Reds vs Mariners Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Apr 15th 2024

Get ready to dive into the clash of the coasts as the sizzling Cincinnati Reds roll into the cool climes of T-Mobile Park to face the Seattle Mariners under the moody Seattle skies tonight at 09:42 PM EST. With the Reds hot on the heels of the league leaders and the Mariners looking to anchor down a much-needed win, this game is set to be a pivotal point in their seasons. The stakes are high with the betting lines buzzing—Reds at 126 and Mariners playing favorites at -150 amidst an overcast backdrop, gentle breezes, and a chill in the air. After the Reds scorched the White Sox and the Mariners took a narrow hit from the Cubs, tonight’s face-off is more than just a game. It’s a battle of fire and water—so let’s see if the Mariners can sail through the Reds’ flames or if they’ll get a little singed in the process!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 15, 2024 09:42PM EST

Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Weather: Overcast with winds from the SSE at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 46.0° with 82% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	SEA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+126	-150	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+126	-150	7.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	0	0	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

116W-128L

44.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

134W-111L

55.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/04/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+1.5
09/04/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+1.5
09/05/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	6	Over	+5.5
09/05/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+5.5
09/06/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	8	Over	+4.5
09/06/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+4.5

Reds Vs Over/Under

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Graham Ashcraft

ERA 4.757 | IP 145.7 | 7.0W-9.0L | KO 111.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-09-24	vsMIL	9-5L	5.0	6	5	4	Over
04-03-24	@PHI	4-1W	5.7	5	1	5	Under
03-28-24	vsWAS	2-8W	6.0	4	0	4	Over
09-30-23	@KC	5-2L	1.3	2	0	1	Push
09-16-22	@MIL	5-2L	3.3	4	4	2	Push
09-09-22	@TB	5-2L	5.7	9	4	4	Push
09-04-22	@TB	5-2L	5.0	1	0	7	Push
08-29-22	@LAA	5-2L	6.0	8	4	6	Push
08-23-22	@NYM	5-2L	5.7	6	2	6	Push
08-18-22	@TOR	5-2L	6.0	8	6	2	Push
04-14-24	@CWS	11-4W	5.7	5	2	8	Over
04-08-24	vsMIL	8-10W	5.7	9	6	6	Over
04-02-24	@PHI	4-9L	6.0	4	3	5	Over
09-01-23	vsCHC	6-2L	5.0	6	3	6	Over
08-27-23	@ARI	2-5L	6.7	7	2	5	Push
08-22-23	@LAA	4-3W	7.0	5	3	10	Push
08-15-23	vsCLE	3-0L	7.0	7	3	2	Under
08-09-23	vsMIA	5-4L	7.0	3	1	7	Over
08-04-23	vsWAS	6-3L	8.0	5	3	5	Over
07-30-23	@LAD	9-0W	6.0	5	0	2	Over

Luis Castillo

ERA 3.381 | IP 197.0 | 14.0W-9.0L | KO 219.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-09-24	@TOR	3-5L	4.0	8	5	3	Over
04-03-24	vsCLE	8-0L	3.7	10	8	2	Over
03-29-24	vsBOS	0-1W	6.7	2	0	8	Under
10-01-23	vsTEX	0-1W	6.0	3	0	7	Under
09-26-23	vsHOU	2-6W	6.0	5	0	4	Over
09-20-23	@OAK	6-3W	7.0	8	3	3	Over
09-15-23	vsLAD	6-3L	6.0	5	4	7	Over
09-08-23	@TB	4-7L	6.3	5	4	6	Over
09-03-23	@NYM	3-6L	3.0	6	4	3	Over
08-23-23	@CWS	4-5L	5.7	8	3	9	Over
04-14-24	vsCHC	3-2L	6.0	7	3	9	Under
04-08-24	@TOR	2-5L	5.0	9	4	6	Push
04-02-24	vsCLE	5-2L	5.7	10	4	7	Push
03-28-24	vsBOS	6-4L	5.0	6	4	5	Over
09-30-23	vsTEX	6-1L	2.7	5	4	4	Push
09-25-23	vsHOU	5-1L	6.0	8	5	8	Under
09-19-23	@OAK	7-2W	7.0	5	2	8	Over
09-13-23	vsLAA	2-3W	6.0	3	2	8	Under
09-07-23	@TB	1-0W	6.0	4	0	8	Under
09-02-23	@NYM	8-7W	5.0	8	5	2	Over

