Tigers vs Twins Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 19th 2024

Get ready to roar and howl as the Detroit Tigers claw their way into Target Field, aiming to pounce on the Minnesota Twins under the chilly, gusty skies of an overcast evening. With the first pitch slated for 08:10 PM EST, the stakes are as electrifying as the atmosphere, with the Tigers looking to narrow their 3-game gap and the Twins hungry to claw out of their 6-game pit in the American League standings. Both teams are licking their wounds from recent defeats, setting the scene for a ferocious rebound showdown. Betting enthusiasts are eyeing the 7.5 run line closely, with odds tilting in favor of the home team. So, as the winds whip across the field tonight, will the Tigers’ stripes intimidate, or will the Twins double up to twin their victory tally? Let’s find out if it’s going to be a purr-fect evening for the stripes or a twin-tastic night at the ballpark!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 19, 2024 08:10PM EST

Location: Target Field, Minnesota

Weather: Overcast with winds from the W at 19.2 mph. Temperature is at 36.0° with 54% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	DET ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+126	-150	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+127	-152	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+1	-2	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

111W-133L

44.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

129W-112L

55.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/13/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Under	-2.5
04/13/24	Detroit Tigers DET	1	Under	-2.5
04/12/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Over	+2.5
04/12/24	Detroit Tigers DET	8	Over	+2.5
04/13/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	11	Over	+8.5
04/13/24	Detroit Tigers DET	5	Over	+8.5
04/14/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-0.5
04/14/24	Detroit Tigers DET	4	Under	-0.5
06/15/23	Detroit Tigers DET	8	Over	+4.5
06/15/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+4.5
06/16/23	Detroit Tigers DET	7	Over	+0.5
06/16/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Over	+0.5
06/17/23	Detroit Tigers DET	0	Under	-5.5
06/17/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-5.5
06/18/23	Detroit Tigers DET	6	Over	+2.5
06/18/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+2.5
06/23/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Under	-2.5
06/23/23	Detroit Tigers DET	1	Under	-2.5
06/24/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-2.5
06/24/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Under	-2.5
06/25/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Over	+1.5
06/25/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Over	+1.5
08/07/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	9	Over	+4.5
08/07/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Over	+4.5
08/08/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-1.5
08/08/23	Detroit Tigers DET	6	Under	-1.5
08/09/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Over	+6.5
08/09/23	Detroit Tigers DET	9	Over	+6.5
08/10/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-4.5
08/10/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Under	-4.5
08/15/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Over	+0.5
08/15/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Over	+0.5
08/16/23	Detroit Tigers DET	8	Over	+7.5
08/16/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+7.5

Tigers Vs Over/Under

Twins Vs Over/Under

Jack Flaherty

ERA 4.988 | IP 144.3 | 8.0W-9.0L | KO 148.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-14-24	vsMIN	3-4W	6.3	6	3	8	Under
04-07-24	vsOAK	7-1L	6.0	9	6	5	Over
03-31-24	@CWS	3-2W	6.0	4	1	7	Under
09-30-23	@BOS	2-5W	1.0	2	1	2	Under
09-19-23	@HOU	9-5L	2.0	3	0	2	Over
09-15-23	@TB	7-1L	4.0	6	3	6	Over
09-09-23	@BOS	13-12L	3.3	8	5	3	Over
09-03-23	@ARI	8-5L	4.7	6	4	7	Over
08-27-23	@COL	4-3L	5.7	7	3	3	Under
08-15-23	@SD	3-10W	3.0	4	7	3	Over

Joe Ryan

ERA 4.347 | IP 157.3 | 11.0W-9.0L | KO 187.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-13-24	@DET	11-5W	6.0	6	3	12	Over
04-06-24	vsCLE	3-1L	6.0	5	3	7	Under
03-30-24	@KC	5-1W	5.3	3	1	5	Under
09-29-23	@COL	7-6W	5.0	8	6	6	Over
09-24-23	vsLAA	3-9W	6.0	7	3	10	Over
09-18-23	@CIN	3-7L	5.0	5	4	5	Over
09-12-23	vsTB	2-3W	4.7	5	2	7	Under
09-06-23	@CLE	1-2L	4.0	4	2	3	Under
09-01-23	@TEX	5-1W	6.0	3	1	7	Under
08-26-23	vsTEX	6-2L	5.0	5	1	7	Over

