. So, who will hoist the victory flag today? It’s time to find out if the Reds can continue their recent dominance or if the Pirates will sail to a rebound win!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: June 19, 2024 12:35PM EST
Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Weather: Sunny with winds from the SSW at 4.3 mph. Temperature is at 85.4° with 54% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| CIN ML | PIT ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -103 | -117 | 7.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +117 | -140 | 8.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | +220 | -23 | +0.5 | – |
Team Performance
46.1% Win Probability
53.9% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/17/24 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 1 | Under | -2.5 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 4 | ||||
| 06/18/24 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 2 | Under | -4.5 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 1 | ||||
| 03/30/23 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 5 | Over | +1.5 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 4 | ||||
| 04/01/23 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 2 | Over | +0.5 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 6 | ||||
| 04/02/23 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 1 | Under | -3.5 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 3 | ||||
| 04/20/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 3 | Under | -0.5 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 4 | ||||
| 04/21/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 2 | Under | -1.5 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 4 | ||||
| 04/22/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 1 | Under | -4.5 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 2 | ||||
| 04/23/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 0 | Under | -5.5 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 2 | ||||
| 08/11/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 9 | Over | +3.5 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 2 | ||||
| 08/13/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 6 | Over | +3.5 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 5 | ||||
| 08/13/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 2 | Under | -1.5 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 4 | ||||
| 09/22/23 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 7 | Over | +4.5 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 5 | ||||
| 09/23/23 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 13 | Over | +17.5 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 12 | ||||
| 09/24/23 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 2 | Under | -1.5 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 4 |
Reds Vs Over/Under
Pirates Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14-24 | @MIL | 6-5W | 5.0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | Over |
| 06-06-24 | vsCHC | 4-8W | 6.7 | 5 | 4 | 8 | Over |
| 06-01-24 | @CHC | 5-7L | 6.0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | Over |
| 05-25-24 | vsLAD | 1-3W | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 5 | Under |
| 05-19-24 | @LAD | 2-3L | 6.3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | Under |
| 05-14-24 | @ARI | 6-2W | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | Push |
| 05-09-24 | vsARI | 5-4L | 5.0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | Over |
| 05-03-24 | vsBAL | 3-0L | 5.7 | 5 | 0 | 5 | Under |
| 04-27-24 | @TEX | 8-4W | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | Over |
| 04-22-24 | vsPHI | 7-0L | 7.0 | 7 | 4 | 6 | Under |
| 06-18-24 | @PIT | 2-1W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 06-14-24 | @MIL | 6-5W | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | Over |
| 06-12-24 | vsCLE | 2-4W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Under |
| 06-07-24 | vsCHC | 2-3W | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Under |
| 06-06-24 | vsCHC | 4-8W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Over |
| 06-02-24 | @CHC | 5-2W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 05-31-24 | @CHC | 5-4W | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Over |
| 05-26-24 | vsLAD | 1-4W | 0.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Under |
| 05-25-24 | vsLAD | 1-3W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Under |
| 05-23-24 | vsSD | 6-4L | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13-24 | @STL | 3-4L | 6.0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | Under |
| 06-07-24 | vsMIN | 0-3W | 6.0 | 7 | 0 | 8 | Under |
| 06-01-24 | @TOR | 8-1W | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 8 | Over |
| 05-25-24 | vsATL | 1-4W | 6.7 | 6 | 1 | 4 | Under |
| 05-19-24 | @CHC | 3-2W | 6.0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | Under |
| 05-13-24 | @MIL | 8-6W | 6.0 | 8 | 0 | 7 | Over |
| 05-06-24 | vsLAA | 1-4W | 9.0 | 5 | 1 | 5 | Under |
| 04-30-24 | @OAK | 2-5L | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | Under |
| 04-25-24 | vsMIL | 7-5L | 5.0 | 6 | 4 | 7 | Over |
| 04-20-24 | vsBOS | 4-2L | 6.0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | Under |
