Guardians vs Red Sox Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Apr 15th 2024

Wake up and smell the freshly cut grass at Fenway Park, folks! Today’s early bird matchup features the surging Cleveland Guardians, who’ve been knocking it out of the park with a 10-5 record, squaring off against the gritty Boston Red Sox, sitting at a respectable 9-7. As the Guardians look to cement their top spot and the Red Sox aim to climb up from their 3-game lag in the American League standings, this showdown is set to sizzle under the partly cloudy Boston skies. With the first pitch at 11:10 AM EST, and the betting world buzzing with an over/under of 9.5, it’s clear this game is primed to be a scorcher. Both teams are hot off thrilling victories, setting the stage for a clash that’s more loaded than a Fenway Frank. So, as we gear up for this battle, let’s see if the Guardians can ‘guard’ their lead, or if the Red Sox will ‘sock’ it to them in their own backyard!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 15, 2024 11:10AM EST

Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SW at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 57.9° with 70% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CLE ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+108	-130	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+133	-159	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+25	-29	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

125W-124L

42.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

129W-115L

57.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/28/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-2.5
04/28/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-2.5
04/29/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	7	Over	+5.5
04/29/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+5.5
04/30/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	1	Under	-1.5
04/30/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Under	-1.5
06/06/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-0.5
06/06/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-0.5
06/07/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-2.5
06/07/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-2.5
06/08/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+3.5
06/08/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	10	Over	+3.5

Guardians Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Xzavion Curry

ERA 4.074 | IP 95.0 | 3.0W-4.0L | KO 67.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-14-24	vsNYY	7-8W	5.7	6	4	4	Over
04-09-24	vsCWS	7-5L	4.0	7	5	4	Over
04-03-24	@SEA	8-0W	6.7	4	0	6	Under
03-29-24	@OAK	6-4W	5.0	6	3	3	Over
09-19-23	@KC	6-7L	3.0	8	4	1	Over
09-13-23	@SF	5-6L	5.0	5	1	5	Over
09-08-23	@LAA	6-3W	5.0	3	1	6	Under
09-02-23	vsTB	6-7W	5.0	7	4	5	Over
08-26-23	@TOR	3-8L	4.0	6	5	2	Over
08-20-23	vsDET	4-1L	6.0	4	2	5	Under
09-30-23	@DET	0-8L	1.3	2	1	0	Under
09-26-23	vsCIN	11-7L	3.0	3	2	2	Over
09-23-23	vsBAL	2-1L	3.0	4	1	3	Under
09-19-23	@KC	6-7L	1.0	1	0	0	Over
09-17-23	vsTEX	2-9W	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-13-23	@SF	5-6L	0.3	0	1	0	Over
09-09-23	@LAA	2-6L	1.0	3	2	0	Under
09-03-23	vsTB	6-2L	5.3	6	2	6	Under
08-28-23	@MIN	6-10L	2.0	6	6	2	Over
08-24-23	vsLAD	6-1L	2.0	5	3	1	Under

Kutter Crawford

ERA 4.036 | IP 129.3 | 6.0W-8.0L | KO 135.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-14-24	vsLAA	4-5W	5.3	6	2	8	Under
04-09-24	vsBAL	7-1L	5.3	4	3	3	Under
04-02-24	@OAK	5-4W	5.0	5	4	6	Under
03-28-24	@SEA	6-4W	5.0	5	2	2	Over
09-27-23	vsTB	5-0L	6.0	9	5	3	Under
09-20-23	@TEX	5-15L	3.0	8	8	2	Over
09-15-23	@TOR	0-3L	6.0	4	3	10	Under
09-10-23	vsBAL	3-7W	5.0	7	3	4	Over
09-04-23	@TB	7-3W	6.0	5	3	7	Over
08-29-23	vsHOU	6-2L	4.7	4	3	2	Under
04-10-24	vsBAL	7-5L	5.0	2	0	6	Over
04-05-24	@LAA	8-6W	4.7	2	1	5	Over
03-30-24	@SEA	3-4L	6.0	3	1	7	Under
09-30-23	@BAL	2-5L	6.0	1	0	7	Under
09-24-23	vsCWS	3-2L	5.3	4	3	7	Under
09-18-23	@TEX	4-2W	6.0	4	2	7	Under
09-12-23	vsNYY	4-1L	4.7	3	1	7	Under
09-05-23	@TB	6-8L	3.7	3	5	5	Over
08-30-23	vsHOU	7-4L	2.7	7	6	1	Over
08-25-23	vsLAD	7-4L	5.0	4	2	7	Over

