Reds vs Cardinals Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the Cincinnati Reds, trailing a bit in the standings but still fighting, roll into Busch Stadium to challenge the St. Louis Cardinals in a midday showdown that’s got all the makings of a classic. With the first pitch set to fly at 01:15 PM EST, both teams are looking to climb their way up the National League ranks, the Reds from 13 games back and the Cardinals a bit closer at 9.5. Vegas has the line drawn with the Cardinals as favorites and a tight over/under of 7.5, reflecting expectations of a closely matched battle following their nail-biter just yesterday where the Cardinals edged out with a win. Under the clear, sunny skies of St. Louis, with just a whisper of northern wind, today’s game promises clear views and crisp plays. So, as the Reds try to paint the town and the Cardinals aim to fly high, let’s see who ends up drawing the winning stroke in this artistic showdown of bats!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 12, 2024 01:15PM EST

Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis

Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 73.0° with 61% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	STL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+142	-172	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+129	-154	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-13	+18	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

146W-164L

43.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

169W-144L

56.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/27/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Under	-3.5
05/27/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-3.5
05/28/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	7	Over	+0.5
05/28/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Over	+0.5
05/29/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	5	Over	+0.5
05/29/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+0.5
06/27/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	11	Over	+7.5
06/27/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	4	Over	+7.5
06/28/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	0	Under	-6.5
06/28/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Under	-6.5
06/29/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	9	Over	+5.5
06/29/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	4	Over	+5.5
06/30/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	0	Under	-5.5
06/30/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Under	-5.5
08/12/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Under	-0.5
08/12/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Under	-0.5
08/13/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Under	-2.5
08/13/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-2.5
08/14/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Over	+3.5
08/14/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	9	Over	+3.5
09/10/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-4.5
09/10/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	0	Under	-4.5
09/11/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Under	-4.5
09/11/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Under	-4.5
10/01/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-0.5
10/01/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	4	Under	-0.5
05/22/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	5	Over	+3.5
05/22/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+3.5
05/23/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	8	Over	+5.5
05/23/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Over	+5.5
05/24/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	3	Over	+5.5
05/24/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	10	Over	+5.5
05/25/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Under	-4.5
05/25/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Under	-4.5
06/09/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+3.5
06/09/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	7	Over	+3.5
06/10/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+4.5
06/10/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	4	Over	+4.5
06/11/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-0.5
06/11/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	3	Under	-0.5
09/08/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	9	Over	+5.5
09/08/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+5.5
09/09/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	4	Under	-0.5
09/09/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-0.5
09/10/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Over	+0.5
09/10/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+0.5
09/29/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	19	Over	+13.5
09/29/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Over	+13.5
09/30/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+13.5
09/30/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	15	Over	+13.5

Reds Vs Over/Under

Cardinals Vs Over/Under

Jakob Junis

ERA 2.824 | IP 51.0 | 4.0W-0.0L | KO 39.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-07-24	@NYM	0-4L	5.0	1	0	5	Under
09-01-24	vsMIL	3-4W	3.7	2	1	1	Under
08-27-24	vsOAK	5-4L	4.0	0	0	3	Over
08-22-24	@PIT	0-7L	2.3	5	2	3	Under
08-20-24	@TOR	3-10L	1.7	0	0	1	Over
08-17-24	vsKC	13-1L	1.0	0	0	1	Over
08-12-24	vsSTL	1-6W	2.3	0	0	3	Under
08-09-24	@MIL	3-8L	1.0	0	0	0	Over
08-07-24	@MIA	4-6L	1.0	2	0	0	Over
08-05-24	@MIA	10-3W	1.7	6	3	1	Over

Sonny Gray

ERA 3.841 | IP 154.7 | 12.0W-9.0L | KO 186.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-04-24	@MIL	3-2W	7.0	4	1	7	Under
08-29-24	vsSD	1-4W	6.0	3	1	4	Under
08-24-24	@MIN	0-6L	6.0	7	5	7	Under
08-18-24	vsLAD	2-1L	5.0	7	2	6	Under
08-12-24	@CIN	1-6L	5.0	5	6	9	Under
08-06-24	vsTB	3-4W	7.0	4	2	6	Under
08-01-24	@CHC	4-5L	7.0	5	2	9	Over
07-26-24	vsWAS	10-8L	5.0	7	5	7	Over
07-20-24	@ATL	9-5W	7.0	8	5	10	Over
07-12-24	vsCHC	5-1L	7.0	9	3	6	Under

