Tigers vs Royals Game Breakdown

Get ready to roar, sports fans! Tonight, the Detroit Tigers claw their way into Kauffman Stadium, hoping to tame the Kansas City Royals in a sizzling showdown under the lights. With the Tigers trying to claw back from a 7.5-game deficit and the Royals just a whisker away at 1.5 games from the top in the American League, the stakes are as high as the humidity. The first pitch is set to fly at 07:40 PM EST, and with an over/under of 9.0, bettors are licking their lips in anticipation. Fresh off a fierce encounter where the Royals pounced on a victory, both teams are fired up to rewrite the script. And with overcast skies and a gentle southern breeze setting the stage, tonight’s game promises to be anything but tame. So, as these two teams prepare to duke it out, let’s see if the Tigers have enough stripes to cage the Royals’ momentum!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 21, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City

Weather: Overcast with winds from the S at 11.9 mph. Temperature is at 78.1° with 69% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	DET ML	KC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-109	-111	9.0	0.5/-0.5
Recent	-105	-115	9.0	0.5/-0.5
Difference	+4	-4	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

118W-142L

51.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

124W-139L

48.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/26/24	Kansas City Royals KC	8	Under	-1.0
04/26/24	Detroit Tigers DET	0	Under	-1.0
04/27/24	Kansas City Royals KC	5	Over	+2.0
04/27/24	Detroit Tigers DET	6	Over	+2.0
04/28/24	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-4.0
04/28/24	Detroit Tigers DET	4	Under	-4.0
05/20/24	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Over	+2.0
05/20/24	Kansas City Royals KC	8	Over	+2.0
05/22/23	Detroit Tigers DET	8	Over	+4.0
05/22/23	Kansas City Royals KC	5	Over	+4.0
05/23/23	Detroit Tigers DET	1	Under	-4.0
05/23/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Under	-4.0
05/24/23	Detroit Tigers DET	6	Over	+1.0
05/24/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+1.0
06/19/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+1.0
06/19/23	Detroit Tigers DET	6	Over	+1.0
06/20/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-8.0
06/20/23	Detroit Tigers DET	0	Under	-8.0
06/21/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+4.0
06/21/23	Detroit Tigers DET	9	Over	+4.0
07/17/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Under	-4.0
07/17/23	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-4.0
07/18/23	Detroit Tigers DET	10	Over	+12.0
07/18/23	Kansas City Royals KC	11	Over	+12.0
07/19/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Under	-4.0
07/19/23	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-4.0
07/20/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Under	-6.0
07/20/23	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Under	-6.0
09/26/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Push	-0.0
09/26/23	Detroit Tigers DET	6	Push	-0.0
09/28/23	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Under	-1.0
09/28/23	Detroit Tigers DET	8	Under	-1.0
09/28/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+1.0
09/28/23	Detroit Tigers DET	7	Over	+1.0

Tigers Vs Over/Under

Royals Vs Over/Under

Casey Mize

ERA 3.504 | IP 43.7 | 1.0W-2.0L | KO 32.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-15-24	vsMIA	2-0L	6.0	2	2	6	Under
05-10-24	vsHOU	5-2L	6.0	5	1	2	Under
05-04-24	@NYY	3-5L	5.3	9	5	6	Under
04-27-24	vsKC	5-6W	5.0	6	3	2	Over
04-21-24	@MIN	6-1W	6.0	5	0	4	Under
04-16-24	vsTEX	2-4W	6.0	5	2	6	Under
04-09-24	@PIT	5-3W	5.0	5	2	2	Under
04-04-24	@NYM	6-3W	4.3	5	3	4	Push
04-14-22	@KC	6-3W	5.0	6	2	2	Push
04-09-22	@CWS	6-3W	5.0	7	4	2	Push

