Guardians vs Red Sox Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 16th 2024

Get ready to slide into some Major League excitement as the Cleveland Guardians, boasting a slick 11W-5L record, storm into the historic Fenway Park to clash with the Boston Red Sox, who are sitting at a respectable 9W-8L. It’s a perfect evening for baseball with the first pitch set to soar at 07:10 PM EST under a clear sky and cool breezes setting the stage. With the Guardians riding the wave of a recent shutout victory and the Red Sox looking to bounce back and tighten their grip in the American League, the stakes are as high as the over/under at 9.0. Will the Guardians continue to shield their top spot, or will the Red Sox sock it to ’em in a turnaround triumph? Let’s find out if the Guardians can keep their fortress secure or if the Red Sox will stitch up a victory right at the seams!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 16, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Weather: Sunny with winds from the WNW at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 59.0° with 41% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CLE ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-107	-113	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-105	-115	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+2	-2	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

126W-124L

51.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

129W-116L

48.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/15/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Under	-3.0
04/15/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-3.0
04/28/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-2.0
04/28/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-2.0
04/29/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	7	Over	+6.0
04/29/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+6.0
04/30/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	1	Under	-1.0
04/30/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Under	-1.0
06/06/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Push	-0.0
06/06/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Push	-0.0
06/07/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-2.0
06/07/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-2.0
06/08/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+4.0
06/08/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	10	Over	+4.0

Guardians Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Tanner Bibee

ERA 2.979 | IP 142.0 | 10.0W-4.0L | KO 141.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-10-24	vsCWS	6-7W	4.3	6	5	2	Over
04-04-24	@MIN	4-2W	5.3	5	1	9	Under
03-30-24	@OAK	12-3W	4.0	6	3	4	Over
09-16-23	vsTEX	1-2W	5.3	5	1	4	Under
09-10-23	@LAA	1-2L	7.0	2	2	8	Under
09-05-23	vsMIN	8-3L	5.0	4	2	4	Over
08-30-23	@MIN	5-2W	5.0	4	2	8	Under
08-25-23	@TOR	5-2W	6.0	6	2	5	Under
08-19-23	vsDET	4-3L	5.0	5	3	6	Under
08-13-23	@TB	9-2W	7.0	7	2	5	Over

Garrett Whitlock

ERA 5.149 | IP 71.7 | 5.0W-5.0L | KO 72.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-11-24	vsBAL	9-4L	5.0	4	1	4	Over
04-06-24	@LAA	1-2L	4.3	4	0	4	Under
03-31-24	@SEA	5-1W	5.0	3	1	8	Under
09-29-23	@BAL	3-0W	2.0	1	0	3	Under
09-22-23	vsCWS	2-3W	2.0	3	2	2	Under
09-18-23	@TEX	4-2W	1.0	0	0	0	Under
09-17-23	@TOR	2-3L	0.3	2	1	1	Under
09-14-23	vsNYY	0-5W	2.0	0	0	1	Under
09-10-23	vsBAL	3-7W	2.0	0	0	3	Over
08-30-23	vsHOU	7-4L	2.0	4	1	2	Over

Guardians Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/17	vs BOS	6-0W	9	1	Under
04/16	@ NYY	8-7W	9	3	Over
04/15	@ NYY	2-3L	5	0	Under
04/15	@ NYY	2-8L	7	2	Over
04/12	@ CWS	7-6W	8	3	Over
04/11	@ CWS	5-7L	8	1	Over
04/10	@ CWS	4-0W	10	1	Under
04/08	vs MIN	3-1W	7	1	Under
04/06	vs MIN	4-2W	7	0	Under
04/05	vs SEA	8-0W	11	0	Under
04/04	vs SEA	5-2W	12	1	Under
04/03	vs SEA	4-5L	6	2	Over
04/02	vs OAK	3-4L	7	0	Under
04/01	vs OAK	12-3W	15	1	Over
03/31	vs OAK	6-4W	9	1	Over

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/17	@ CLE	0-6L	3	0	Under
04/16	@ LAA	5-4W	7	3	Over
04/15	@ LAA	7-2W	11	1	Over
04/14	@ LAA	0-7L	3	0	Under
04/13	@ BAL	4-9L	8	1	Over
04/12	@ BAL	5-7L	8	1	Over
04/11	@ BAL	1-7L	2	1	Under
04/09	vs LAA	12-2W	12	4	Over
04/08	vs LAA	1-2L	3	0	Under
04/07	vs LAA	8-6W	9	5	Over
04/05	vs OAK	1-0W	10	0	Under
04/04	vs OAK	5-4W	12	0	Over
04/03	vs OAK	9-0W	9	0	Over
04/02	vs SEA	5-1W	10	2	Under
04/01	vs SEA	3-4L	7	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Cleveland Guardians	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Steven Kwan	8.1	10.4	0.27	0.372	38.5%	75.7%	0.8%
#4 Josh Naylor	8.1	10.6	0.31	0.493	39.1%	88.4%	3.8%
#5 Bo Naylor	7.8	10.5	0.237	0.47	39.4%	86.4%	5.6%
#6 Tyler Freeman	6.4	8.3	0.233	0.36	30.7%	66.7%	2.7%
#7 Estevan Florial	6.7	8.7	0.23	0.311	37.7%	68.9%	0.0%
#8 Gabriel Arias	6.1	7.9	0.21	0.352	30.2%	65.4%	3.2%
#9 Brayan Rocchio	5.9	7.6	0.247	0.321	29.6%	61.7%	0.0%

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	9.0	11.5	0.294	0.482	37.6%	85.8%	2.4%
#2 Rafael Devers	9.0	12.0	0.271	0.502	39.8%	89.9%	5.7%
#3 Masataka Yoshida	7.7	10.0	0.287	0.439	36.4%	80.3%	2.6%
#4 Triston Casas	8.4	11.2	0.263	0.49	42.9%	91.8%	5.6%
#5 Wilyer Abreu	7.4	9.7	0.316	0.474	43.4%	90.8%	2.6%
#6 Enmanuel Valdez	5.8	7.5	0.266	0.453	33.1%	78.4%	4.3%
#7 Ceddanne Rafaela	6.3	8.0	0.241	0.386	30.1%	68.7%	2.4%
#8 Reese McGuire	5.4	6.7	0.267	0.358	33.2%	69.0%	0.5%
#9 David Hamilton	5.1	6.6	0.121	0.182	30.3%	48.5%	0.0%