Reds vs Blue Jays Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB action as the Cincinnati Reds, sporting a 61-65 record, gear up to clash with the 58-66 Toronto Blue Jays at the buzzing Rogers Centre tonight at 07:07 PM EST. With the Reds trying to claw back from a 12.5-game deficit in the National League and the Blue Jays looking to swing away from a 14.5-game lag in the American League, this matchup is more than just a game—it’s a battle for redemption. The stakes are high with the betting lines nearly neck and neck, and the over/under teasing at 8.5. Fresh off their respective performances yesterday, where the Blue Jays soared with a 10-3 victory over the Reds, both teams are pumped and ready to rewrite today’s script under an overcast sky, with a brisk wind setting the stage. So, as the Reds try to paint the town red in Toronto, let’s see if the Blue Jays can keep flying high in their own nest!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 21, 2024 07:07PM EST

Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto

Weather: Overcast with winds from the NW at 20.6 mph. Temperature is at 68.2° with 49% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	TOR ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-107	-113	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-119	-101	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-12	+12	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

141W-158L

54.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

166W-138L

45.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/19/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+0.5
08/19/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Over	+0.5
08/20/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+4.5
08/20/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	10	Over	+4.5
08/18/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	0	Under	-7.5
08/18/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Under	-7.5
08/19/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Under	-1.5
08/19/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-1.5
08/20/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	10	Over	+4.5
08/20/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+4.5

Reds Vs Over/Under

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Nick Martinez

ERA 3.281 | IP 96.0 | 6.0W-6.0L | KO 78.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-16-24	vsKC	7-1L	6.0	8	3	4	Push
08-10-24	@MIL	0-1L	7.0	1	0	7	Under
08-05-24	@MIA	10-3W	5.0	4	0	5	Over
08-02-24	vsSF	3-0L	1.0	2	1	2	Under
07-30-24	vsCHC	3-6W	4.0	4	0	3	Over
07-26-24	@TB	3-2W	2.0	1	0	2	Under
07-12-24	vsMIA	4-7W	3.0	3	0	2	Over
07-09-24	vsCOL	6-12W	1.3	1	0	3	Over
07-07-24	vsDET	5-1L	2.0	3	1	2	Under
07-04-24	@NYY	8-4W	2.0	2	2	0	Over

Yariel Rodriguez

ERA 3.927 | IP 55.0 | 1.0W-5.0L | KO 57.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-16-24	@CHC	5-6L	5.0	4	4	5	Over
08-10-24	vsOAK	1-0L	5.7	5	1	5	Under
08-04-24	@NYY	3-4L	4.7	4	0	4	Under
07-29-24	@BAL	5-11L	0.7	1	4	1	Over
07-24-24	vsTB	3-6W	5.7	2	2	6	Over
07-12-24	@ARI	4-5L	4.0	4	2	7	Over
07-06-24	@SEA	5-4W	6.0	1	0	6	Over
07-01-24	vsHOU	3-1L	6.7	2	1	6	Under
06-21-24	@CLE	1-7L	1.3	2	5	1	Push
04-29-24	vsKC	5-6W	3.7	6	3	1	Over

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/22	vs TOR	3-10L	9	0	Over
08/21	vs TOR	6-3W	9	1	Over
08/20	@ KC	1-8L	7	0	Over
08/19	@ KC	1-13L	7	1	Over
08/18	@ KC	1-7L	4	0	Push
08/16	@ STL	9-2W	13	5	Over
08/15	@ STL	4-1W	6	2	Under
08/14	@ STL	6-1W	6	3	Under
08/13	vs MIL	4-3W	6	1	Under
08/12	vs MIL	0-1L	3	0	Under
08/11	vs MIL	3-8L	9	2	Over
08/10	vs MIA	10-4W	11	1	Over
08/09	vs MIA	4-6L	10	1	Over
08/08	vs MIA	8-2W	13	2	Over
08/07	vs MIA	10-3W	15	4	Over

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/22	@ CIN	10-3W	13	5	Over
08/21	@ CIN	3-6L	6	2	Over
08/20	vs CHC	1-0W	8	1	Under
08/19	vs CHC	2-3L	7	1	Under
08/18	vs CHC	5-6L	10	1	Over
08/16	vs LAA	9-2W	8	3	Over
08/15	vs LAA	6-1W	7	2	Under
08/14	vs LAA	4-2W	9	1	Under
08/13	@ OAK	4-8L	5	1	Over
08/12	@ OAK	0-1L	2	0	Under
08/11	@ OAK	3-1W	10	2	Under
08/10	@ BAL	7-6W	7	1	Over
08/09	@ BAL	3-7L	10	0	Over
08/08	@ BAL	5-2W	9	1	Under
08/06	vs NYY	3-4L	7	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	8.6	11.4	0.250	0.391	0.415	0.806	0.324	0.027
#2 Elly De La Cruz	13.1	16.9	0.257	0.479	0.383	0.862	0.347	0.043
#3 Tyler Stephenson	7.7	10.2	0.240	0.449	0.352	0.801	0.326	0.047
#4 TJ Friedl	8.7	11.7	0.229	0.417	0.360	0.777	0.317	0.057
#5 Spencer Steer	8.8	11.7	0.238	0.428	0.370	0.798	0.323	0.040
#6 Ty France	7.2	9.4	0.231	0.375	0.352	0.727	0.299	0.031
#7 Jake Fraley	8.2	10.3	0.267	0.363	0.348	0.711	0.293	0.011
#8 Noelvi Marte	6.4	8.3	0.184	0.293	0.231	0.524	0.223	0.020
#9 Santiago Espinal	5.5	7.1	0.251	0.383	0.313	0.695	0.288	0.033

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	8.1	10.6	0.220	0.381	0.336	0.717	0.294	0.037
#2 Daulton Varsho	8.2	10.9	0.210	0.404	0.334	0.738	0.301	0.039
#3 V. Guerrero	8.8	11.5	0.315	0.543	0.438	0.981	0.391	0.052
#4 Spencer Horwitz	7.2	9.5	0.261	0.415	0.411	0.826	0.333	0.034
#5 Ernie Clement	6.7	8.5	0.262	0.406	0.295	0.701	0.292	0.027
#6 Leo Jimenez	6.0	7.9	0.229	0.396	0.344	0.740	0.306	0.031
#7 Addison Barger	5.4	7.3	0.175	0.325	0.219	0.544	0.230	0.026
#8 Davis Schneider	6.4	8.6	0.196	0.346	0.333	0.679	0.280	0.031
#9 Brian Serven	4.1	5.6	0.143	0.143	0.286	0.429	0.188	0.000

Reds Notable Injuries

Hunter Greene OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/15/24. Impact: 11.0
Jeimer Candelario OUT (1B): Avg: 0.227 SLG:0.433 Last game: 08/21/24. Impact: 2.2
Austin Wynns OUT (C): Avg: 0.412 SLG:0.647 Last game: 07/30/24. Impact: 2.0