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/13	vs STL	1-2L	5	0	Under
09/12	vs STL	3-0W	7	0	Under
09/11	vs ATL	1-0W	8	0	Under
09/10	vs NYM	3-1W	7	0	Under
09/09	vs NYM	0-4L	6	0	Under
09/08	vs NYM	4-6L	3	2	Over
09/07	@ HOU	1-0W	6	1	Under
09/06	@ HOU	12-5W	14	1	Over
09/04	@ HOU	5-3W	13	0	Over
09/03	@ MIL	4-3W	10	1	Under
09/02	@ MIL	4-5L	8	1	Over
09/01	@ MIL	0-14L	5	0	Over
09/01	@ MIL	4-5L	9	2	Over
08/31	@ OAK	10-9W	8	2	Over
08/30	@ OAK	6-9L	8	1	Over

Cardinals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/13	@ CIN	2-1W	6	1	Under
09/12	@ CIN	0-3L	8	0	Under
09/10	@ SEA	4-10L	9	0	Over
09/09	@ SEA	2-0W	2	1	Under
09/08	@ SEA	1-6L	5	1	Under
09/06	vs MIL	3-2W	5	0	Under
09/05	vs MIL	7-4W	9	1	Over
09/04	vs MIL	3-9L	6	2	Over
09/03	vs NYY	14-7W	21	3	Over
09/02	vs NYY	6-5W	7	1	Over
09/01	vs NYY	3-6L	10	1	Over
08/31	@ SD	4-1W	10	1	Under
08/30	@ SD	4-3W	11	0	Under
08/29	@ SD	5-7L	11	1	Over
08/28	@ SD	4-7L	11	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	6.4	8.4	0.242	0.384	0.407	0.791	0.319	0.029
#2 Elly De La Cruz	8.9	11.5	0.258	0.466	0.384	0.850	0.342	0.040
#3 Tyler Stephenson	6.3	8.3	0.254	0.454	0.370	0.825	0.335	0.044
#4 TJ Friedl	7.5	10.1	0.209	0.369	0.333	0.703	0.290	0.044
#5 Spencer Steer	6.4	8.5	0.234	0.409	0.374	0.783	0.317	0.036
#6 Ty France	5.7	7.4	0.248	0.384	0.363	0.748	0.307	0.028
#7 Jake Fraley	6.4	8.1	0.275	0.382	0.356	0.739	0.304	0.013
#8 Santiago Espinal	5.1	6.5	0.266	0.391	0.333	0.724	0.299	0.029
#9 Amed Rosario	5.0	6.2	0.287	0.393	0.327	0.720	0.299	0.009

St. Louis Cardinals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Masyn Winn	7.8	10.0	0.271	0.411	0.347	0.758	0.311	0.023
#2 Alec Burleson	6.9	9.0	0.267	0.425	0.337	0.762	0.314	0.041
#3 Willson Contreras	9.2	12.2	0.263	0.470	0.453	0.923	0.364	0.050
#3 Paul Goldschmidt	8.6	11.1	0.250	0.420	0.331	0.752	0.309	0.039
#4 Nolan Arenado	7.3	9.5	0.261	0.391	0.343	0.734	0.302	0.031
#5 Brendan Donovan	7.1	9.2	0.264	0.393	0.364	0.757	0.311	0.021
#6 Lars Nootbaar	7.1	9.3	0.245	0.399	0.393	0.792	0.319	0.030
#7 Jordan Walker	6.4	8.4	0.176	0.296	0.259	0.556	0.234	0.019
#8 Ivan Herrera	5.9	7.6	0.280	0.380	0.390	0.770	0.314	0.015
#9 Michael Siani	4.5	5.7	0.246	0.308	0.304	0.612	0.256	0.008

Reds Notable Injuries

Hunter Greene OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/15/24. Impact: 11.0
Nick Lodolo OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/24/24. Impact: 4.8
Andrew Abbott OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 5.7
Jeimer Candelario OUT (1B): Avg: 0.227 SLG:0.433 Last game: 08/21/24. Impact: 2.2
Stuart Fairchild OUT (OF): Avg: 0.215 SLG:0.368 Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: 0.8
Sam Moll OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/09/24. Impact: 0.4