Reds vs Cardinals Game Breakdown

Get ready to paint the town red—or maybe Cardinal red—as the Cincinnati Reds roll into Busch Stadium to clash with the St. Louis Cardinals in a showdown that’s got all the makings of a classic! With the first pitch slated for 07:45PM EST, both teams are looking to climb their way up from the middle of the National League pack, and with the Cardinals thirsting for revenge after yesterday’s shutout, you bet they’re coming in hot. The stakes? Just a spicy over/under of 8.5 and odds that have the gamblers buzzing. Under the sunny St. Louis sky, with just a gentle breeze to ruffle the outfield, it’s the perfect setting for some major league drama. So, as these two teams get set to swing it out, let’s see who truly has the mightier bats—will the Reds catch fire or will the Cardinals take flight?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 11, 2024 07:45PM EST

Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis

Weather: Sunny with winds from the S at 3.8 mph. Temperature is at 84.9° with 37% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	STL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+110	-132	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+116	-139	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+6	-7	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

146W-163L

46.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

168W-144L

53.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/27/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Under	-4.5
05/27/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-4.5
05/28/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	7	Under	-0.5
05/28/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Under	-0.5
05/29/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	5	Under	-0.5
05/29/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-0.5
06/27/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	11	Over	+6.5
06/27/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	4	Over	+6.5
06/28/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	0	Under	-7.5
06/28/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Under	-7.5
06/29/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	9	Over	+4.5
06/29/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	4	Over	+4.5
06/30/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	0	Under	-6.5
06/30/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Under	-6.5
08/12/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Under	-1.5
08/12/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Under	-1.5
08/13/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Under	-3.5
08/13/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-3.5
08/14/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Over	+2.5
08/14/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	9	Over	+2.5
09/10/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-5.5
09/10/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	0	Under	-5.5
10/01/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-1.5
10/01/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	4	Under	-1.5
05/22/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	5	Over	+2.5
05/22/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+2.5
05/23/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	8	Over	+4.5
05/23/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Over	+4.5
05/24/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	3	Over	+4.5
05/24/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	10	Over	+4.5
05/25/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Under	-5.5
05/25/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Under	-5.5
06/09/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+2.5
06/09/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	7	Over	+2.5
06/10/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+3.5
06/10/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	4	Over	+3.5
06/11/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-1.5
06/11/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	3	Under	-1.5
09/08/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	9	Over	+4.5
09/08/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+4.5
09/09/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	4	Under	-1.5
09/09/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-1.5
09/10/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Under	-0.5
09/10/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Under	-0.5
09/29/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	19	Over	+12.5
09/29/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Over	+12.5
09/30/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+12.5
09/30/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	15	Over	+12.5

Reds Vs Over/Under

Cardinals Vs Over/Under

Brandon Williamson

ERA 3.375 | IP 8.0 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 6.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-06-24	@NYM	4-6L	4.7	1	1	1	Over
09-01-24	vsMIL	3-4W	3.3	4	2	5	Under
09-29-23	@STL	19-2W	6.0	5	2	2	Over
09-24-23	vsPIT	2-4W	4.3	4	2	3	Under
09-17-23	@NYM	4-8L	4.0	6	3	2	Over
09-12-23	@DET	6-5W	4.0	7	5	4	Over
08-29-23	@SF	1-6L	6.0	6	5	5	Under
08-24-23	@ARI	2-3L	6.0	6	0	6	Under
08-19-23	vsTOR	4-3L	5.7	9	4	6	Under
08-13-23	@PIT	2-4L	5.7	2	1	6	Under

Lance Lynn

ERA 4.063 | IP 106.3 | 6.0W-4.0L | KO 97.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-30-24	vsTEX	1-8W	5.0	3	1	3	Over
07-23-24	@PIT	2-1W	5.0	4	0	2	Under
07-13-24	vsCHC	3-11W	6.0	5	2	6	Over
07-06-24	@WAS	6-14L	2.7	9	11	2	Over
06-30-24	vsCIN	0-2W	6.0	2	0	6	Under
06-24-24	vsATL	3-4W	6.7	4	1	5	Under
06-18-24	@MIA	8-9L	5.3	10	6	5	Over
06-13-24	vsPIT	3-4W	4.3	4	3	5	Under
06-07-24	vsCOL	5-8W	4.0	6	4	6	Over
06-02-24	@PHI	5-4W	4.0	3	4	4	Over

