Guardians vs Twins Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Apr 4th 2024

Hey there, sports fans! Buckle up, because we’re about to dive into an epic showdown between the Cleveland Guardians and the Minnesota Twins. These two titans of the American League are set to clash at the legendary Target Field, with the Guardians trailing just half a game behind and the Twins hot on their heels, 1.5 games back. With the first pitch set to fly at 04:10 PM EST, you’ll want to keep your eyes glued to the action. The betting lines are buzzing, as the over/under is pegged at 7.5, favoring the Guardians at 129 and the Twins at -154. Both teams are riding high on the wave of recent victories; the Twins triumphed over MIL with a smashing 7-3, while the Guardians silenced SEA with a clean 8-0. The weather’s playing ball too, with a partly cloudy sky, a cool breeze from the north, and a crisp 43.0° temperature setting the stage for a thrilling game. So, whether you’re a Guardian of the game or twinning at predictions, this matchup is set to hit it out of the park!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 04, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: Target Field, Minnesota

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the N at 17.4 mph. Temperature is at 43.0° with 43% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CLE ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+129	-154	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+133	-159	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+4	-5	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

123W-124L

42.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

128W-108L

57.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/05/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-5.5
05/05/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	0	Under	-5.5
05/06/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-0.5
05/06/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-0.5
05/07/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-5.5
05/07/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-5.5
06/01/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+5.5
06/01/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+5.5
06/02/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	0	Under	-6.5
06/02/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-6.5
06/03/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-1.5
06/03/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-1.5
06/04/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-4.5
06/04/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-4.5
08/28/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+8.5
08/28/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	10	Over	+8.5
08/29/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-1.5
08/29/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-1.5
08/30/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-0.5
08/30/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-0.5
09/04/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	20	Over	+18.5
09/04/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+18.5
09/05/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+3.5
09/05/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Over	+3.5
09/06/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-4.5
09/06/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-4.5

Guardians Vs Over/Under

Twins Vs Over/Under

Tanner Bibee

ERA 2.979 | IP 142 | 10W-4L | KO 141

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
03-30-24	@OAK	12-3W	4.0	6	3	4	Over
09-16-23	vsTEX	1-2W	5.3	5	1	4	Under
09-10-23	@LAA	1-2L	7.0	2	2	8	Under
09-05-23	vsMIN	8-3L	5.0	4	2	4	Over
08-30-23	@MIN	5-2W	5.0	4	2	8	Under
08-25-23	@TOR	5-2W	6.0	6	2	5	Under
08-19-23	vsDET	4-3L	5.0	5	3	6	Under
08-13-23	@TB	9-2W	7.0	7	2	5	Over
08-08-23	vsTOR	0-1W	7.0	6	0	6	Under
08-02-23	@HOU	2-3L	5.0	7	2	4	Under

Pablo Lopez

ERA 3.711 | IP 194 | 11W-8L | KO 234

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
03-28-24	@KC	4-1W	7.0	4	1	7	Under
09-27-23	vsOAK	4-6W	4.3	5	3	6	Over
09-22-23	vsLAA	6-8W	6.0	5	3	7	Over
09-16-23	@CWS	6-7L	5.0	8	5	8	Over
09-10-23	vsNYM	2-0L	8.0	2	0	14	Under
09-04-23	@CLE	20-6W	6.0	8	1	3	Over
08-29-23	vsCLE	4-2L	6.0	8	3	5	Under
08-24-23	vsTEX	5-7W	5.0	10	5	4	Over
08-18-23	vsPIT	1-5W	6.0	6	0	7	Under
08-12-23	@PHI	8-1W	6.0	4	0	7	Over

Guardians Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/05	vs SEA	8-0W	11	0	Over
04/04	vs SEA	5-2W	12	1	Under
04/03	vs SEA	4-5L	6	2	Over
04/02	vs OAK	3-4L	7	0	Under
04/01	vs OAK	12-3W	15	1	Over
03/31	vs OAK	6-4W	9	1	Over
03/30	vs OAK	8-0W	11	0	Over
10/03	vs DET	2-5L	5	1	Under
10/02	vs DET	0-8L	8	0	Over
10/01	vs DET	7-5W	13	2	Over
09/29	@ CIN	4-3W	11	0	Under
09/28	@ CIN	7-11L	9	3	Over
09/26	@ BAL	1-5L	5	0	Under
09/25	@ BAL	1-2L	1	1	Under
09/24	@ BAL	9-8W	13	0	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/05	vs MIL	7-3W	11	1	Over
04/04	vs MIL	2-3L	3	0	Under
04/02	vs KC	0-11L	4	0	Over
04/01	vs KC	5-1W	7	0	Under
03/30	vs KC	4-1W	10	1	Under
10/03	vs COL	2-2L	9	0	Under
10/02	vs COL	14-6W	12	4	Over
10/01	vs COL	7-6W	13	3	Over
09/30	@ OAK	1-2L	4	0	Under
09/29	@ OAK	6-4W	13	2	Over
09/28	@ OAK	11-3W	8	2	Over
09/26	@ LAA	9-3W	10	3	Over
09/25	@ LAA	0-1L	5	0	Under
09/24	@ LAA	8-6W	7	1	Over
09/22	vs CIN	5-3W	9	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Cleveland Guardians	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Steven Kwan	6.5	8.4	0.27	0.372	38.5%	75.7%	0.8%
#2 Andres Gimenez	7.2	9.3	0.248	0.394	34.2%	73.6%	2.7%
#3 Jose Ramirez	7.7	10.0	0.28	0.473	40.2%	87.5%	4.0%
#4 Josh Naylor	6.7	8.8	0.31	0.493	39.1%	88.4%	3.8%
#5 Tyler Freeman	5.2	6.8	0.233	0.36	30.7%	66.7%	2.7%
#6 Will Brennan	5.9	7.4	0.269	0.36	31.8%	67.8%	1.2%
#7 Bo Naylor	6.1	8.2	0.237	0.47	39.4%	86.4%	5.6%
#9 Brayan Rocchio	4.7	6.1	0.247	0.321	29.6%	61.7%	0.0%

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Edouard Julien	7.0	9.3	0.257	0.442	45.4%	89.6%	4.5%
#2 Alex Kirilloff	6.7	8.8	0.271	0.444	39.7%	84.1%	4.0%
#3 Byron Buxton	8.1	10.9	0.21	0.443	34.0%	78.3%	5.7%
#4 Max Kepler	6.1	8.1	0.263	0.488	37.6%	86.4%	5.5%
#5 Carlos Correa	7.0	9.3	0.23	0.4	35.1%	75.0%	3.5%
#6 Carlos Santana	5.8	7.7	0.243	0.435	35.9%	79.4%	4.2%
#7 Matt Wallner	6.0	8.1	0.249	0.507	44.1%	94.8%	6.6%
#8 Willi Castro	5.0	6.5	0.258	0.413	38.8%	80.1%	2.5%
#9 Christian Vazquez	4.7	6.1	0.225	0.321	30.6%	62.7%	1.9%