Guardians vs Braves Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 27th 2024

Get ready to slide into some prime MLB action as the Cleveland Guardians, flaunting an impressive 18-8 record, storm into Truist Park to clash with the equally formidable Atlanta Braves, who stand tall at 18-6. It’s a top-tier showdown with both teams neck-and-neck at the pinnacle of their conferences, promising a sizzling duel as they take the field tonight at 07:20 PM EST. The air at Truist will be thick—not just with Georgia’s humid, 63-degree overcast evening—but with anticipation, as the betting world buzzes, setting the game’s over/under at a tantalizing 9.0. With the Guardians seeking redemption from yesterday’s 6-2 stumble and the Braves aiming to keep their winning momentum, tonight’s game is more than just a rematch—it’s a battle for supremacy. So, as the Guardians look to shield their pride and the Braves swing for the skies, it’s clear this game is going to be anything but a peaceful stroll in the park!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 27, 2024 07:20PM EST

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta

Weather: Overcast with winds from the ESE at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 63.0° with 81% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CLE ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+156	-190	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+153	-185	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-3	+5	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

128W-126L

39.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

9W-1L

HOME

156W-95L

60.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/26/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-1.0
04/26/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Under	-1.0
07/03/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-3.0
07/03/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-3.0
07/04/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+2.0
07/04/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+2.0
07/05/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Push	-0.0
07/05/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	1	Push	-0.0

Guardians Vs Over/Under

Braves Vs Over/Under

Tanner Bibee

ERA 4.438 | IP 24.3 | 2.0W-0.0L | KO 26.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-21-24	vsOAK	2-6W	5.7	5	2	8	Under
04-16-24	@BOS	10-7W	5.0	5	1	3	Over
04-10-24	vsCWS	6-7W	4.3	6	5	2	Over
04-04-24	@MIN	4-2W	5.3	5	1	9	Under
03-30-24	@OAK	12-3W	4.0	6	3	4	Over
09-16-23	vsTEX	1-2W	5.3	5	1	4	Under
09-10-23	@LAA	1-2L	7.0	2	2	8	Under
09-05-23	vsMIN	8-3L	5.0	4	2	4	Over
08-30-23	@MIN	5-2W	5.0	4	2	8	Under
08-25-23	@TOR	5-2W	6.0	6	2	5	Under

Charlie Morton

ERA 4.696 | IP 23.0 | 2.0W-0.0L | KO 22.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-20-24	vsTEX	2-5W	6.0	4	2	4	Under
04-14-24	@MIA	9-7W	5.7	7	6	8	Over
04-08-24	vsNYM	8-7L	5.7	5	4	4	Over
04-01-24	@CWS	9-0W	5.7	3	0	6	Over
09-22-23	@WAS	9-6W	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-17-23	@MIA	2-16L	4.7	6	6	5	Over
09-11-23	@PHI	10-8W	6.0	6	4	9	Over
09-03-23	@LAD	1-3L	4.0	6	2	3	Under
08-29-23	@COL	3-1W	6.0	3	1	8	Under
08-23-23	vsNYM	0-7W	7.0	2	0	11	Under

Guardians Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/28	vs ATL	2-6L	5	1	Under
04/27	@ BOS	5-4W	8	2	Over
04/26	@ BOS	0-8L	4	0	Under
04/25	@ BOS	4-1W	7	1	Under
04/23	@ OAK	6-2W	7	1	Under
04/22	@ OAK	6-3W	14	1	Over
04/21	@ OAK	10-2W	9	2	Over
04/20	vs BOS	5-4W	8	0	Over
04/19	vs BOS	0-2L	3	0	Under
04/18	vs BOS	10-7W	14	1	Over
04/17	vs BOS	6-0W	9	1	Under
04/16	@ NYY	8-7W	9	3	Over
04/15	@ NYY	2-3L	5	0	Under
04/15	@ NYY	2-8L	7	2	Over
04/12	@ CWS	7-6W	8	3	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/28	@ CLE	6-2W	8	1	Under
04/26	@ MIA	4-3W	10	0	Under
04/25	@ MIA	5-0W	10	1	Under
04/24	@ MIA	3-0W	8	1	Under
04/23	@ TEX	4-6L	5	1	Over
04/22	@ TEX	5-2W	8	1	Under
04/21	@ TEX	8-3W	6	4	Over
04/19	vs HOU	5-4W	7	2	Over
04/18	vs HOU	6-2W	11	1	Under
04/17	vs HOU	6-1W	11	0	Under
04/16	vs MIA	9-7W	12	2	Over
04/15	vs MIA	1-5L	6	0	Under
04/14	vs MIA	8-1W	14	1	Over
04/13	@ NYM	4-16L	10	0	Over
04/11	@ NYM	6-5W	11	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Cleveland Guardians	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Steven Kwan	8.3	10.5	0.343	0.472	39.8%	87.0%	2.8%
#2 Andres Gimenez	8.3	11.0	0.258	0.333	37.6%	71.0%	0.0%
#3 Jose Ramirez	9.0	12.0	0.259	0.463	27.8%	74.1%	4.6%
#4 Josh Naylor	8.1	10.8	0.286	0.538	41.8%	95.6%	6.6%
#5 Will Brennan	6.4	8.5	0.25	0.453	34.4%	79.7%	4.7%
#6 Tyler Freeman	6.1	8.3	0.222	0.403	34.7%	75.0%	4.2%
#7 Estevan Florial	7.0	9.1	0.244	0.488	36.6%	85.4%	4.9%
#8 Bo Naylor	7.2	9.5	0.186	0.305	35.6%	66.1%	3.4%
#9 Brayan Rocchio	5.8	7.6	0.197	0.289	30.3%	59.2%	0.0%

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ronald Acuna Jr.	12.3	16.0	0.283	0.37	51.1%	88.0%	1.1%
#2 Ozzie Albies	9.4	12.6	0.328	0.507	43.3%	94.0%	3.0%
#3 Austin Riley	9.5	12.8	0.235	0.398	34.7%	74.5%	2.0%
#4 Matt Olson	9.3	12.7	0.22	0.429	39.6%	82.4%	3.3%
#5 Marcell Ozuna	8.7	11.8	0.344	0.677	47.3%	115.1%	9.7%
#6 Michael Harris II	9.0	11.4	0.327	0.495	37.6%	87.1%	3.0%
#7 Travis d’Arnaud	6.9	9.4	0.279	0.623	41.0%	103.3%	8.2%
#8 Orlando Arcia	6.7	8.5	0.311	0.478	36.7%	84.4%	2.2%
#9 Jarred Kelenic	6.6	8.2	0.314	0.373	43.1%	80.4%	0.0%