Will Smith

ERA 6.75 | IP 14.7 | 0.0W-2.0L | KO 9.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-15-24	@SEA	2-4L	5.0	5	2	7	Under
05-10-24	@LAA	2-1W	5.3	4	1	7	Under
04-24-24	vsTOR	2-3W	4.3	2	0	1	Under
04-19-24	vsBAL	4-9W	5.7	3	0	6	Over
04-13-24	@NYM	11-7W	5.0	5	4	2	Over
04-07-24	vsCWS	3-5W	4.7	8	3	3	Under
04-02-24	@BAL	4-1W	7.0	2	1	5	Under
09-30-23	vsNYY	5-2L	4.3	6	3	6	Under
09-24-23	@HOU	6-5W	5.3	3	4	6	Over
09-19-23	vsCLE	6-7W	4.3	5	4	2	Over
05-19-24	vsOAK	4-8W	1.0	1	0	1	Over
05-15-24	@SEA	2-4L	1.0	0	0	0	Under
05-10-24	@LAA	2-1W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
05-08-24	vsMIL	4-6W	0.7	0	0	0	Over
05-06-24	vsMIL	2-3W	0.7	0	0	0	Under
05-04-24	vsTEX	15-4L	1.0	0	0	0	Over
04-28-24	@DET	1-4L	0.3	0	0	0	Under
04-26-24	@DET	8-0W	1.0	1	0	0	Under
04-21-24	vsBAL	5-0L	1.0	0	0	0	Under
04-19-24	vsBAL	4-9W	1.0	4	4	1	Over

Tigers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/22	vs KC	3-8L	7	1	Over
05/21	vs ARI	4-6L	8	1	Over
05/20	vs ARI	8-3W	15	0	Over
05/19	vs ARI	13-0W	17	0	Over
05/17	@ MIA	0-2L	7	0	Under
05/16	@ MIA	0-1L	4	0	Under
05/15	@ MIA	6-5W	8	1	Over
05/14	@ HOU	3-9L	6	1	Over
05/13	@ HOU	8-2W	11	3	Over
05/12	@ HOU	2-5L	7	0	Under
05/10	vs CLE	4-5L	7	0	Push
05/09	vs CLE	11-7W	15	2	Over
05/08	vs CLE	1-2L	6	1	Under
05/07	vs NYY	2-5L	5	0	Under
05/06	vs NYY	3-5L	7	1	Under

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/22	@ DET	8-3W	11	2	Over
05/21	@ OAK	8-4W	9	0	Over
05/20	@ OAK	5-3W	11	1	Under
05/19	@ OAK	6-2W	11	2	Under
05/17	vs SEA	2-4L	6	0	Under
05/16	vs SEA	4-2W	5	1	Under
05/15	vs SEA	2-6L	6	0	Under
05/14	vs LAA	4-2W	11	0	Under
05/13	vs LAA	3-9L	8	0	Over
05/12	vs LAA	2-1W	7	1	Under
05/11	vs LAA	10-4W	12	2	Over
05/10	@ MIL	6-4W	9	1	Over
05/09	@ MIL	5-6L	12	0	Over
05/08	@ MIL	3-2W	5	1	Under
05/07	@ TEX	2-3L	7	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Detroit Tigers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Riley Greene	9.3	12.4	0.246	0.462	42.1%	88.3%	5.3%
#2 Mark Canha	9.2	12.3	0.235	0.405	42.5%	83.0%	3.9%
#3 Wenceel Perez	9.0	11.6	0.299	0.515	42.3%	93.8%	3.1%
#4 Kerry Carpenter	9.4	12.4	0.285	0.562	36.2%	92.3%	4.6%
#5 Gio Urshela	7.6	9.3	0.276	0.329	30.3%	63.2%	0.0%
#6 Spencer Torkelson	7.9	10.4	0.222	0.352	31.2%	66.5%	1.7%
#7 Colt Keith	7.1	9.1	0.214	0.244	29.8%	54.2%	0.0%
#8 Javier Baez	6.9	9.0	0.203	0.28	24.5%	52.4%	0.7%
#9 Carson Kelly	5.8	7.6	0.225	0.296	36.6%	66.2%	1.4%

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Maikel Garcia	7.9	10.3	0.249	0.399	32.1%	72.0%	2.6%
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	9.2	11.9	0.295	0.511	40.0%	91.1%	2.6%
#3 Vinnie Pasquantino	6.8	9.2	0.231	0.412	36.2%	77.5%	3.1%
#4 Salvador Perez	7.3	9.6	0.341	0.565	44.7%	101.2%	5.3%
#4 Will Smith	3.5	10.3	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#5 Michael Massey	6.6	8.8	0.284	0.505	31.6%	82.1%	5.3%
#6 Nelson Velazquez	7.1	9.3	0.221	0.344	30.5%	64.9%	2.3%
#7 MJ Melendez	6.8	8.8	0.184	0.355	25.5%	61.0%	2.8%
#8 Hunter Renfroe	5.6	7.7	0.156	0.258	25.0%	50.8%	2.3%
#9 Kyle Isbel	5.2	6.7	0.22	0.358	28.5%	64.2%	3.3%