Tigers vs Twins Game Breakdown

Get ready to roar and howl as the Detroit Tigers claw their way into Target Field, looking to settle scores in a fierce showdown with the Minnesota Twins tonight at 08:10 PM EST! With the Tigers trying to dig out of a 15.5-game hole and the Twins aiming to tighten their grip on the conference standings, this game is more than just a regular matchup—it’s a battle for pride and position. The stakes are high, the bats are ready, and the odds makers are calling for a lively scoreboard with an over/under of 9.0. Following a recent face-off where the Twins edged out a victory, the Tigers are hungry for a comeback under the clear skies and gentle breezes of a perfect baseball evening. So, as the first pitch draws near, let’s see if the Tigers can pounce back or if the Twins will continue to twin it up in their own backyard!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 03, 2024 08:10PM EST

Location: Target Field, Minnesota

Weather: Sunny with winds from the SW at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 72.0° with 68% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	DET ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+138	-164	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+144	-175	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+6	-11	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

124W-156L

41.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

152W-124L

59.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/13/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Under	-4.0
04/13/24	Detroit Tigers DET	1	Under	-4.0
04/12/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Over	+1.0
04/12/24	Detroit Tigers DET	8	Over	+1.0
04/13/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	11	Over	+7.0
04/13/24	Detroit Tigers DET	5	Over	+7.0
04/14/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-2.0
04/14/24	Detroit Tigers DET	4	Under	-2.0
04/19/24	Detroit Tigers DET	5	Push	-0.0
04/19/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Push	-0.0
04/20/24	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Under	-2.0
04/20/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Under	-2.0
04/21/24	Detroit Tigers DET	6	Under	-2.0
04/21/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-2.0
07/02/24	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Under	-1.0
07/02/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Under	-1.0
06/15/23	Detroit Tigers DET	8	Over	+3.0
06/15/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+3.0
06/16/23	Detroit Tigers DET	7	Under	-1.0
06/16/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-1.0
06/17/23	Detroit Tigers DET	0	Under	-7.0
06/17/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-7.0
06/18/23	Detroit Tigers DET	6	Over	+1.0
06/18/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+1.0
06/23/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Under	-4.0
06/23/23	Detroit Tigers DET	1	Under	-4.0
06/24/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-4.0
06/24/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Under	-4.0
06/25/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Push	-0.0
06/25/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Push	-0.0
08/07/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	9	Over	+3.0
08/07/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Over	+3.0
08/08/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-3.0
08/08/23	Detroit Tigers DET	6	Under	-3.0
08/09/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Over	+5.0
08/09/23	Detroit Tigers DET	9	Over	+5.0
08/10/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-6.0
08/10/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Under	-6.0
08/15/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Under	-1.0
08/15/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Under	-1.0
08/16/23	Detroit Tigers DET	8	Over	+6.0
08/16/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+6.0

Tigers Vs Over/Under

Twins Vs Over/Under

Keider Montero

ERA 9.346 | IP 8.7 | 0.0W-2.0L | KO 11.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-26-24	vsPHI	6-2L	4.3	5	5	6	Under
05-29-24	vsPIT	10-2L	4.3	5	4	5	Over

David Festa

ERA 9.0 | IP 5.0 | 1.0W-0.0L | KO 2.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-27-24	@ARI	13-6W	5.0	7	5	2	Over

Tigers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/04	vs MIN	3-5L	5	2	Under
07/02	vs LAA	7-6W	8	2	Over
07/01	vs LAA	5-6L	7	1	Over
06/30	vs LAA	2-5L	2	0	Under
06/29	vs LAA	0-5L	4	0	Under
06/28	@ PHI	2-6L	4	1	Under
06/27	@ PHI	4-1W	9	0	Under
06/26	@ PHI	1-8L	7	0	Push
06/25	@ CWS	11-2W	16	4	Over
06/24	@ CWS	1-5L	5	0	Under
06/23	@ CWS	2-1W	5	1	Under
06/21	vs ATL	0-7L	8	0	Under
06/20	vs ATL	1-2L	5	0	Under
06/19	vs ATL	1-2L	5	0	Under
06/18	vs HOU	1-4L	3	0	Under

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/04	@ DET	5-3W	7	2	Under
07/02	vs SEA	5-3W	8	1	Under
07/01	vs SEA	5-1W	10	1	Under
06/30	vs SEA	2-3L	6	1	Under
06/29	vs ARI	13-6W	13	1	Over
06/28	vs ARI	8-3W	14	1	Over
06/27	vs ARI	4-5L	6	2	Push
06/25	vs OAK	3-0W	6	1	Under
06/24	vs OAK	10-2W	16	1	Over
06/23	vs OAK	5-6L	10	2	Over
06/22	@ TB	6-7L	10	3	Over
06/21	@ TB	2-3L	9	1	Under
06/20	@ TB	7-6W	13	1	Over
06/18	@ OAK	6-2W	12	4	Under
06/18	@ OAK	8-7W	14	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Detroit Tigers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Wenceel Perez	8.5	10.8	0.260	0.390	0.342	0.732	0.300	0.013
#2 Riley Greene	8.5	11.3	0.253	0.477	0.403	0.880	0.351	0.049
#3 Matt Vierling	7.1	9.2	0.250	0.437	0.302	0.739	0.305	0.037
#4 Mark Canha	7.3	9.7	0.224	0.338	0.390	0.728	0.297	0.022
#5 Gio Urshela	6.9	8.8	0.237	0.300	0.300	0.600	0.252	0.011
#6 Colt Keith	6.6	8.4	0.229	0.313	0.297	0.610	0.256	0.016
#7 Justyn-Henry Malloy	6.1	8.2	0.194	0.403	0.328	0.731	0.300	0.060
#8 Zach McKinstry	5.9	7.4	0.185	0.292	0.269	0.562	0.235	0.015
#9 Carson Kelly	5.5	7.2	0.245	0.388	0.360	0.748	0.306	0.036

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Willi Castro	9.3	12.0	0.274	0.449	0.405	0.855	0.345	0.024
#2 Carlos Correa	9.6	12.6	0.310	0.510	0.429	0.939	0.375	0.041
#3 Trevor Larnach	8.2	10.8	0.256	0.440	0.333	0.774	0.318	0.048
#4 Byron Buxton	10.5	13.8	0.263	0.465	0.346	0.811	0.333	0.037
#5 Carlos Santana	8.2	10.8	0.251	0.436	0.367	0.804	0.327	0.044
#6 Jose Miranda	8.0	10.4	0.296	0.482	0.367	0.850	0.348	0.035
#7 Max Kepler	7.8	10.3	0.248	0.410	0.329	0.738	0.305	0.029
#8 Christian Vazquez	5.8	7.3	0.187	0.265	0.226	0.490	0.209	0.013
#9 Austin Martin	6.3	8.2	0.269	0.380	0.361	0.741	0.304	0.009