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/16	vs CWS	11-4W	11	2	Over
04/15	vs CWS	5-0W	4	0	Under
04/14	vs CWS	11-1W	12	2	Over
04/12	@ MIL	2-7L	4	1	Over
04/11	@ MIL	5-9L	10	0	Over
04/10	@ MIL	10-8W	10	3	Over
04/09	@ NYM	1-3L	3	0	Under
04/08	@ NYM	9-6W	8	1	Over
04/07	@ NYM	2-3L	7	1	Under
04/05	vs PHI	4-1W	6	0	Under
04/04	vs PHI	4-9L	8	0	Over
04/03	vs PHI	6-3W	8	1	Over
04/02	@ WAS	6-5W	14	2	Over
04/01	@ WAS	6-7L	10	2	Over
03/30	@ WAS	8-2W	10	2	Over

Mariners Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/16	@ CHC	2-3L	5	1	Under
04/15	@ CHC	1-4L	6	0	Under
04/14	@ CHC	4-2W	6	0	Under
04/12	vs TOR	6-1W	6	1	Push
04/11	vs TOR	3-5L	6	2	Over
04/10	vs TOR	2-5L	7	2	Push
04/09	vs MIL	4-12L	8	1	Over
04/08	vs MIL	5-3W	10	2	Over
04/07	vs MIL	5-6L	8	0	Over
04/05	@ CLE	0-8L	5	0	Over
04/04	@ CLE	2-5L	9	0	Push
04/03	@ CLE	5-4W	7	1	Over
04/02	@ BOS	1-5L	4	0	Under
04/01	@ BOS	4-3W	7	0	Push
03/31	@ BOS	1-0W	4	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	9.0	12.0	0.244	0.409	39.6%	80.4%	3.8%
#2 Will Benson	10.1	13.1	0.276	0.5	42.0%	92.0%	3.8%
#3 C. Encarnacion-Strand	9.0	11.8	0.27	0.477	35.6%	83.3%	5.9%
#4 Jeimer Candelario	9.4	12.5	0.251	0.473	38.3%	85.6%	4.4%
#5 Jake Fraley	8.9	11.8	0.257	0.445	38.5%	83.0%	4.5%
#6 Elly De La Cruz	9.8	12.7	0.234	0.409	32.5%	73.5%	3.4%
#7 Spencer Steer	9.0	11.8	0.273	0.467	41.0%	87.7%	4.0%
#8 Nick Martini	7.2	9.6	0.264	0.583	36.1%	94.4%	8.3%
#9 Tyler Stephenson	6.8	8.9	0.246	0.382	35.4%	73.7%	2.8%

Seattle Mariners	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 J.P. Crawford	7.5	10.0	0.266	0.44	45.3%	89.2%	3.6%
#2 Julio Rodriguez	8.5	11.1	0.275	0.486	36.5%	85.1%	4.9%
#3 Jorge Polanco	7.5	10.0	0.255	0.454	38.1%	83.4%	4.6%
#4 Ty France	6.9	9.0	0.253	0.37	38.4%	75.3%	2.1%
#5 Mitch Haniger	6.8	9.1	0.209	0.365	28.9%	65.4%	2.8%
#6 Mitch Garver	7.4	9.8	0.271	0.503	43.2%	93.5%	6.5%
#7 Cal Raleigh	6.7	9.0	0.232	0.456	34.0%	79.6%	5.9%
#8 Dominic Canzone	5.7	7.5	0.22	0.399	27.2%	67.1%	3.5%
#8 Luke Raley	6.5	8.6	0.252	0.496	38.2%	87.8%	5.4%
#9 Josh Rojas	5.4	7.1	0.245	0.338	33.4%	67.2%	1.3%