Guardians vs Royals Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Kauffman Stadium tonight as the Cleveland Guardians, sitting pretty at the top of their game, roll into Kansas City to clash with the Royals at 07:40PM EST. With the Guardians riding high from yesterday’s dominant win and the Royals itching to flip the script after taking a tough loss, the stakes are as high as the humidity! The betting lines are buzzing, the crowd’s gearing up for a nail-biter with an over/under of 8.5, and the weather’s playing nice too—perfect for some baseball magic. So, as the sun sets and the first pitch flies, will the Royals rule their court, or will the Guardians stand guard and keep the throne? Let’s find out if the Royals can truly ‘guard’ their kingdom tonight!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 04, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City

Weather: Sunny with winds from the E at 4.3 mph. Temperature is at 62.1° with 75% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CLE ML	KC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+119	-142	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+114	-136	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-5	+6	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

154W-156L

46.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

146W-161L

53.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/04/24	Kansas City Royals KC	5	Over	+4.5
06/04/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	8	Over	+4.5
08/26/24	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Under	-1.5
08/26/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Under	-1.5
06/06/24	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Under	-1.5
06/06/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Under	-1.5
06/27/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	1	Under	-5.5
06/27/24	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-5.5
06/28/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Over	+4.5
06/28/24	Kansas City Royals KC	10	Over	+4.5
06/29/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	7	Over	+0.5
06/29/24	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Over	+0.5
06/30/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-0.5
06/30/24	Kansas City Royals KC	6	Under	-0.5
08/26/24	Kansas City Royals KC	9	Over	+4.5
08/26/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Over	+4.5
08/27/24	Kansas City Royals KC	6	Under	-1.5
08/27/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	1	Under	-1.5
08/28/24	Kansas City Royals KC	5	Over	+3.5
08/28/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	7	Over	+3.5
09/02/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-2.5
09/02/24	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-2.5
09/03/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	7	Under	-0.5
09/03/24	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-0.5
06/27/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-5.5
06/27/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-5.5
06/28/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	14	Over	+6.5
06/28/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Over	+6.5
06/29/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Under	-1.5
06/29/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Under	-1.5
07/06/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-1.5
07/06/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Under	-1.5
07/07/23	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Under	-5.5
07/07/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Under	-5.5
07/08/23	Kansas City Royals KC	6	Over	+7.5
07/08/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	10	Over	+7.5
07/09/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Under	-3.5
07/09/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	1	Under	-3.5
07/24/23	Kansas City Royals KC	5	Under	-0.5
07/24/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Under	-0.5
07/25/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-2.5
07/25/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-2.5
07/26/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+2.5
07/26/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	8	Over	+2.5
09/18/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Over	+1.5
09/18/23	Kansas City Royals KC	6	Over	+1.5
09/19/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+4.5
09/19/23	Kansas City Royals KC	7	Over	+4.5
09/20/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-0.5
09/20/23	Kansas City Royals KC	6	Under	-0.5

Guardians Vs Over/Under

Royals Vs Over/Under

Ben Lively

ERA 3.939 | IP 125.7 | 11.0W-7.0L | KO 98.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-30-24	vsPIT	8-10W	4.3	9	6	3	Over
08-24-24	vsTEX	5-13W	6.7	5	3	4	Over
08-18-24	@MIL	0-2L	6.0	5	2	5	Under
08-12-24	vsCHC	8-9W	3.7	5	3	1	Over
08-07-24	vsARI	7-3L	5.0	4	4	2	Over
08-01-24	vsBAL	3-10W	6.0	4	2	4	Over
07-26-24	@PHI	3-1W	6.0	3	1	6	Under
07-21-24	vsSD	2-1L	5.3	6	2	2	Under
07-09-24	@DET	9-8W	5.3	7	6	4	Over
07-04-24	vsCWS	4-8W	6.0	6	3	6	Over

Will Smith

ERA 6.471 | IP 40.3 | 0.0W-4.0L | KO 27.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-30-24	@HOU	2-3L	7.0	6	1	9	Under
08-25-24	vsPHI	11-3L	5.3	11	6	3	Over
08-19-24	vsLAA	3-5W	7.0	4	2	8	Under
08-13-24	@MIN	3-13L	4.0	9	8	4	Over
08-06-24	vsBOS	6-5L	5.3	6	6	4	Over
08-01-24	@DET	7-1W	8.0	4	1	3	Under
07-27-24	vsCHC	9-4L	6.3	5	6	2	Over
07-21-24	vsCWS	1-4W	9.0	3	1	6	Under
07-13-24	@BOS	0-5L	5.0	10	5	6	Under
07-06-24	@COL	1-3L	6.0	5	3	5	Under
08-25-24	vsPHI	11-3L	1.0	4	5	1	Over
08-24-24	vsPHI	11-2L	1.0	3	2	2	Over
08-20-24	vsLAA	9-5L	1.0	1	2	1	Over
08-13-24	@MIN	3-13L	1.3	3	3	1	Over
08-09-24	vsSTL	8-5L	0.3	1	2	0	Over
08-07-24	vsBOS	4-8W	1.0	0	0	0	Over
08-06-24	vsBOS	6-5L	1.0	0	0	1	Over
08-04-24	@DET	3-2W	1.0	1	0	1	Under
08-01-24	@DET	7-1W	1.0	0	0	2	Under
07-29-24	@CWS	8-5W	1.0	0	0	0	Over

