Tigers vs Reds Game Breakdown

Get ready for a fiery showdown at the Great American Ball Park today as the Detroit Tigers, clawing their way through the season, pounce into Cincinnati to face the Reds at 04:10 PM EST. With the Tigers trying to roar louder in the American League and the Reds swinging to climb higher in the National League, the stakes are as hot as today’s sunny, breezy game day weather. The betting world’s buzzing too, pegging the over/under at a thrilling 9.0, tilting the scales with the Reds favored to extinguish the Tigers’ recent spark. Fresh off a nail-biter where Detroit edged Cincinnati 5-4 just yesterday, both teams are fired up for a rematch. So, as the Tigers try to stripe their way to victory, let’s see if the Reds can cook up a win in their own den!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 06, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati

Weather: Sunny with winds from the WSW at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 77.0° with 60% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	DET ML	CIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+126	-150	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+137	-163	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+11	-13	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

126W-157L

42.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

132W-151L

57.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/05/24	Detroit Tigers DET	5	Push	-0.0
07/05/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Push	-0.0
09/12/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+2.0
09/12/23	Detroit Tigers DET	5	Over	+2.0
09/13/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-2.0
09/13/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Under	-2.0
09/14/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Over	+1.0
09/14/23	Detroit Tigers DET	8	Over	+1.0

Tigers Vs Over/Under

Reds Vs Over/Under

Alex Faedo

ERA 3.345 | IP 37.7 | 3.0W-1.0L | KO 33.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-03-24	@MIN	9-2W	1.3	1	0	1	Over
06-30-24	@LAA	7-6W	1.7	2	1	3	Over
06-04-24	@TEX	3-1W	1.7	1	0	2	Under
06-02-24	@BOS	8-4W	1.3	2	1	0	Over
05-30-24	@BOS	5-0W	1.0	1	0	1	Under
05-25-24	vsTOR	1-2W	0.7	1	0	0	Under
05-23-24	vsTOR	9-1L	1.7	3	3	1	Over
05-19-24	@ARI	4-6L	2.0	1	1	3	Over
05-13-24	vsMIA	5-6W	2.3	3	2	4	Over
05-10-24	vsHOU	5-2L	1.0	0	0	1	Under

Hunter Greene

ERA 3.699 | IP 97.3 | 5.0W-4.0L | KO 109.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-30-24	@STL	0-2L	4.7	4	1	6	Under
06-25-24	vsPIT	9-5L	4.0	7	6	5	Over
06-19-24	@PIT	0-1L	6.3	2	0	9	Under
06-14-24	@MIL	6-5W	5.0	3	2	5	Over
06-06-24	vsCHC	4-8W	6.7	5	4	8	Over
06-01-24	@CHC	5-7L	6.0	3	5	5	Over
05-25-24	vsLAD	1-3W	6.0	5	1	5	Under
05-19-24	@LAD	2-3L	6.3	4	2	8	Under
05-14-24	@ARI	6-2W	7.0	5	2	5	Under
05-09-24	vsARI	5-4L	5.0	4	3	6	Under

Tigers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/07	vs CIN	5-4W	11	4	Under
07/06	vs MIN	3-12L	7	1	Over
07/05	vs MIN	9-2W	11	4	Over
07/04	vs MIN	3-5L	5	2	Under
07/02	vs LAA	7-6W	8	2	Over
07/01	vs LAA	5-6L	7	1	Over
06/30	vs LAA	2-5L	2	0	Under
06/29	vs LAA	0-5L	4	0	Under
06/28	@ PHI	2-6L	4	1	Under
06/27	@ PHI	4-1W	9	0	Under
06/26	@ PHI	1-8L	7	0	Under
06/25	@ CWS	11-2W	16	4	Over
06/24	@ CWS	1-5L	5	0	Under
06/23	@ CWS	2-1W	5	1	Under
06/21	vs ATL	0-7L	8	0	Under

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/07	@ DET	4-5L	7	1	Under
07/06	vs NYY	8-4W	9	3	Over
07/05	vs NYY	3-2W	3	2	Under
07/04	vs NYY	5-4W	5	2	Under
07/02	vs STL	0-2L	2	0	Under
07/01	vs STL	9-4W	13	0	Over
06/30	vs STL	0-1L	4	0	Under
06/29	vs STL	11-4W	16	1	Over
06/28	@ PIT	1-6L	4	0	Under
06/27	@ PIT	5-9L	9	0	Over
06/26	@ PIT	11-5W	12	1	Over
06/25	@ BOS	4-7L	10	0	Over
06/24	@ BOS	3-4L	11	2	Under
06/23	@ BOS	5-2W	6	3	Under
06/21	vs PIT	0-1L	2	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Detroit Tigers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Matt Vierling	9.0	11.7	0.249	0.438	0.302	0.740	0.306	0.039
#2 Colt Keith	8.1	10.4	0.240	0.361	0.304	0.665	0.277	0.027
#3 Riley Greene	9.1	12.0	0.266	0.509	0.412	0.922	0.366	0.053
#4 Mark Canha	8.6	11.4	0.225	0.338	0.389	0.727	0.297	0.022
#5 Wenceel Perez	7.5	9.5	0.256	0.393	0.339	0.731	0.300	0.017
#6 Justyn-Henry Malloy	7.4	9.8	0.203	0.392	0.338	0.730	0.299	0.054
#7 Zach McKinstry	6.5	8.2	0.176	0.279	0.257	0.537	0.226	0.015
#8 Jake Rogers	6.8	8.9	0.206	0.352	0.273	0.624	0.261	0.036
#9 Parker Meadows	5.8	7.8	0.104	0.260	0.260	0.519	0.219	0.039

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	9.4	12.4	0.278	0.413	0.452	0.865	0.344	0.021
#2 Elly De La Cruz	11.5	14.9	0.253	0.476	0.396	0.872	0.349	0.046
#3 Jeimer Candelario	9.2	12.0	0.240	0.458	0.319	0.778	0.320	0.049
#4 Spencer Steer	9.7	12.9	0.242	0.427	0.382	0.809	0.327	0.038
#5 Nick Martini	8.4	11.3	0.210	0.371	0.294	0.664	0.276	0.035
#6 Tyler Stephenson	8.0	10.6	0.221	0.373	0.341	0.714	0.294	0.028
#7 Noelvi Marte	7.6	10.1	0.156	0.281	0.188	0.469	0.199	0.031
#8 Will Benson	7.7	10.2	0.188	0.371	0.312	0.683	0.281	0.037
#9 Stuart Fairchild	5.5	7.2	0.226	0.351	0.327	0.679	0.281	0.030

Tigers Notable Injuries

Casey Mize OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/02/24. Impact: 4.4
Javier Baez OUT (SS): Avg: 0.183 SLG:0.247 Last game: 06/10/24. Impact: 1.1

Reds Notable Injuries

Nick Lodolo OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 8.2
TJ Friedl OUT (OF): Avg: 0.208 SLG:0.354 Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 2.4
Jake Fraley OUT (OF): Avg: 0.273 SLG:0.351 Last game: 07/06/24. Impact: 2.3
Luke Maile OUT (C): Avg: 0.176 SLG:0.265 Last game: 07/06/24. Impact: 1.6
Emilio Pagan OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/10/24. Impact: 1.1