Guardians Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/16	@ NYY	8-7W	9	3	Over
04/15	@ NYY	2-8L	7	2	Over
04/15	@ NYY	2-3L	5	0	Under
04/12	@ CWS	7-6W	8	3	Over
04/11	@ CWS	5-7L	8	1	Over
04/10	@ CWS	4-0W	10	1	Under
04/08	vs MIN	3-1W	7	1	Under
04/06	vs MIN	4-2W	7	0	Under
04/05	vs SEA	8-0W	11	0	Under
04/04	vs SEA	5-2W	12	1	Under
04/03	vs SEA	4-5L	6	2	Under
04/02	vs OAK	3-4L	7	0	Under
04/01	vs OAK	12-3W	15	1	Over
03/31	vs OAK	6-4W	9	1	Over
03/30	vs OAK	8-0W	11	0	Under

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/16	@ LAA	5-4W	7	3	Under
04/15	@ LAA	7-2W	11	1	Under
04/14	@ LAA	0-7L	3	0	Under
04/13	@ BAL	4-9L	8	1	Over
04/12	@ BAL	5-7L	8	1	Over
04/11	@ BAL	1-7L	2	1	Under
04/09	vs LAA	12-2W	12	4	Over
04/08	vs LAA	1-2L	3	0	Under
04/07	vs LAA	8-6W	9	5	Over
04/05	vs OAK	1-0W	10	0	Under
04/04	vs OAK	5-4W	12	0	Under
04/03	vs OAK	9-0W	9	0	Under
04/02	vs SEA	5-1W	10	2	Under
04/01	vs SEA	3-4L	7	0	Under
03/31	vs SEA	0-1L	4	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Cleveland Guardians	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Steven Kwan	6.7	8.6	0.27	0.372	38.5%	75.7%	0.8%
#2 Jose Ramirez	9.0	11.7	0.28	0.473	40.2%	87.5%	4.0%
#3 David Fry	7.5	9.9	0.238	0.416	35.6%	77.2%	4.0%
#4 Josh Naylor	7.5	9.9	0.31	0.493	39.1%	88.4%	3.8%
#5 Tyler Freeman	6.1	8.0	0.233	0.36	30.7%	66.7%	2.7%
#5 Bo Naylor	7.9	10.6	0.237	0.47	39.4%	86.4%	5.6%
#6 Ramon Laureano	7.5	9.8	0.224	0.371	34.1%	71.2%	2.5%
#7 Estevan Florial	6.4	8.3	0.23	0.311	37.7%	68.9%	0.0%
#7 Andres Gimenez	6.4	8.3	0.248	0.394	34.2%	73.6%	2.7%
#8 Gabriel Arias	5.5	7.2	0.21	0.352	30.2%	65.4%	3.2%
#8 Austin Hedges	4.4	5.7	0.186	0.23	25.7%	48.6%	0.5%
#9 Brayan Rocchio	5.7	7.3	0.247	0.321	29.6%	61.7%	0.0%

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	10.3	13.2	0.294	0.482	37.6%	85.8%	2.4%
#2 Rafael Devers	9.5	12.6	0.271	0.502	39.8%	89.9%	5.7%
#2 Pablo Reyes	8.5	11.0	0.287	0.377	37.1%	74.9%	1.2%
#3 Tyler O’Neill	9.9	12.9	0.231	0.403	34.9%	75.2%	3.8%
#4 Triston Casas	9.2	12.3	0.263	0.49	42.9%	91.8%	5.6%
#5 Bobby Dalbec	8.6	10.8	0.204	0.306	28.6%	59.2%	2.0%
#6 Wilyer Abreu	7.1	9.3	0.316	0.474	43.4%	90.8%	2.6%
#6 Masataka Yoshida	8.7	11.3	0.287	0.439	36.4%	80.3%	2.6%
#7 Enmanuel Valdez	6.2	8.0	0.266	0.453	33.1%	78.4%	4.3%
#7 Connor Wong	6.7	8.7	0.237	0.391	31.3%	70.4%	2.4%
#8 Reese McGuire	6.3	7.9	0.267	0.358	33.2%	69.0%	0.5%
#8 Ceddanne Rafaela	7.2	9.2	0.241	0.386	30.1%	68.7%	2.4%
#9 David Hamilton	6.5	8.4	0.121	0.182	30.3%	48.5%	0.0%