Guardians Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/05	vs KC	7-1W	10	1	Under
09/04	vs KC	4-2W	9	2	Under
09/03	@ PIT	6-1W	13	4	Under
09/02	@ PIT	0-3L	2	0	Under
09/01	@ PIT	10-8W	16	2	Over
08/30	@ KC	7-5W	13	1	Over
08/29	@ KC	1-6L	3	0	Under
08/28	@ KC	3-4L	7	0	Under
08/28	@ KC	4-9L	7	1	Over
08/27	@ TEX	4-2W	5	2	Under
08/26	@ TEX	12-5W	15	4	Over
08/25	@ TEX	3-5L	7	0	Under
08/24	vs NYY	0-6L	1	0	Under
08/23	vs NYY	1-8L	4	1	Push
08/22	vs NYY	9-5W	12	1	Over

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/05	@ CLE	1-7L	4	0	Under
09/04	@ CLE	2-4L	2	0	Under
09/03	vs HOU	2-7L	7	1	Push
09/02	vs HOU	2-4L	7	1	Under
09/01	vs HOU	2-3L	2	1	Under
08/31	vs HOU	3-6L	4	0	Push
08/30	vs CLE	5-7L	11	3	Over
08/29	vs CLE	6-1W	9	1	Under
08/28	vs CLE	4-3W	6	2	Under
08/28	vs CLE	9-4W	15	3	Over
08/27	@ PHI	3-11L	10	3	Over
08/26	@ PHI	2-11L	5	0	Over
08/25	@ PHI	7-4W	12	2	Over
08/23	@ LAA	3-0W	8	1	Under
08/22	@ LAA	5-9L	12	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Cleveland Guardians	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Steven Kwan	8.3	10.6	0.295	0.432	0.398	0.830	0.336	0.029
#2 Andres Gimenez	7.9	10.1	0.243	0.329	0.323	0.651	0.272	0.014
#3 Jose Ramirez	8.9	11.8	0.272	0.527	0.361	0.888	0.361	0.064
#4 Josh Naylor	7.9	10.7	0.244	0.469	0.367	0.835	0.338	0.060
#5 Jhonkensy Noel	6.3	8.5	0.255	0.584	0.365	0.949	0.383	0.095
#6 Kyle Manzardo	6.8	8.8	0.239	0.424	0.293	0.717	0.299	0.022
#7 Lane Thomas	6.5	8.5	0.236	0.376	0.360	0.736	0.301	0.023
#8 Bo Naylor	5.5	7.3	0.212	0.370	0.303	0.673	0.278	0.037
#9 Brayan Rocchio	5.2	6.9	0.213	0.322	0.343	0.666	0.275	0.021

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Tommy Pham	8.7	11.2	0.254	0.378	0.352	0.729	0.299	0.020
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	10.9	14.2	0.341	0.616	0.438	1.054	0.421	0.054
#3 Michael Massey	7.5	9.8	0.257	0.448	0.303	0.751	0.311	0.042
#4 Salvador Perez	7.2	9.5	0.272	0.466	0.369	0.835	0.340	0.048
#5 Paul DeJong	7.0	9.2	0.234	0.451	0.310	0.761	0.314	0.059
#6 MJ Melendez	7.3	9.6	0.212	0.418	0.297	0.714	0.295	0.047
#6 Will Smith	4.5	11.2	nan	nan	nan	nan	0.000	nan
#7 Freddy Fermin	6.4	8.2	0.290	0.400	0.369	0.769	0.316	0.021
#8 Maikel Garcia	5.9	7.6	0.238	0.343	0.307	0.649	0.270	0.013
#9 Kyle Isbel	5.4	7.0	0.230	0.370	0.300	0.670	0.277	0.021

Guardians Notable Injuries

Carlos Carrasco OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 4.2

Royals Notable Injuries

Michael Lorenzen OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/29/24. Impact: 4.5
Vinnie Pasquantino OUT (1B): Avg: 0.262 SLG:0.447 Last game: 08/31/24. Impact: 2.9
Hunter Renfroe OUT (OF): Avg: 0.233 SLG:0.397 Last game: 08/26/24. Impact: 2.6
Hunter Harvey OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/06/24. Impact: 0.4
Will Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: -0.2