Reds vs Mariners Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 16th 2024

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at T-Mobile Park tonight as the Cincinnati Reds, boasting a solid 9W-7L record, cruise into Seattle to clash with the Mariners, who are trying to find their sea legs at 7W-10L. The stakes are high with the Reds just a swing away from the top in the National League, while the Mariners look to anchor down and climb the American League ranks. The first pitch is set to soar at 09:40 PM EST, under the cool, calm skies of Seattle. Betting buffs, take note: the line’s drawn with the Reds at +112 underdogs and the Mariners favored at -134, with the game’s total teetering at 7.5. Fresh off a face-off where the Mariners sailed to a 9-3 victory, tonight’s rematch promises revenge and rivalry. So, as these teams prepare to pitch, hit, and run, let’s see if the Reds can cook up a storm or if the Mariners will keep riding the wave!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 16, 2024 09:40PM EST

Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Weather: with winds from the at 0.0 mph. Temperature is at 0.0° with 0% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	SEA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+112	-134	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+110	-132	7.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-2	+2	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

116W-129L

47.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

135W-111L

52.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/15/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+4.5
04/15/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	9	Over	+4.5
09/04/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+1.5
09/04/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+1.5
09/05/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	6	Over	+5.5
09/05/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+5.5
09/06/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	8	Over	+4.5
09/06/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+4.5

Reds Vs Over/Under

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Hunter Greene

ERA 4.821 | IP 112.0 | 4.0W-7.0L | KO 152.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-10-24	vsMIL	7-2L	6.0	6	7	9	Over
04-05-24	vsNYM	3-2L	6.0	3	1	6	Under
03-30-24	vsWAS	7-6L	4.7	5	2	7	Over
10-01-23	@STL	3-4L	5.0	9	4	6	Push
09-26-23	@CLE	11-7W	3.0	8	7	3	Over
09-20-23	vsMIN	5-3L	7.0	3	1	14	Over
09-15-23	@NYM	5-3W	5.7	4	3	6	Over
09-10-23	vsSTL	1-7W	6.0	1	1	9	Over
08-30-23	@SF	4-1W	5.3	3	1	6	Under
08-25-23	@ARI	8-10L	3.7	5	5	4	Over

Logan Gilbert

ERA 3.822 | IP 183.7 | 12.0W-7.0L | KO 183.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-10-24	@TOR	6-1W	7.7	5	1	8	Push
04-05-24	@MIL	5-6L	5.7	5	4	7	Over
03-30-24	vsBOS	3-4W	7.0	4	1	8	Push
09-28-23	vsTEX	2-3W	6.0	3	2	5	Under
09-23-23	@TEX	0-2L	5.7	5	2	2	Under
09-17-23	vsLAD	6-1L	5.0	7	5	6	Push
09-11-23	vsLAA	8-5L	7.0	6	3	5	Over
09-06-23	@CIN	8-4W	5.3	7	3	9	Over
09-01-23	@NYM	1-2L	6.7	7	1	9	Under
08-26-23	vsKC	2-15W	7.0	2	1	7	Over

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/17	vs SEA	3-9L	7	2	Over
04/16	vs CWS	11-4W	11	2	Over
04/15	vs CWS	5-0W	4	0	Under
04/14	vs CWS	11-1W	12	2	Over
04/12	@ MIL	2-7L	4	1	Over
04/11	@ MIL	5-9L	10	0	Over
04/10	@ MIL	10-8W	10	3	Over
04/09	@ NYM	1-3L	3	0	Under
04/08	@ NYM	9-6W	8	1	Over
04/07	@ NYM	2-3L	7	1	Under
04/05	vs PHI	4-1W	6	0	Under
04/04	vs PHI	4-9L	8	0	Over
04/03	vs PHI	6-3W	8	1	Over
04/02	@ WAS	6-5W	14	2	Over
04/01	@ WAS	6-7L	10	2	Over

Mariners Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/17	@ CIN	9-3W	10	2	Over
04/16	@ CHC	2-3L	5	1	Under
04/15	@ CHC	1-4L	6	0	Under
04/14	@ CHC	4-2W	6	0	Under
04/12	vs TOR	6-1W	6	1	Push
04/11	vs TOR	3-5L	6	2	Over
04/10	vs TOR	2-5L	7	2	Push
04/09	vs MIL	4-12L	8	1	Over
04/08	vs MIL	5-3W	10	2	Over
04/07	vs MIL	5-6L	8	0	Over
04/05	@ CLE	0-8L	5	0	Over
04/04	@ CLE	2-5L	9	0	Push
04/03	@ CLE	5-4W	7	1	Over
04/02	@ BOS	1-5L	4	0	Under
04/01	@ BOS	4-3W	7	0	Push

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	6.9	9.2	0.244	0.409	39.6%	80.4%	3.8%
#2 Will Benson	7.8	10.1	0.276	0.5	42.0%	92.0%	3.8%
#3 C. Encarnacion-Strand	7.6	9.9	0.27	0.477	35.6%	83.3%	5.9%
#4 Spencer Steer	7.4	9.7	0.273	0.467	41.0%	87.7%	4.0%
#5 Jake Fraley	7.0	9.3	0.257	0.445	38.5%	83.0%	4.5%
#6 Elly De La Cruz	7.1	9.2	0.234	0.409	32.5%	73.5%	3.4%
#7 Jeimer Candelario	6.3	8.4	0.251	0.473	38.3%	85.6%	4.4%
#8 Nick Martini	5.5	7.3	0.264	0.583	36.1%	94.4%	8.3%
#9 Tyler Stephenson	5.3	7.0	0.246	0.382	35.4%	73.7%	2.8%

Seattle Mariners	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 J.P. Crawford	7.2	9.6	0.266	0.44	45.3%	89.2%	3.6%
#2 Julio Rodriguez	8.9	11.6	0.275	0.486	36.5%	85.1%	4.9%
#3 Jorge Polanco	8.0	10.6	0.255	0.454	38.1%	83.4%	4.6%
#4 Mitch Haniger	7.2	9.6	0.209	0.365	28.9%	65.4%	2.8%
#5 Ty France	6.1	8.0	0.253	0.37	38.4%	75.3%	2.1%
#6 Cal Raleigh	7.5	10.0	0.232	0.456	34.0%	79.6%	5.9%
#7 Luke Raley	6.8	9.0	0.252	0.496	38.2%	87.8%	5.4%
#9 Josh Rojas	5.5	7.3	0.245	0.338	33.4%	67.2%	1.3%