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/12	vs STL	3-0W	7	0	Under
09/11	vs ATL	1-0W	8	0	Under
09/10	vs NYM	3-1W	7	0	Under
09/09	vs NYM	0-4L	6	0	Under
09/08	vs NYM	4-6L	3	2	Over
09/07	@ HOU	1-0W	6	1	Under
09/06	@ HOU	12-5W	14	1	Over
09/04	@ HOU	5-3W	13	0	Under
09/03	@ MIL	4-3W	10	1	Under
09/02	@ MIL	4-5L	8	1	Over
09/01	@ MIL	0-14L	5	0	Over
09/01	@ MIL	4-5L	9	2	Over
08/31	@ OAK	10-9W	8	2	Over
08/30	@ OAK	6-9L	8	1	Over
08/29	@ OAK	4-5L	11	0	Over

Cardinals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/12	@ CIN	0-3L	8	0	Under
09/10	@ SEA	4-10L	9	0	Over
09/09	@ SEA	2-0W	2	1	Under
09/08	@ SEA	1-6L	5	1	Under
09/06	vs MIL	3-2W	5	0	Under
09/05	vs MIL	7-4W	9	1	Over
09/04	vs MIL	3-9L	6	2	Over
09/03	vs NYY	14-7W	21	3	Over
09/02	vs NYY	6-5W	7	1	Over
09/01	vs NYY	3-6L	10	1	Over
08/31	@ SD	4-1W	10	1	Under
08/30	@ SD	4-3W	11	0	Under
08/29	@ SD	5-7L	11	1	Over
08/28	@ SD	4-7L	11	0	Over
08/27	vs MIN	3-2W	8	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	8.0	10.6	0.242	0.385	0.408	0.794	0.320	0.029
#2 Elly De La Cruz	10.0	12.9	0.260	0.469	0.387	0.856	0.345	0.040
#3 Tyler Stephenson	7.9	10.5	0.254	0.454	0.370	0.825	0.335	0.044
#4 TJ Friedl	8.6	11.5	0.212	0.376	0.339	0.714	0.294	0.045
#5 Spencer Steer	7.5	10.0	0.234	0.408	0.375	0.783	0.317	0.037
#6 Ty France	6.4	8.3	0.250	0.388	0.367	0.755	0.309	0.029
#7 Jake Fraley	7.0	8.8	0.273	0.382	0.355	0.737	0.303	0.013
#8 Santiago Espinal	5.8	7.4	0.266	0.393	0.334	0.727	0.301	0.029
#9 Amed Rosario	5.8	7.2	0.287	0.394	0.328	0.722	0.300	0.009

St. Louis Cardinals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Masyn Winn	8.5	10.8	0.273	0.413	0.347	0.760	0.312	0.023
#2 Luken Baker	6.9	9.8	0.200	0.550	0.550	1.100	0.404	0.100
#2 Willson Contreras	7.8	10.3	0.263	0.470	0.453	0.923	0.364	0.050
#3 Paul Goldschmidt	9.1	11.8	0.248	0.418	0.330	0.748	0.308	0.039
#4 Nolan Arenado	7.5	9.7	0.260	0.385	0.341	0.726	0.300	0.029
#5 Ivan Herrera	6.9	8.9	0.281	0.382	0.392	0.774	0.315	0.015
#6 Jordan Walker	6.9	9.1	0.173	0.298	0.260	0.558	0.235	0.019
#7 Lars Nootbaar	6.8	8.9	0.245	0.399	0.393	0.792	0.319	0.030
#8 Thomas Saggese	7.2	7.2	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
#9 Michael Siani	4.2	5.3	0.245	0.307	0.304	0.611	0.256	0.008

Reds Notable Injuries

Hunter Greene OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/15/24. Impact: 11.0
Nick Lodolo OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/24/24. Impact: 4.8
Andrew Abbott OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 5.7
Jeimer Candelario OUT (1B): Avg: 0.227 SLG:0.433 Last game: 08/21/24. Impact: 2.2
Stuart Fairchild OUT (OF): Avg: 0.215 SLG:0.368 Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: 0.8
Sam Moll OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/09/24. Impact: 0.4