Reds Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/20 | vs PIT | 2-1W | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 06/19 | vs PIT | 1-4L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 06/18 | vs MIL | 4-5L | 8 | 2 | Over |
| 06/17 | vs MIL | 1-3L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 06/16 | vs MIL | 6-5W | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 06/14 | @ CLE | 4-2W | 6 | 2 | Under |
| 06/13 | @ CLE | 3-5L | 6 | 0 | Push |
| 06/11 | @ CHC | 2-4L | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 06/10 | @ CHC | 4-3W | 6 | 2 | Under |
| 06/09 | @ CHC | 3-2W | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 06/08 | @ CHC | 8-4W | 9 | 1 | Over |
| 06/07 | vs COL | 12-7W | 12 | 4 | Over |
| 06/06 | vs COL | 4-1W | 12 | 1 | Under |
| 06/05 | vs COL | 13-3W | 18 | 2 | Over |
| 06/04 | vs CHC | 5-2W | 10 | 1 | Under |
Pirates Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/20 | @ CIN | 1-2L | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 06/19 | @ CIN | 4-1W | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 06/18 | vs COL | 8-2W | 15 | 0 | Over |
| 06/17 | vs COL | 4-16L | 11 | 2 | Over |
| 06/16 | vs COL | 5-2W | 9 | 3 | Under |
| 06/15 | vs STL | 3-4L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 06/14 | vs STL | 2-4L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 06/13 | vs STL | 2-1W | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 06/11 | @ MIN | 5-11L | 10 | 0 | Over |
| 06/10 | @ MIN | 4-0W | 10 | 1 | Under |
| 06/09 | @ MIN | 3-0W | 4 | 2 | Under |
| 06/08 | @ LAD | 7-11L | 14 | 2 | Over |
| 06/07 | @ LAD | 10-6W | 9 | 0 | Over |
| 06/06 | @ LAD | 1-0W | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 06/04 | vs TOR | 4-5L | 11 | 0 | Over |
Team’s Batting Order
| Cincinnati Reds | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.4 | 11.1 | 0.240 | 0.333 | 0.418 | 0.751 | 0.303 | 0.018 | |
| 11.3 | 14.6 | 0.240 | 0.442 | 0.390 | 0.831 | 0.334 | 0.045 | |
| 8.3 | 11.0 | 0.241 | 0.405 | 0.385 | 0.790 | 0.320 | 0.031 | |
|
#4
Jake Fraley
|
8.6 | 10.8 | 0.274 | 0.351 | 0.363 | 0.714 | 0.294 | 0.006 |
| 6.6 | 8.6 | 0.203 | 0.312 | 0.283 | 0.594 | 0.248 | 0.029 | |
|
#6
Will Benson
|
8.2 | 10.8 | 0.202 | 0.399 | 0.335 | 0.734 | 0.299 | 0.039 |
| 5.8 | 7.6 | 0.220 | 0.341 | 0.341 | 0.683 | 0.281 | 0.033 | |
|
#8
Alexis Diaz
|
3.1 | 6.3 | nan | nan | nan | nan | 0.000 | nan |
| 6.1 | 8.0 | 0.189 | 0.245 | 0.358 | 0.604 | 0.253 | 0.000 | |
|
#9
Luke Maile
|
5.4 | 7.0 | 0.203 | 0.304 | 0.342 | 0.646 | 0.269 | 0.025 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.7 | 11.5 | 0.246 | 0.408 | 0.395 | 0.803 | 0.324 | 0.044 | |
| 9.1 | 11.8 | 0.274 | 0.446 | 0.375 | 0.821 | 0.334 | 0.030 | |
|
#3
Oneil Cruz
|
8.1 | 10.6 | 0.250 | 0.434 | 0.324 | 0.758 | 0.312 | 0.037 |
| 7.7 | 10.1 | 0.292 | 0.477 | 0.346 | 0.823 | 0.339 | 0.038 | |
|
#5
Rowdy Tellez
|
6.9 | 8.9 | 0.236 | 0.321 | 0.321 | 0.642 | 0.267 | 0.012 |
| 7.1 | 9.1 | 0.241 | 0.325 | 0.346 | 0.670 | 0.277 | 0.016 | |
|
#7
Connor Joe
|
7.0 | 9.2 | 0.248 | 0.409 | 0.361 | 0.770 | 0.315 | 0.030 |
| 5.5 | 7.3 | 0.187 | 0.286 | 0.220 | 0.505 | 0.214 | 0.022 | |
| 6.4 | 8.2 | 0.197 | 0.259 | 0.272 | 0.531 | 0.224 | 0.007 |
Reds Notable Injuries
- Emilio Pagan OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/10/24. Impact: 1.1
Pirates Notable Injuries
- Martin Perez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/28/24. Impact: 3.8
- Quinn Priester OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/04/24. Impact: 3.2
- Joey Bart OUT (C): Avg: 0.267 SLG:0.517 Last game: 05/28/24. Impact: 2.3
- Ji Hwan Bae OUT (OF): Avg: 0.208 SLG:0.208 Last game: 06/04/24. Impact: 1.8
- Alika Williams OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.21 SLG:0.29 Last game: 05/31/24. Impact: 0.4
- Hunter Stratton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/15/24. Impact: 0.8
Royals vs Braves Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:43 am by thefield
Padres vs Diamondbacks Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:43 am by thefield
Athletics vs Mariners Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:43 am by thefield
Astros vs Guardians Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:43 am by thefield
Dodgers vs Rockies Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:43 am by thefield
Mets vs Brewers Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:43 am by thefield
Orioles vs Twins Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:43 am by thefield
White Sox vs Tigers Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:42 am by thefield
Marlins vs Blue Jays Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:42 am by thefield
Rangers vs Angels Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:42 am by thefield
Rays vs Red Sox Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:42 am by thefield
Phillies vs Nationals Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:42 am by thefield
Pirates vs Yankees Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:42 am by thefield
Cardinals vs Giants Game Breakdown
September 29, 2024 at 9:41 am by thefield
Athletics vs Mariners Game Breakdown
September 28, 2024 at 11:21 am by thefield
Rangers vs Angels Game Breakdown
September 28, 2024 at 11:21 am by thefield