Reds vs Nationals Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Nationals Park as the Cincinnati Reds, just shy of the .500 mark, roll into the capital to face the Washington Nationals, who are trying to claw their way up from the bottom of the pack. It’s a perfect summer evening for baseball with the first pitch at 06:45 PM EST, under partly cloudy skies and a gentle northern breeze. Both teams are riding the wave of recent victories, setting the stage for a tightly contested battle. With the betting lines almost neck and neck and the scoreboard expected to light up around 8 runs, tonight’s game promises to be as heated as the weather. So, as the Reds try to paint the town red, let’s see if the Nationals can capitalize and declare independence from their losing streak!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 19, 2024 06:45PM EST

Location: Nationals Park, Washington

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 89.1° with 39% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-117	-103	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-131	+109	9.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-14	+212	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

133W-149L

56.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

112W-171L

43.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
03/28/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+2.0
03/28/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+2.0
03/30/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+5.0
03/30/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+5.0
03/31/24	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+3.0
03/31/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+3.0
07/03/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-3.0
07/03/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-3.0
07/04/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+4.0
07/04/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+4.0
07/05/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	9	Over	+3.0
07/05/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+3.0
07/06/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Over	+1.0
07/06/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+1.0
08/04/23	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Over	+1.0
08/04/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+1.0
08/05/23	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+2.0
08/05/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+2.0
08/06/23	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Over	+1.0
08/06/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+1.0

Reds Vs Over/Under

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Frankie Montas

ERA 4.375 | IP 84.3 | 4.0W-7.0L | KO 69.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-10-24	vsCOL	6-5L	7.0	8	5	7	Over
07-04-24	@NYY	8-4W	5.0	4	2	4	Over
06-28-24	@STL	0-1L	6.0	2	1	5	Under
06-22-24	vsBOS	4-3L	6.0	5	2	4	Under
06-16-24	@MIL	4-5L	5.0	4	3	5	Under
06-09-24	vsCHC	4-2L	1.3	5	4	2	Under
06-04-24	@COL	4-1W	7.0	1	0	9	Under
05-29-24	vsSTL	5-3L	6.0	6	3	5	Under
05-23-24	vsSD	6-4L	6.0	9	4	3	Over
05-17-24	@LAD	3-7L	5.0	4	3	1	Over

Patrick Corbin

ERA 5.571 | IP 105.0 | 1.0W-9.0L | KO 73.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-10-24	@NYM	2-6L	5.0	8	4	5	Under
07-05-24	vsSTL	7-6L	5.0	6	3	3	Over
06-30-24	@TB	0-5L	6.0	8	4	5	Under
06-24-24	@SD	6-7L	7.0	5	3	5	Over
06-19-24	vsARI	1-3W	5.0	3	1	7	Under
06-13-24	@DET	2-7L	5.3	4	1	4	Under
06-05-24	vsNYM	9-1L	5.3	7	6	3	Over
05-31-24	@CLE	1-7L	6.0	6	2	5	Under
05-26-24	vsSEA	9-5L	6.0	4	4	4	Over
05-21-24	vsMIN	10-0L	6.0	9	8	3	Over

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/15	@ MIA	10-6W	10	6	Over
07/14	@ MIA	7-4W	11	3	Over
07/13	@ COL	8-1W	14	3	Under
07/12	@ COL	5-6L	12	2	Over
07/11	@ COL	12-6W	13	4	Over
07/10	@ COL	6-0W	8	1	Under
07/09	@ DET	1-5L	4	0	Under
07/08	@ DET	3-5L	6	1	Under
07/07	@ DET	4-5L	7	1	Under
07/06	vs NYY	8-4W	9	3	Over
07/05	vs NYY	3-2W	3	2	Under
07/04	vs NYY	5-4W	5	2	Under
07/02	vs STL	0-2L	2	0	Under
07/01	vs STL	9-4W	13	0	Over
06/30	vs STL	0-1L	4	0	Under

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/15	vs MIL	6-5W	12	2	Over
07/14	vs MIL	5-2W	12	1	Under
07/13	vs NYM	0-7L	6	0	Under
07/12	vs NYM	2-6L	5	0	Under
07/11	vs NYM	5-7L	6	2	Over
07/10	@ STL	0-6L	8	0	Under
07/09	@ STL	3-8L	11	0	Over
07/08	@ STL	14-6W	15	3	Over
07/07	@ STL	6-7L	14	1	Over
07/06	@ NYM	1-0W	5	1	Under
07/05	@ NYM	7-5W	9	2	Over
07/04	@ NYM	2-7L	6	0	Under
07/03	@ NYM	7-9L	11	0	Over
07/02	vs TB	0-5L	3	0	Under
07/01	vs TB	7-1W	13	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	9.8	12.9	0.274	0.423	0.440	0.863	0.344	0.026
#2 Elly De La Cruz	11.8	15.2	0.255	0.476	0.392	0.868	0.348	0.045
#3 Jeimer Candelario	10.1	13.3	0.245	0.467	0.329	0.796	0.326	0.050
#4 Spencer Steer	10.1	13.5	0.244	0.445	0.387	0.831	0.335	0.044
#5 Tyler Stephenson	9.7	12.9	0.235	0.433	0.340	0.773	0.317	0.040
#6 Austin Slater	7.9	10.5	0.196	0.237	0.392	0.629	0.260	0.010
#7 Noelvi Marte	7.5	10.0	0.177	0.258	0.226	0.484	0.208	0.016
#8 Rece Hinds	7.6	10.1	0.500	1.409	0.591	2.000	0.786	0.227
#9 Stuart Fairchild	6.6	8.7	0.224	0.347	0.329	0.676	0.280	0.029

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	10.1	13.2	0.269	0.486	0.386	0.871	0.352	0.043
#2 Lane Thomas	8.0	10.4	0.252	0.406	0.357	0.763	0.312	0.030
#3 Jesse Winker	8.3	11.0	0.266	0.440	0.454	0.894	0.354	0.038
#4 Juan Yepez	7.3	9.3	0.353	0.529	0.500	1.029	0.406	0.000
#5 James Wood	8.4	10.9	0.245	0.327	0.388	0.714	0.292	0.020
#6 Luis Garcia Jr.	7.8	9.9	0.281	0.444	0.327	0.771	0.319	0.036
#7 Keibert Ruiz	7.1	9.2	0.224	0.333	0.276	0.610	0.256	0.024
#8 Trey Lipscomb	5.2	6.5	0.232	0.268	0.324	0.592	0.248	0.007
#9 Jacob Young	5.2	6.6	0.250	0.310	0.343	0.653	0.273	0.004

Reds Notable Injuries

Carson Spiers OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 5.4
TJ Friedl OUT (OF): Avg: 0.208 SLG:0.354 Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 2.4
Nick Martini OUT (OF): Avg: 0.212 SLG:0.37 Last game: 07/08/24. Impact: 2.3
Stuart Fairchild OUT (OF): Avg: 0.224 SLG:0.347 Last game: 07/08/24. Impact: 2.6
Luke Maile OUT (C): Avg: 0.176 SLG:0.265 Last game: 07/06/24. Impact: 1.6