Tigers vs Braves Game Breakdown

Get ready to roar and chop as the Detroit Tigers claw their way into Truist Park, looking to settle the score against the Atlanta Braves in a midday showdown that’s got everyone buzzing! With the Tigers trying to dig their claws out of an 11-game hole and the Braves swinging to close a 7.5-game gap, the stakes are as high as the noon sun. The pitch is set for 12:20 PM EST, under a clear sky with a gentle eastern breeze—perfect baseball weather. After a nail-biter yesterday where the Braves edged out a 2-1 victory, today’s rematch is loaded with anticipation. Vegas has the line drawn with the Braves as slight favorites, but in a game where the over/under is a mere 7.5, it’s anybody’s ballgame. So, will the Tigers’ stripes earn their stripes today, or will the Braves keep chopping away at their league deficit? Tune in, as these two teams are set to bring a whole new meaning to animal spirit!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 19, 2024 12:20PM EST

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta

Weather: Sunny with winds from the E at 12.3 mph. Temperature is at 79.7° with 46% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	DET ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+105	-125	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+116	-139	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+11	-14	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

123W-151L

46.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

169W-105L

53.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/17/24	Detroit Tigers DET	1	Under	-4.5
06/17/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-4.5
06/18/24	Detroit Tigers DET	1	Under	-4.5
06/18/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-4.5
06/12/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+3.5
06/12/23	Detroit Tigers DET	6	Over	+3.5
06/14/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+3.5
06/14/23	Detroit Tigers DET	5	Over	+3.5
06/14/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	10	Over	+9.5
06/14/23	Detroit Tigers DET	7	Over	+9.5

Tigers Vs Over/Under

Braves Vs Over/Under

Tarik Skubal

ERA 2.198 | IP 86.0 | 8.0W-2.0L | KO 98.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-14-24	@HOU	0-4L	6.3	6	4	2	Under
06-09-24	vsMIL	2-10W	6.7	5	1	10	Over
06-03-24	@TEX	2-1W	6.0	7	1	6	Under
05-29-24	vsPIT	0-8W	7.0	3	0	8	Over
05-22-24	@KC	3-8L	5.0	6	4	6	Over
05-17-24	@ARI	13-0W	6.0	1	0	6	Over
05-11-24	vsHOU	2-8W	6.3	7	2	7	Over
05-05-24	@NYY	2-5L	6.0	6	2	12	Under
04-28-24	vsKC	1-4W	7.0	4	1	6	Under
04-22-24	@TB	7-1W	6.0	3	0	9	Over

Reynaldo Lopez

ERA 1.688 | IP 69.3 | 4.0W-2.0L | KO 70.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-13-24	@BAL	6-3W	6.0	2	0	8	Over
06-06-24	@WAS	5-2W	6.0	6	2	7	Under
05-31-24	vsOAK	2-4W	6.0	4	1	8	Under
05-25-24	@PIT	1-4L	4.7	5	3	3	Under
05-20-24	vsSD	6-5L	6.3	5	2	4	Over
05-13-24	vsCHC	0-2W	5.0	2	0	4	Under
05-07-24	vsBOS	2-4W	5.3	6	2	5	Under
04-30-24	@SEA	2-3L	5.0	6	3	7	Under
04-24-24	vsMIA	3-4W	7.0	3	1	6	Under
04-16-24	@HOU	6-2W	6.0	4	0	7	Over