Tigers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/20	@ TEX	7-9L	11	0	Over
04/19	@ TEX	4-5L	7	2	Over
04/18	@ TEX	4-2W	5	0	Under
04/17	@ TEX	0-1L	5	0	Under
04/16	@ MIN	4-3W	8	1	Under
04/15	@ MIN	1-4L	4	0	Under
04/15	@ MIN	5-11L	8	1	Over
04/14	@ MIN	8-2W	10	1	Over
04/11	vs PIT	5-3W	9	0	Over
04/10	vs PIT	4-7L	9	0	Over
04/09	@ OAK	1-7L	7	1	Over
04/08	@ OAK	0-4L	5	0	Under
04/07	@ OAK	5-4W	8	2	Over
04/06	vs NYM	6-3W	9	1	Over
04/06	vs NYM	1-2L	5	0	Under

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/19	vs BAL	2-4L	5	0	Under
04/18	vs BAL	3-11L	7	0	Over
04/17	vs BAL	4-7L	11	1	Over
04/16	vs DET	3-4L	6	1	Under
04/15	vs DET	11-5W	8	2	Over
04/15	vs DET	4-1W	7	2	Under
04/14	vs DET	2-8L	6	0	Over
04/12	@ LAD	3-2W	6	2	Under
04/11	@ LAD	3-6L	6	3	Over
04/10	@ LAD	2-4L	3	1	Under
04/08	@ CLE	1-3L	2	0	Under
04/06	@ CLE	2-4L	7	1	Under
04/05	vs MIL	7-3W	11	1	Over
04/04	vs MIL	2-3L	3	0	Under
04/02	vs KC	0-11L	4	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Detroit Tigers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Riley Greene	7.5	9.6	0.287	0.44	38.3%	82.3%	2.7%
#2 Mark Canha	7.8	10.3	0.259	0.395	40.9%	80.4%	2.5%
#3 Kerry Carpenter	7.7	10.0	0.28	0.475	37.6%	85.1%	4.8%
#4 Spencer Torkelson	7.4	9.9	0.233	0.446	35.4%	80.0%	5.2%
#5 Colt Keith	8.3	8.3	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#6 Gio Urshela	6.3	7.9	0.3	0.376	35.2%	72.8%	0.9%
#7 Parker Meadows	5.8	7.5	0.24	0.376	39.2%	76.8%	2.4%
#8 Javier Baez	6.1	7.9	0.219	0.324	28.5%	60.9%	1.8%
#9 Carson Kelly	4.9	6.6	0.211	0.293	31.6%	60.9%	1.5%

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Edouard Julien	8.8	11.6	0.257	0.442	45.4%	89.6%	4.5%
#2 Ryan Jeffers	7.6	10.0	0.276	0.49	42.7%	91.6%	4.9%
#3 Byron Buxton	8.4	11.2	0.21	0.443	34.0%	78.3%	5.7%
#4 Alex Kirilloff	6.9	9.0	0.271	0.444	39.7%	84.1%	4.0%
#5 Jose Miranda	6.6	8.5	0.206	0.298	27.7%	57.4%	2.1%
#6 Trevor Larnach	6.4	8.8	0.213	0.415	36.1%	77.6%	4.4%
#7 Willi Castro	6.4	8.3	0.258	0.413	38.8%	80.1%	2.5%
#8 Christian Vazquez	4.8	6.2	0.225	0.321	30.6%	62.7%	1.9%
#9 Kyle Farmer	5.5	7.2	0.254	0.406	34.3%	74.9%	3.3%