Reds vs Nationals Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the Cincinnati Reds, boasting a 47-51 record, gear up to clash with the 45-53 Washington Nationals at the iconic Nationals Park tonight! The first pitch is set to fly at 6:45 PM EST in a game that’s sure to keep the stakes high and the fantasy points flowing. With the Reds trying to catch up from 8.5 games back and the Nationals looking to make up a 17-game deficit in the National League, every play counts. The betting world’s buzzing too, with an over/under of 8.5 and odds that are neck and neck. Adding to the drama, the weather’s playing ball—overcast skies, a gentle northern breeze, and a hint of humidity set the stage. After a nail-biter last night where the Nationals edged out the Reds, tonight’s rematch is all set to be another page-turner. So, who will paint the town red tonight, and who will simply be left seeing stars?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 20, 2024 06:45PM EST

Location: Nationals Park, Washington

Weather: Overcast with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 78.1° with 82% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-108	-112	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-112	-108	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-4	+4	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

133W-150L

52.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

113W-171L

47.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
03/28/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+1.5
03/28/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+1.5
03/30/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+4.5
03/30/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+4.5
03/31/24	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+2.5
03/31/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+2.5
07/19/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Over	+4.5
07/19/24	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+4.5
07/03/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-3.5
07/03/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-3.5
07/04/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+3.5
07/04/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+3.5
07/05/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	9	Over	+2.5
07/05/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+2.5
07/06/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Over	+0.5
07/06/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+0.5
08/04/23	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Over	+0.5
08/04/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+0.5
08/05/23	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+1.5
08/05/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+1.5
08/06/23	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Over	+0.5
08/06/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+0.5

Reds Vs Over/Under

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Nick Lodolo

ERA 3.299 | IP 73.7 | 8.0W-3.0L | KO 77.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-09-24	vsCOL	6-12W	3.7	5	4	4	Over
06-23-24	vsBOS	7-4L	4.7	5	4	3	Over
06-18-24	@PIT	2-1W	7.0	4	1	8	Under
06-12-24	vsCLE	2-4W	6.0	7	2	6	Under
06-07-24	vsCHC	2-3W	6.0	4	1	7	Under
06-02-24	@CHC	5-2W	6.0	7	2	3	Under
05-27-24	vsSTL	1-3W	5.3	5	1	3	Under
05-11-24	@SF	1-5L	6.0	5	4	6	Under
05-05-24	vsBAL	11-1L	5.0	4	4	6	Over
04-29-24	@SD	5-2W	7.0	1	1	11	Under

MacKenzie Gore

ERA 4.287 | IP 98.7 | 6.0W-8.0L | KO 116.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-11-24	@NYM	0-7L	4.7	3	4	4	Under
07-06-24	vsSTL	6-14W	3.3	6	5	5	Over
07-01-24	vsNYM	9-7L	5.7	5	1	8	Over
06-25-24	@SD	7-9L	5.0	5	5	1	Over
06-20-24	vsARI	5-2L	5.0	10	4	7	Under
06-14-24	vsMIA	1-8W	7.0	5	1	10	Over
06-08-24	vsATL	3-7W	5.0	6	2	7	Over
06-03-24	vsNYM	8-7L	4.3	7	6	2	Over
05-29-24	@ATL	7-2W	5.3	6	2	10	Over
05-24-24	vsSEA	1-6W	7.0	4	1	8	Under

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/21	vs WAS	5-7L	7	0	Over
07/15	@ MIA	10-6W	10	6	Over
07/14	@ MIA	7-4W	11	3	Over
07/13	@ COL	8-1W	14	3	Over
07/12	@ COL	5-6L	12	2	Over
07/11	@ COL	12-6W	13	4	Over
07/10	@ COL	6-0W	8	1	Under
07/09	@ DET	1-5L	4	0	Under
07/08	@ DET	3-5L	6	1	Under
07/07	@ DET	4-5L	7	1	Over
07/06	vs NYY	8-4W	9	3	Over
07/05	vs NYY	3-2W	3	2	Under
07/04	vs NYY	5-4W	5	2	Over
07/02	vs STL	0-2L	2	0	Under
07/01	vs STL	9-4W	13	0	Over

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/21	@ CIN	7-5W	7	2	Over
07/15	vs MIL	6-5W	12	2	Over
07/14	vs MIL	5-2W	12	1	Under
07/13	vs NYM	0-7L	6	0	Under
07/12	vs NYM	2-6L	5	0	Under
07/11	vs NYM	5-7L	6	2	Over
07/10	@ STL	0-6L	8	0	Under
07/09	@ STL	3-8L	11	0	Over
07/08	@ STL	14-6W	15	3	Over
07/07	@ STL	6-7L	14	1	Over
07/06	@ NYM	1-0W	5	1	Under
07/05	@ NYM	7-5W	9	2	Over
07/04	@ NYM	2-7L	6	0	Over
07/03	@ NYM	7-9L	11	0	Over
07/02	vs TB	0-5L	3	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	9.1	12.0	0.273	0.421	0.441	0.862	0.344	0.026
#2 Elly De La Cruz	10.1	13.0	0.254	0.472	0.390	0.862	0.346	0.044
#3 Jeimer Candelario	9.0	11.8	0.242	0.463	0.329	0.792	0.325	0.050
#4 Spencer Steer	8.5	11.4	0.244	0.443	0.385	0.828	0.334	0.043
#5 Tyler Stephenson	7.7	10.3	0.231	0.426	0.335	0.761	0.312	0.040
#6 Austin Slater	6.9	9.3	0.198	0.238	0.386	0.624	0.259	0.010
#7 Noelvi Marte	6.4	8.6	0.169	0.246	0.231	0.477	0.205	0.015
#8 Rece Hinds	6.3	8.4	0.462	1.269	0.538	1.808	0.720	0.192
#9 Stuart Fairchild	5.4	7.1	0.225	0.347	0.329	0.676	0.280	0.029

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	8.3	10.8	0.266	0.480	0.381	0.862	0.349	0.042
#2 Lane Thomas	8.9	11.6	0.249	0.401	0.357	0.758	0.310	0.030
#3 Juan Yepez	8.1	10.5	0.368	0.605	0.500	1.105	0.436	0.026
#4 James Wood	6.7	8.8	0.245	0.321	0.377	0.698	0.287	0.019
#5 Harold Ramirez	6.7	8.4	0.269	0.315	0.289	0.604	0.254	0.005
#6 Ildemaro Vargas	6.7	8.6	0.253	0.347	0.347	0.694	0.287	0.006
#7 Riley Adams	6.8	8.6	0.239	0.359	0.337	0.696	0.288	0.022
#8 Trey Lipscomb	5.1	6.4	0.228	0.262	0.317	0.579	0.244	0.007
#9 Jacob Young	5.6	7.1	0.255	0.317	0.347	0.664	0.277	0.004

Reds Notable Injuries

Carson Spiers OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 5.4
TJ Friedl OUT (OF): Avg: 0.208 SLG:0.354 Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 2.4
Nick Martini OUT (OF): Avg: 0.212 SLG:0.37 Last game: 07/08/24. Impact: 2.3
Luke Maile OUT (C): Avg: 0.176 SLG:0.265 Last game: 07/06/24. Impact: 1.6