Tigers vs Reds Game Breakdown

Get ready to roar and rumble! The Detroit Tigers, sporting a 41-48 record, are prowling into the Great American Ball Park, ready to claw their way through another showdown with the Cincinnati Reds, who are sitting just a whisker ahead at 42-47. It’s a midday melee kicking off at 01:40 PM EST, where both teams, hungry to climb their respective conference ladders, will battle under the sunny Cincinnati skies. With the betting lines drawing a narrow path between victory and defeat and the over/under teasing at a tight 8.0, today’s matchup promises to be a nail-biter. The Reds, looking to avenge yesterday’s 3-5 tumble against these very Tigers, and Detroit, aiming to keep their winning momentum, ensures that today’s game is not just about the scores but pride. So, let’s see if the Tigers can keep their stripes or if the Reds will paint the town red again!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 07, 2024 01:40PM EST

Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati

Weather: Sunny with winds from the ENE at 3.8 mph. Temperature is at 81.0° with 57% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	DET ML	CIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-136	+114	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-136	+114	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	0	0	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

127W-157L

57.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

132W-152L

42.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/05/24	Detroit Tigers DET	5	Over	+1.0
07/05/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+1.0
07/06/24	Detroit Tigers DET	5	Push	-0.0
07/06/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Push	-0.0
09/12/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+3.0
09/12/23	Detroit Tigers DET	5	Over	+3.0
09/13/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-1.0
09/13/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Under	-1.0
09/14/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Over	+2.0
09/14/23	Detroit Tigers DET	8	Over	+2.0

Tigers Vs Over/Under

Reds Vs Over/Under

Tarik Skubal

ERA 2.447 | IP 103.0 | 9.0W-3.0L | KO 119.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-02-24	@MIN	3-5L	6.0	4	3	7	Push
06-25-24	vsPHI	1-4W	7.0	3	0	7	Under
06-19-24	@ATL	0-7L	4.0	7	5	7	Under
06-14-24	@HOU	0-4L	6.3	6	4	2	Under
06-09-24	vsMIL	2-10W	6.7	5	1	10	Over
06-03-24	@TEX	2-1W	6.0	7	1	6	Under
05-29-24	vsPIT	0-8W	7.0	3	0	8	Push
05-22-24	@KC	3-8L	5.0	6	4	6	Over
05-17-24	@ARI	13-0W	6.0	1	0	6	Over
05-11-24	vsHOU	2-8W	6.3	7	2	7	Over

Graham Ashcraft

ERA 5.45 | IP 72.7 | 5.0W-4.0L | KO 55.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-02-24	@NYY	5-4W	5.0	4	3	3	Over
06-26-24	vsPIT	6-1L	5.3	9	6	3	Under
06-05-24	@COL	12-7W	3.7	6	4	2	Over
05-31-24	@CHC	5-4W	4.7	5	3	4	Over
05-24-24	vsLAD	6-9W	5.3	8	5	3	Over
05-18-24	@LAD	0-4L	5.0	3	3	5	Under
05-13-24	@ARI	5-6L	4.0	7	3	3	Over
05-08-24	vsARI	4-3L	5.0	6	3	2	Under
05-01-24	@SD	2-6L	6.0	5	2	4	Push
04-26-24	@TEX	1-2L	6.3	7	1	3	Under

Tigers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/08	vs CIN	5-3W	7	1	Push
07/07	vs CIN	5-4W	11	4	Over
07/06	vs MIN	3-12L	7	1	Over
07/05	vs MIN	9-2W	11	4	Over
07/04	vs MIN	3-5L	5	2	Push
07/02	vs LAA	7-6W	8	2	Over
07/01	vs LAA	5-6L	7	1	Over
06/30	vs LAA	2-5L	2	0	Under
06/29	vs LAA	0-5L	4	0	Under
06/28	@ PHI	2-6L	4	1	Push
06/27	@ PHI	4-1W	9	0	Under
06/26	@ PHI	1-8L	7	0	Over
06/25	@ CWS	11-2W	16	4	Over
06/24	@ CWS	1-5L	5	0	Under
06/23	@ CWS	2-1W	5	1	Under

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/08	@ DET	3-5L	6	1	Push
07/07	@ DET	4-5L	7	1	Over
07/06	vs NYY	8-4W	9	3	Over
07/05	vs NYY	3-2W	3	2	Under
07/04	vs NYY	5-4W	5	2	Over
07/02	vs STL	0-2L	2	0	Under
07/01	vs STL	9-4W	13	0	Over
06/30	vs STL	0-1L	4	0	Under
06/29	vs STL	11-4W	16	1	Over
06/28	@ PIT	1-6L	4	0	Under
06/27	@ PIT	5-9L	9	0	Over
06/26	@ PIT	11-5W	12	1	Over
06/25	@ BOS	4-7L	10	0	Over
06/24	@ BOS	3-4L	11	2	Under
06/23	@ BOS	5-2W	6	3	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Detroit Tigers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Matt Vierling	9.6	12.4	0.246	0.432	0.302	0.733	0.303	0.039
#2 Colt Keith	8.5	10.9	0.241	0.361	0.305	0.665	0.277	0.026
#3 Mark Canha	8.1	10.8	0.226	0.341	0.387	0.728	0.297	0.022
#4 Riley Greene	8.6	11.3	0.263	0.505	0.412	0.916	0.364	0.053
#5 Wenceel Perez	8.5	10.8	0.258	0.406	0.340	0.746	0.305	0.020
#6 Gio Urshela	7.1	9.0	0.239	0.298	0.298	0.595	0.250	0.010
#7 Zach McKinstry	6.5	8.2	0.176	0.279	0.257	0.537	0.226	0.015
#8 Jake Rogers	6.8	8.9	0.206	0.352	0.273	0.624	0.261	0.036
#9 Parker Meadows	6.1	8.2	0.123	0.284	0.272	0.556	0.233	0.037

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	7.2	9.5	0.277	0.414	0.449	0.863	0.344	0.021
#2 Elly De La Cruz	8.0	10.3	0.250	0.470	0.392	0.861	0.345	0.045
#3 Jeimer Candelario	7.4	9.7	0.240	0.455	0.318	0.774	0.318	0.048
#4 Spencer Steer	7.0	9.4	0.243	0.435	0.385	0.820	0.331	0.041
#5 Noelvi Marte	6.8	8.9	0.167	0.278	0.194	0.472	0.200	0.028
#6 Santiago Espinal	5.5	7.1	0.185	0.270	0.253	0.522	0.221	0.022
#7 Austin Wynns	4.4	5.9	0.600	1.200	0.600	1.800	0.762	0.000
#8 Will Benson	4.8	6.4	0.187	0.369	0.311	0.680	0.280	0.037
#9 Blake Dunn	4.3	6.3	0.062	0.125	0.188	0.312	0.146	0.000

Tigers Notable Injuries

Casey Mize OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/02/24. Impact: 4.4
Javier Baez OUT (SS): Avg: 0.183 SLG:0.247 Last game: 06/10/24. Impact: 1.1

Reds Notable Injuries

Nick Lodolo OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 8.2
TJ Friedl OUT (OF): Avg: 0.208 SLG:0.354 Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 2.4
Jake Fraley OUT (OF): Avg: 0.273 SLG:0.351 Last game: 07/06/24. Impact: 2.3
Luke Maile OUT (C): Avg: 0.176 SLG:0.265 Last game: 07/06/24. Impact: 1.6
Emilio Pagan OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/10/24. Impact: 1.1