Tigers vs Pirates Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Apr 8th 2024

Alright, sports fans, buckle up for a titanic tussle at PNC Park as the fierce Detroit Tigers, with a respectable 6W-3L record, are prowling into the Pirates’ territory to challenge the formidable 8W-2L Pittsburgh Pirates. The first pitch is set to fly at 06:40PM EST, just as the overcast skies start to darken and the winds from the southeast pick up a tad. The Tigers, currently trailing by a single game in the American League, are looking to claw their way back to the top, while the Pirates, leading the National League with a clean slate, are ready to defend their treasure. The betting waters are churning with an over/under of 8.5, the Tigers’ line at 105, and the Pirates’ line at -125. After their recent performances, the Pirates are riding high on a 3-2 victory wave against BAL, while the Tigers are licking their wounds from a 1-7 defeat against OAK. With a cool 59.0° temperature and a humidity of 45%, it’s a perfect setting for a showdown. So, whether you’re a Tiger on the prowl or a Pirate ready to plunder, it’s time to show your stripes or walk the plank in this unmissable MLB faceoff.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 08, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Weather: Overcast with winds from the SE at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 59.0° with 45% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	DET ML	PIT ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+105	-125	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+107	-128	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+2	-3	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

110W-132L

48.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

111W-132L

51.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/16/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Under	-4.5
05/16/23	Detroit Tigers DET	4	Under	-4.5
05/17/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Under	-0.5
05/17/23	Detroit Tigers DET	0	Under	-0.5
08/01/23	Detroit Tigers DET	1	Under	-3.5
08/01/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-3.5
08/02/23	Detroit Tigers DET	6	Over	+0.5
08/02/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+0.5

Tigers Vs Over/Under

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Reese Olson

ERA 3.984 | IP 101.7 | 5.0W-7.0L | KO 103.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-01-24	@NYM	5-0W	5.7	3	0	3	Under
09-26-23	vsKC	3-6W	5.7	5	2	7	Over
09-20-23	@LAD	4-2W	6.0	2	1	5	Under
09-14-23	vsCIN	2-8W	6.0	2	1	7	Over
09-08-23	vsCWS	6-0L	6.7	2	2	5	Under
09-02-23	@CWS	10-0W	7.0	4	0	1	Over
08-28-23	vsNYY	4-1L	4.3	3	1	10	Under
08-22-23	vsCHC	6-8W	4.7	4	6	7	Over
08-16-23	@MIN	8-7W	2.7	8	4	3	Over
08-10-23	vsMIN	0-3W	6.0	2	0	8	Under

Mitch Keller

ERA 4.214 | IP 194.3 | 13.0W-9.0L | KO 210.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-03-24	@WAS	3-5L	5.3	8	5	5	Push
03-28-24	@MIA	6-5W	5.7	7	5	3	Over
09-26-23	@PHI	2-3L	6.0	3	2	6	Under
09-20-23	@CHC	13-7W	5.7	9	7	6	Over
09-14-23	vsWAS	0-2W	8.0	2	0	7	Under
09-08-23	@ATL	2-8L	5.0	12	8	4	Over
09-01-23	@STL	4-2W	6.0	5	1	8	Under
08-25-23	vsCHC	1-2W	8.0	4	0	6	Under
08-19-23	@MIN	7-4W	6.0	7	2	12	Over
08-13-23	vsCIN	2-4W	6.0	5	2	7	Under

Tigers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/09	@ OAK	1-7L	7	1	Push
04/08	@ OAK	0-4L	5	0	Under
04/07	@ OAK	5-4W	8	2	Over
04/06	vs NYM	6-3W	9	1	Over
04/06	vs NYM	1-2L	5	0	Under
04/03	vs NYM	5-0W	4	1	Under
04/02	vs CWS	3-2W	8	2	Under
04/01	vs CWS	7-6W	12	2	Over
03/30	vs CWS	1-0W	6	0	Under
10/03	@ CLE	5-2W	9	1	Under
10/02	@ CLE	8-0W	9	0	Push
10/01	@ CLE	5-7L	13	2	Over
09/30	@ KC	8-0W	8	3	Push
09/30	@ KC	7-3W	10	1	Over
09/28	@ KC	6-3W	7	2	Over

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/09	@ BAL	3-2W	7	0	Under
04/08	@ BAL	5-4W	11	1	Over
04/07	@ BAL	2-5L	6	2	Under
04/06	vs WAS	7-4W	11	1	Over
04/05	vs WAS	3-5L	4	1	Push
04/03	vs WAS	8-4W	15	0	Over
04/02	vs MIA	9-7W	11	1	Over
04/01	vs MIA	9-3W	16	0	Over
03/31	vs MIA	7-2W	10	0	Over
03/30	vs MIA	6-5W	9	3	Over
10/03	@ MIA	3-0W	6	0	Under
10/02	@ MIA	3-7L	12	0	Over
10/01	@ MIA	3-4L	9	0	Under
09/30	vs PHI	3-2W	11	0	Under
09/29	vs PHI	6-7L	11	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Detroit Tigers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Parker Meadows	8.2	10.6	0.24	0.376	39.2%	76.8%	2.4%
#2 Riley Greene	8.6	10.9	0.287	0.44	38.3%	82.3%	2.7%
#3 Spencer Torkelson	7.8	10.4	0.233	0.446	35.4%	80.0%	5.2%
#4 Kerry Carpenter	8.5	11.1	0.28	0.475	37.6%	85.1%	4.8%
#5 Colt Keith	nan	10.0	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#6 Mark Canha	7.3	9.6	0.259	0.395	40.9%	80.4%	2.5%
#7 Javier Baez	6.7	8.7	0.219	0.324	28.5%	60.9%	1.8%
#8 Zach McKinstry	6.0	7.7	0.23	0.351	33.6%	68.8%	2.0%
#9 Jake Rogers	5.9	7.8	0.221	0.444	31.4%	75.8%	6.3%

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Oneil Cruz	9.2	12.2	0.25	0.375	46.9%	84.4%	3.1%
#2 Bryan Reynolds	9.2	12.1	0.264	0.464	37.0%	83.4%	4.2%
#3 Ke’Bryan Hayes	7.8	10.1	0.271	0.449	32.7%	77.6%	2.9%
#4 Jack Suwinski	8.6	11.5	0.225	0.457	40.8%	86.5%	5.9%
#5 Andrew McCutchen	7.8	10.3	0.256	0.391	45.9%	85.0%	2.8%
#6 Rowdy Tellez	6.7	8.9	0.215	0.376	32.8%	70.4%	4.2%
#7 Jared Triolo	6.9	8.9	0.299	0.401	45.2%	85.3%	1.7%
#8 Henry Davis	5.8	7.6	0.215	0.354	33.6%	69.1%	3.1%
#9 Michael A. Taylor	5.9	7.8	0.218	0.441	29.9%	74.0%	5.9%

Tigers Notable Injuries

No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.

Pirates Notable Injuries

Jason Delay OUT (C): Avg: 0.25 SLG:0.341 Last game: 04/02/24. Impact: 1.6
Ryan Borucki OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 1.0