Guardians vs Braves Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 26th 2024

Get ready to rumble at Truist Park as the Cleveland Guardians, boasting an impressive 18-7 record, slide into Atlanta to clash with the 17-6 Braves in a showdown that’s got all the makings of a classic! With both teams neck and neck in their respective conferences and the first pitch set to fly at 7:20 PM EST, you won’t want to miss a second of the action. The stakes are high with the betting lines buzzing—Guardians at +165 and Braves at a hefty -200, and an over/under that’s teasing at 9 runs. Fresh off their respective nail-biter victories, both teams are pumped and ready to battle under the overcast skies of a mild Georgian evening. So, who will guard their streak and who will brave the storm in tonight’s epic face-off?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 26, 2024 07:20PM EST

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta

Weather: Overcast with winds from the E at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 69.1° with 57% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CLE ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+165	-200	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+174	-214	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+9	-14	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

128W-125L

36.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

9W-1L

HOME

155W-95L

63.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/03/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-3.0
07/03/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-3.0
07/04/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+2.0
07/04/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+2.0
07/05/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Push	-0.0
07/05/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	1	Push	-0.0

Guardians Vs Over/Under

Braves Vs Over/Under

Logan Allen

ERA 5.063 | IP 26.7 | 3.0W-0.0L | KO 21.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-20-24	vsOAK	3-6W	5.3	5	3	4	Over
04-14-24	vsNYY	7-8W	5.7	6	4	4	Over
04-09-24	vsCWS	7-5L	4.0	7	5	4	Over
04-03-24	@SEA	8-0W	6.7	4	0	6	Under
03-29-24	@OAK	6-4W	5.0	6	3	3	Over
09-19-23	@KC	6-7L	3.0	8	4	1	Over
09-13-23	@SF	5-6L	5.0	5	1	5	Over
09-08-23	@LAA	6-3W	5.0	3	1	6	Over
09-02-23	vsTB	6-7W	5.0	7	4	5	Over
08-26-23	@TOR	3-8L	4.0	6	5	2	Over

Chris Sale

ERA 4.378 | IP 24.7 | 2.0W-1.0L | KO 27.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-19-24	vsTEX	3-8W	7.0	5	3	7	Over
04-13-24	@MIA	1-5L	7.0	6	5	7	Under
04-07-24	vsARI	2-5W	5.3	4	2	6	Under
03-31-24	@PHI	4-5L	5.3	5	2	7	Over
09-28-23	@BAL	0-2W	5.0	3	1	2	Under
09-22-23	@CWS	2-3W	5.0	3	0	7	Under
09-16-23	@TOR	3-4W	6.0	2	1	10	Under
09-09-23	@BAL	13-12L	4.0	6	7	5	Over
09-03-23	@KC	7-3L	5.0	2	0	5	Over
08-28-23	@HOU	13-5L	4.7	7	3	6	Over

Guardians Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/27	@ BOS	5-4W	8	2	Over
04/26	@ BOS	0-8L	4	0	Under
04/25	@ BOS	4-1W	7	1	Under
04/23	@ OAK	6-2W	7	1	Under
04/22	@ OAK	6-3W	14	1	Over
04/21	@ OAK	10-2W	9	2	Over
04/20	vs BOS	5-4W	8	0	Over
04/19	vs BOS	0-2L	3	0	Under
04/18	vs BOS	10-7W	14	1	Over
04/17	vs BOS	6-0W	9	1	Under
04/16	@ NYY	8-7W	9	3	Over
04/15	@ NYY	2-3L	5	0	Under
04/15	@ NYY	2-8L	7	2	Over
04/12	@ CWS	7-6W	8	3	Over
04/11	@ CWS	5-7L	8	1	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/26	@ MIA	4-3W	10	0	Under
04/25	@ MIA	5-0W	10	1	Under
04/24	@ MIA	3-0W	8	1	Under
04/23	@ TEX	4-6L	5	1	Over
04/22	@ TEX	5-2W	8	1	Under
04/21	@ TEX	8-3W	6	4	Over
04/19	vs HOU	5-4W	7	2	Over
04/18	vs HOU	6-2W	11	1	Under
04/17	vs HOU	6-1W	11	0	Under
04/16	vs MIA	9-7W	12	2	Over
04/15	vs MIA	1-5L	6	0	Under
04/14	vs MIA	8-1W	14	1	Over
04/13	@ NYM	4-16L	10	0	Over
04/11	@ NYM	6-5W	11	0	Over
04/10	@ NYM	7-8L	12	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Cleveland Guardians	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Steven Kwan	7.0	8.8	0.346	0.452	40.4%	85.6%	1.9%
#2 Tyler Freeman	6.8	9.2	0.221	0.397	35.3%	75.0%	4.4%
#3 Jose Ramirez	8.2	10.9	0.26	0.471	27.9%	75.0%	4.8%
#4 Josh Naylor	6.8	9.1	0.295	0.557	42.0%	97.7%	6.8%
#5 David Fry	6.2	8.5	0.286	0.457	65.7%	111.4%	2.9%
#6 Ramon Laureano	6.7	8.9	0.174	0.239	41.3%	65.2%	0.0%
#7 Gabriel Arias	5.6	7.2	0.28	0.44	32.0%	76.0%	2.0%
#8 Austin Hedges	4.0	5.3	0.12	0.16	12.0%	28.0%	0.0%
#9 Brayan Rocchio	5.2	6.8	0.205	0.301	31.5%	61.6%	0.0%

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ronald Acuna Jr.	11.8	15.3	0.292	0.382	50.6%	88.8%	1.1%
#2 Ozzie Albies	11.6	15.5	0.317	0.492	42.9%	92.1%	3.2%
#3 Austin Riley	11.1	14.8	0.242	0.411	34.7%	75.8%	2.1%
#4 Matt Olson	10.0	13.6	0.216	0.432	38.6%	81.8%	3.4%
#5 Marcell Ozuna	8.7	11.8	0.344	0.678	46.7%	114.4%	10.0%
#6 Travis d’Arnaud	8.5	11.6	0.293	0.655	41.4%	106.9%	8.6%
#7 Adam Duvall	8.5	11.6	0.237	0.447	39.5%	84.2%	5.3%
#8 Michael Harris II	8.4	10.6	0.33	0.495	38.1%	87.6%	3.1%
#9 Orlando Arcia	7.1	9.1	0.302	0.442	36.0%	80.2%	1.2%