Tigers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/20	vs ATL	1-2L	5	0	Under
06/19	vs ATL	1-2L	5	0	Under
06/18	vs HOU	1-4L	3	0	Under
06/17	vs HOU	13-5W	19	5	Over
06/16	vs HOU	0-4L	5	0	Under
06/15	@ WAS	7-2W	10	1	Over
06/14	@ WAS	5-7L	12	2	Over
06/13	@ WAS	4-5L	6	0	Over
06/11	@ MIL	10-2W	12	1	Over
06/10	@ MIL	4-5L	5	0	Over
06/09	@ MIL	0-10L	2	0	Over
06/07	vs TEX	1-9L	2	1	Over
06/06	vs TEX	3-1W	6	2	Under
06/05	vs TEX	2-1W	4	2	Under
06/04	vs BOS	8-4W	14	0	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/20	@ DET	2-1W	5	0	Under
06/19	@ DET	2-1W	7	1	Under
06/18	@ TB	6-8L	9	3	Over
06/17	@ TB	9-2W	11	4	Over
06/16	@ TB	7-3W	12	2	Over
06/15	vs BAL	6-3W	12	0	Over
06/14	vs BAL	2-4L	7	1	Under
06/13	vs BAL	0-4L	5	0	Under
06/11	vs WAS	5-8L	8	1	Over
06/10	vs WAS	3-7L	7	1	Over
06/09	vs WAS	1-2L	6	0	Under
06/08	vs WAS	5-2W	7	2	Under
06/07	vs BOS	0-9L	1	0	Over
06/06	vs BOS	8-3W	8	2	Over
06/04	@ OAK	3-1W	7	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Detroit Tigers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Wenceel Perez	8.1	10.3	0.253	0.387	0.339	0.726	0.297	0.016
#2 Colt Keith	6.5	8.3	0.229	0.305	0.300	0.605	0.253	0.014
#3 Riley Greene	7.2	9.6	0.255	0.487	0.404	0.891	0.355	0.052
#4 Mark Canha	6.7	8.9	0.250	0.381	0.415	0.797	0.322	0.025
#5 Gio Urshela	6.7	8.5	0.278	0.358	0.344	0.702	0.291	0.013
#6 Zach McKinstry	6.2	7.7	0.177	0.257	0.274	0.531	0.224	0.009
#7 Andy Ibanez	5.8	7.6	0.273	0.394	0.323	0.717	0.299	0.020
#8 Akil Baddoo	5.4	7.3	0.133	0.333	0.333	0.667	0.270	0.033
#9 Jake Rogers	5.3	6.9	0.206	0.353	0.279	0.632	0.264	0.037

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarred Kelenic	6.3	8.0	0.274	0.436	0.335	0.771	0.318	0.034
#2 Ozzie Albies	8.4	11.0	0.260	0.406	0.346	0.752	0.310	0.020
#3 Marcell Ozuna	7.4	9.9	0.320	0.605	0.436	1.041	0.414	0.075
#4 Matt Olson	7.1	9.4	0.258	0.465	0.385	0.850	0.343	0.042
#5 Austin Riley	7.4	9.8	0.241	0.397	0.339	0.737	0.302	0.027
#6 Adam Duvall	6.6	8.9	0.171	0.310	0.285	0.595	0.249	0.038
#7 Sean Murphy	6.6	8.7	0.135	0.212	0.212	0.423	0.183	0.019
#8 Orlando Arcia	5.7	7.3	0.221	0.357	0.267	0.624	0.262	0.023
#9 Ramon Laureano	5.1	6.8	0.141	0.218	0.295	0.513	0.222	0.013

Tigers Notable Injuries

Jack Flaherty OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/17/24. Impact: 10.5
Kerry Carpenter OUT (OF): Avg: 0.283 SLG:0.572 Last game: 05/28/24. Impact: 4.0
Javier Baez OUT (SS): Avg: 0.183 SLG:0.247 Last game: 06/10/24. Impact: 1.1
Alex Faedo OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/06/24. Impact: 1.5

Braves Notable Injuries

AJ Smith-Shawver OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/25/24. Impact: 3.9
Ronald Acuna Jr. OUT (OF): Avg: 0.259 SLG:0.376 Last game: 05/28/24. Impact: 3.2
Michael Harris II OUT (OF): Avg: 0.25 SLG:0.358 Last game: 06/16/24. Impact: 2.0
A.J. Minter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/31/24. Impact: 0.8
Jimmy Herget OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/07/24. Impact: 1.1
Hurston Waldrep OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: -3.2